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CHALLOW HURDLE (gr. 1)
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Analysis & Selections by
.t.h.e. r.o.o.k.
Whether it be "the race of the day" or a small prize round the gaffs, we will attempt to use our knowledge of the formbook to highlight the fancied horses participating each day and their characteristics and requirements. Hopefully this 'second opinion' provides you with a winner or two each day, or even reinforces your own view on a particular may even convince you to back some of those horses which we feel are the "ones to fear", or have decent eachway claims. whichever is the case, we hope the information is of use to you.
SELECTIONS - For each race, we have given you who, in our view, are the likeliest winners;
(1er _ THE WINNER?), as well as any runners who could run well at eachway odds;
(E/W
ALTERNATIVE) . Any runner from our features are shown before each race's analysis.
NEWBURY
Saturday, December 28.
(¯¯ Iª¯ NEWBURY¯¯¯)¯¯¯ »- 12:25 Anniversary Novices' Hurdle 12runners 2miles-110yds Penalty £4368 4-Year-Olds plus
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[ ("ONE TO JUMP") 2002/3 ~~ Are there any horses from "One To Jump 2003" our feature which; each season, provides a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season? ]:¬»-Safari Paradise,
[ ("FUTURE WINNERS - NATIONAL HUNT") 2002/3 ~~ Are there any horses from "future winners" our feature which notes horses to watch for follow during the current national hunt season? ]:¬»-Kercabellec
(FR)
¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Kercabellec, Beyond The Pale, Derivative, Pawn Broker, Benbecula, Safari Paradise, Mersey Sound and
Sento, look best of those lining up in the opener. Whilst I respect the claims of Beyond The Pale, [making his debut
having shown useful form in bumpers], I'll suggest Kercabellec, a former inmate of Guillame
Macaire, who shoed promise on his only start over hurdles at Fontainebleau
in March.. He is a good prospect for steeplechases next term, who hopefully
will have enough speed to win this.
¦ 1° ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Kercabellec,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Beyond The Pale,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Safari Paradise, (e/w)
(¯¯ IIª¯ NEWBURY¯¯¯)¯¯¯ »- 12:55 Clive Cole 50th Birthday Surprise Conditional Jockeys' H 'cap Hurdle 6runners 2miles-3f Penalty £3150 4-Year-Olds plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- The second race is dreadful and would usually get the swerve.... something will win it and Buckland Knight, Jacopo, Bigwig, Audiostreetdotcom, Darien, and Percy Braithwaite all
have chances of sorts. If I had to choose one of these then it would be Buckland Knight, who should at least go on the
surface... Audiostreetdotcom, [hood cheek-pieces et al], might consent to run him close.
¦ 1° ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Buckland Knight,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Audiostreetdotcom,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Jacopo,
(¯¯ IIIª¯ NEWBURY¯¯¯)¯¯¯ »- 1:25 H & T Pawnbrokers Novices' Steeple-Ch. 4runners 2miles-2f 110yds Penalty £6415.50 4-Year-Olds plus
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[ ("ONE TO JUMP") 2002/3 ~~ Are there any horses from "One To Jump 2003" our feature which; each season, provides a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season? ]:¬»-First Love,
¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- First Love, Montalcino, Hitman, and Uncle Wallace contest the third... I'll pass over Uncle Wallace
[despite the stable being in good form], and Hitman, [whose never struck me as the sort that would make a chaser] and suggest that
this is thought out between First Love and Montalcino. Martin Pipe's runner Montalcino, was a
decent hurdler a few seasons back and is sure to be near peak fitness, however
I'd hope that First Love was good enough to beat him... He strikes me as the horse with the most scope / potential of these. Claymore [who
beat him at Uttoxeter], proved that form isn't too bad when winning again at Chepstow yesterday and if he puts in a clear round here appears to be the
likeliest winner.
¦ 1° ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- First Love,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Montalcino,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Uncle Wallace
(¯¯ IVª¯ NEWBURY¯¯¯)¯¯¯ »- 2:00 Stan James Challow Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1) 8runners 2miles-5f Penalty £20300 4-Year-Olds plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Coolnagorna, Maybe The Business, Calling Brave, Yorkshire, and No Collusion would
appear to have the strongest claims in the fourth. Coolnagorna, and Calling Brave look the strongest
candidates here and will probably be "serving it up" to their rivals on teh turn for home. Both of them
have been impressive in victory however Coolnagorna may just have the edge, He
really puts his head down when challenged and has turned apparent defeat into wide margin
successes on his last two starts... I wont be surprised if something similar
occurs again here.
¦ 1° ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Coolnagorna,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Calling Brave,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-No Collusion
(¯¯ Vª¯ NEWBURY¯¯¯)¯¯¯ »- 2:30 Western Daily Press Club Novices' H 'cap Steeple-Ch. 10runners 2miles-6f 110yds Penalty £5421 4-Year-Olds plus
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[ ("ONE TO JUMP") 2002/3 ~~ Are there any horses from "One To Jump 2003" our feature which; each season, provides a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season? ]:¬»-Imago II (FR)
¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Lord 'N' Master, Cool Investment, Harpasgon De L'Ombre, Imago Ii, Sunshine Leader, Perk Alert, Redskin Raider, and Steve The Fish, appeal in the fifth. Lord 'N' Master is sure to go off as
favourite here after his decisive win at Sandown last time out. He will be
difficult to beat if he puts in a clear round, and is preferred to Harpasgon De L'Ombre, [good chance but will he go on teh ground], Imago Ii, [has been let down by his jumping but may be aided by first
time out blinkers] and Perk Alert, [could be interesting despite a 913 day
absence].
¦ 1° ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Lord 'N' Master,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Imago Ii,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Harpasgon De L'Ombre,
(¯¯ VIª¯ NEWBURY¯¯¯)¯¯¯ »- 3:05 Stan James Mandarin Steeple-Ch. (H 'cap) 9runners 3miles- Penalty £10725 5-Year-Olds plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Pharpost, Dealer's Choice, Mr Timbrology, Midnight Gunner, Cassia Heights, Fin Bec, and Eltigri, make most
appeal in a disappointing turn out for this once-prestigious prize. Despite carrying 12-2, Dealer's Choice makes a lot of
appeal here. He was impressive when winning on his reappearance at Folkestone 11 days ago, and is clearly still progressing... My one reservation about him is that he has never won at the trip, and in betting terms, I wouldnt be very keen to take a very short
price about him. He'll probably win, however Midnight Gunner is in great form this term and this son of Gunner B will keep going here when his rivals have
cried off. He looks like he has a good chance of making the frame and might be a
better betting proposition
¦ 1° THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Midnight Gunner (e/w)
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Dealer's Choice,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Mr Timbrology,
(¯¯ VIIª¯ NEWBURY¯¯¯)¯¯¯ »- 3:40 Weatherbys 'Stars Of Tomorrow' Standard Open National Hunt Flat 18runners 2miles-110yds Penalty £2646 4, 5 and 6-Year-Olds
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[ ("ONE TO JUMP") 2002/3 ~~ Are there any horses from "One To Jump 2003" our feature which; each season, provides a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season? ]:¬»-Sixo,
¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Sixo, King Player, Croc An Oir, Little Enam, Supreme Priority, Passenger Omar,
Artemise, I Hear Thunder, and Bailey's Bro, look best of those due to line up in teh finale. Passenger Omar, [unlucky second in Irish point-to-point], Croc An Oir, [a winner of two irish point-to-points], and King Player, [a son of Kings Ride], are the
newcomers to note, however Sixo is selected in teh hope that he can build on his impressive win at Newton Abbot five weeks ago.
¦ 1° ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Sixo,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Passenger Omar,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Croc An Oir,
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This
page was
updated on Saturday December 28, 2002
at 06:28:24 AM.
THE
FEATURE MEETING
POSTING
TIME
Selections for Monday - Friday should be available after 9:30pm the previous evening, however on Saturday and Sunday due to other commitments won't be posted until after 8:30am those respective mornings unless otherwise stated. Hopefully this helps
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MARKET
RASEN
Saturday
31st August
3:00 Audrey Buttery Reunion Novices' Steeple Ch. -
£6000 added, 5yo plus, 2m 6f 110yds, penalty
£4111.25, 7 runners.
Ashgar, Misty Ridge, Sijujama, and Mount Gay, are
the only runners which make any sort of appeal in
the second. Punters are likely to have Ashgar down
as a banker, especially with "A.P." on board....
I can see where they are coming from, however he is
notoriously lazy and makes no appeal at likely
odds. He was very hesitant at his obstacles last
time out at Southwell and if one of his rivals were
to expose this weakness, he could even thrown in
the towel and sulk (which he has done before).
Misty Ridge and Mount Gay, have run creditably of
late over hurdles however it is Mount Gay [a
winning point-to-pointer], who may be able to take
him on. His second placing at Perth 27 days ago was
a sound effort, and he is in my view worth taking a
chance with {if they had been eight runners he'd
have been an excellent eachway wager}.
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬> Mount Gay,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Misty Ridge,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Ashgar [USA],
Mount
Gay obliged at odds of 7/1.
.t.h.e. .r.o.o.k.
MARKET RASEN
Saturday 20th July
Tote Scoop6 Summer Plate. (H'cap Steeple Ch.). £65000 added, 5yo plus, 2m 4f, 16 runners.
"As much as I like Demasta, there is so much pace here, that I cant help but think that the front runners may go too fast for their own good here. It makes sense [in my view], to be looking for something likely to be able to travel well... and despite my very negative comments above... I have (since the runners were declared), had a lot of time for the chance of Chicuelo (at eachway odds). I think some horses suit certain trainers, and I think this horse has a better chance of winning a race like this with Martin Pipe than Ian Williams - not because I necessarily think Pipe is a far better trainer than Williams is... its more to do with understanding this type of horse.
Nicholashayne - more than most training establishments - does particularly with their foreign purchases. I think this is in part because due to the amount of time/effort they have invested into studying not only french form, but also how certain trainers educate their young horses - adopting if/when necessary previous regime/style of training. Secondly, (more importantly), some french breds improve after a season's
acclimatization. A look at this horse's form in France and you'll find, for example, his good third to Sleeping Night and Ilnamar (beaten 8½lengths) in the Prix Morgex (Chase) (Grade 3) , or his third to Sleeping Night and Douze Douze in the Prix Maurice Gillois Grand Steeple-Chase Des 4 Ans (Chase) (Grade 1) in November 2000. He has certainly been given a chance here off of only a handicap rating of 116, and I can't see him not finishing in the first four.... He'll do for me".
"ANOTHER WINNER FOR "ONE TO JUMP
2003"
WORCESTER
Sunday, June 9th 2002
Tote betXpress Hurdle {H' cap}. £20000 added, 4yo plus, 2m, penalty £13897, 14 runners.
Cupboard Lover, Saragann, Dick The Taxi, Barren Lands, Boater, Bernardon, Inn Antique, Barren Lands, and Knight's Emperor make most appeal in a decent
handicap hurdle for this time of year. There is bound to be market
support for Cupboard Lover, especially after his smooth win at Newbury on the flat
earlier this week, however in Bernardon, and Inn Antique, he meets two
potentially well treated "improvers". I have a high regard
for Bernardon, who I literally haven't stopped raving about. This
former Group winner in Germany is much better than the form he showed when trailing home at Chepstow last time out, and off of this handicap mark, he is worth chancing.
Bernardon
held on to score at odds of 13/2
ASCOT
Saturday 16th February, 2002
1:30 Amlin Reynoldstown Novices' Steeple Ch. {Gr.2}
Realistically, course and distance winner Arctic Jack, Father McCarten, High Cotton and Ex-French recruit Jimmy Tennis are the likeliest winners of this Grade 2 event. I have a healthy regard for Arctic Jack, and I'm certain he'll run creditably here, however, I've been monitoring Jimmy Tennis's career and always thought that he could make the grade over here. He was one of the better four-year-old chasers in France in 2001 and despite an absence of 140 days hopefully can make best use of the weight for age allowances he receives here.
JIMMY TENNIS won - 3/1
2:00 William Hill H’cap Hurdle
A very competitive handicap hurdle with several of these having strong claims. Farmer Jack, Teaatral, Lord Brex, Aspirant Dancer, Creon, Mr Markham, and Ideal du Bois Beury all have serious claims. Father Jack (who was probably ridden too positively last time out) is sure to go well and probably would have been my selection if Ideal du Bois Beury hadn't been in opposition. I thought he won with a bit in hand under top weight at Leicester last time out and looks very appealing off of the minimum weight.
IDEAL DU BOIS BEURY won - 10/1
DISCLAIMER:
In no way does "Furlong To Go!! guarantee that selections
posted above will win the specified races advertised.
They are merely an indication based on current form. Whilst
the selections, and advice are the basis by which we will
personally place our own bets, like you, any selections
that are backed, are done so at your own risk.
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