NATIONAL HUNT FESTIVAL 2003
Old Course
Wednesday, March 12, 2003
|¯¯i^¯CHELTENHAM¯¯|¯¯¯»- 2:00 Royal & Sun Alliance Novices' Hurdle2miles~5f £100,000 - Class A, Grade One, Total Prize Fund £100,000, Cheltenham, Wednesday, March 12, 2003. Two Miles, and Five Furlongs. For Novice Four-Year-Olds and upwards. Weights: four-year-olds 10st 12lb; five-year-olds and upwards 11st 7lb. Allowances: fillies & mares 5lb. Entries closed Wednesday, January 22, 2003. Entries revealed Monday, January 27, 2003 (128 entries). Forfeit stage Tuesday, February 18, 2003. Five-day confirmation stage Friday, March 7, 2003. Final declaration stage 10.15am, Tuesday, March 11, 2003.
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¦ "one to jump" ¦ ~~ Are there any horses from "ONE TO JUMP" 2002/3 - Our feature which; each season, provides a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season?:¬»-Emmet, Foreman (GER), Inca Trail, Saitensohn, The Biker & Sh Boom
¦ "future winners" ¦ ~~ Are there any horses from "FUTURE WINNERS (N.H.)" - Our feature which notes horses to watch for follow during the current national hunt season?:¬»- Lirfox (FR)
¦ "the rook" ¦:¬»- The Royal and SunAlliance Novice Hurdle opens the second day of the meeting and is always a hugely competitive affair. This year 128 horses were entered including 39 from Ireland, 2 from Germany and 1 from France, each of them looking to add to the list of previous winners which include Brown Lad (1974), Davey Lad (1975), Venture To Cognac (1979), Drumlargan (1980), Sabin Du Loi (1983), Ten Plus (1986), Danoli (1994), Istrabraq (1997), French Holly (1998), Barton (1999), Monsignor (2000) and Galileo (2002). Having cast my eye over the original entry, these are the horses that made most appeal:

	Calling Brave - Warrants respect after impressing when winning twice this term, however he has been soundly beaten by Coolnagorna (who beat him 30 lengths at Newbury) and Foreman (who readily disposed of him last time out at Kempton)...  I wouldn't be too surprised if he finds one or two too good;
	Central House - Has looked good this season in winning a bumper and two hurdle races and lost nothing in defeat when proving to be no match for Solerina on his latest start at Leopardstown where he made the error of trying to take her on from flagfall. With that rival out of the way due to injury, she is definitely worthy of consideration here;
	Chauvinist - Looked decent when winning his first two starts at Ascot including the valuable Ladbroke (Handicap Hurdle), however failed to fire after being raised in the weights in the Tote Gold Trophy at Newbury. Has the potential to run well given ideal conditions and a strong pace but might have better claims in the Supreme Novices Hurdle;
	Chopneyev - Fast improving novice who has stepped up on some mediocre efforts last term to win three times this term including winning a valuable handicap hurdle at Sandown before beating all bar the well-weighted Korelo at Ascot last time out. Gives the impression that he might prefer further, however the likely strong end-to-end gallop is sure to play to his strengths;
	Colonel Monroe - Another improving novice who has already won four times this season for Edward O'Grady. Sure to give a good account of himself, however the stable have better alternatives;
	Coolnagorna - The current favourite who has carried all before him this season grinding out 3 wins this season including beating Thisthatandtother and a 30 length success in a Grade 1 event at Newbury in January. Sure to be well supported on the big day, however he will probably need cut in the ground to be as effective as he has so far this season;
	Double Honour (FR) - Looked very impressive when winning on his debut at Huntingdon and Exeter, however was trounced by Foreman last time out at Kempton. Not quite sure what to make of him. It might be that despite staying well on the flat, he may not appreciate a distance of ground over obstacles. Whichever the case, I have a nagging concern that he may not have the "gears" to win a race of this nature at this level. Time will tell;
	Dream With Me - Vastly improved this season since joining Nicholashayne after disappointing last season when trained by Charlie Edgerton. Martin Pipe has done well to win five races with him this season, however I will be surprised if he adds to that tally here;
	Emmet - Intrigued that Emmet still stands his ground here. Formerly a winner between the flags in Ireland, Emmet has won both of his starts this term for trainer Edward O'Grady, dead-heating on his debut in a 30 runner maiden at Fairyhouse in January before making all to win at Thurles two weeks later.  He disapointed last time out behind Megsie Here at Clonmel at the beginning of February, however is a lovely prospect who would give a good account of himself, were he to line up;
	Foreman (GER)  - Thierry Doumen has started his training career having won races with each of his three horses including Foreman,  one of the best juvenile hurdlers in France last year who served notice last time out at Kempton that he is a horse to be taken seriously at this level when he sprinted clear to easily beat Double Honour and Calling Brave who could reoppose here. His French form stands out in this lineup and he should be on most people's shortlists, however I suspect there are some who may overlook him because of the jockey. That could prove to be fatal;
	Hardy Eustace - Has only tasted defeat one this season over hurdles at the hands of Solerina at Leopardstown last time out but must enter calculations having beaten Back In Front when winning the Royal Bond Novice Hurdle [gr. 1] at Fairyhouse. Personally I think he has better claims here than in the Supreme Novices Hurdle;
	Hi Cloy - An embryonic chaser who has done well to win races over hurdles this winter. I'm sure he will acquit himself here, however the fact that trainer Michael Hourigan thinks that anything he does over hurdles is a bonus in my view drops big hints about the likelihood of success here.;
	Inca Trail - Best Mate's full-brother probably would win the prize for the most attractive winner in the lineup and does have ability to match that as demonstrated when he cruised home last time out at Ludlow. I do have some reservations about him at this trip because he is a little bit too "free" for his own good. Realistically, I believe his best chance is in the Supreme Novice Hurdle though personally he would be better side-stepping the meeting and coming back as a Novice chaser;
	Iris's Gift, trained by Jonjo O'Neill - Resolute galloper who grinds his rivals into submission like his stablemate Coolnagorna. Impressive when winning all five starts over hurdles this season, particularly last time out at Haydock and is worthy of consideration here - although he might have better claims at his optimum trip of 3 miles in the Stayers Hurdle;
	Joueur D'Estruval -  Useful bumper who translated that ability to hurdles last time out when beating Supreme Developer at Leopardstown. Worthy of respect, though the stable's poor form is off-putting;
	Kicking King - Also entered in the Supreme Novices Hurdle and has done very little wrong this season, winning two of his three starts and like many Irish challengers, only tasting defeat at the hands of Solerina. Should go well here, however does he have the "gears" to go past the market principals?
	Kombinacja (POL) - Polish triple-crown winner has so far failed to replicate her useful flat form to obstacles, although she improved significantly on a mediocre debut effort when finishing 30 lengths behind Foreman at Kempton. Surprised she had the speed to run well in group company on the continent as she looks every inch the chaser to me, so whilst she might struggle at this level over hurdles, she might yet come into her own when connections put her over the larger obstacles;
	Lirfox - Very interested in this horse who has the distinction of having beaten Japhet over hurdles just before Christmas. Lirfox might be useful and definitely warrants respect if connections declare her for this prize;
	Lord Sam - Remains unbeaten having won each of his three starts to date over hurdles. Has clearly got an engine, however isn't most fluent of jumpers and whilst he is a major player, I would have to be concerned that he might throw away a winning opportunity when pressure is applied here...conversely, the trip and pace of the race should be right up his street.;
	Macs Valley - Has run consistently well this season, a positive as his stable has been badly out of sorts this term.  He was 10 ½ lengths behind Hardy Eustace in the Royal Bond Novices Hurdle at Fairyhouse at the beginning of December and will need to have improved to figure here;
	Masteroffoxhounds - Having been in the care of Aidan O'Brien until quite recently, it's fair to assume that Masteroffoxhounds did at one stage show connections that he possessed plenty of ability. He had to wait until November of last year to demonstrate this on the racecourse and after being given an injudicious ride on his racecourse debut, rattled off a quick hat-trick of successes in bumpers at Cork as well as readily landing a maiden hurdle at Down Royal in January. Was disappointing last time, however would merit respect here if  lined;
	Mise Rafturai - Although he has a good season winning four handicap hurdles in succession, this would be a significant rise in class and he may not be up to the task;
	Nil Desperandum - Has done well this season, running well despite his lack of experience between Rhinestone Cowboy in the Bumper at the open meeting at Cheltenham. He subsequently won Novice events at Punchestown and Navan as well as beating all bar Hardy Eustace at Leopardstown at the end of last year. Has a little bit to find here but it's not beyond the realms of possibility;
	Pizarro - The only horse to beat Rhinestone Cowboy has had an up and down season over hurdles landing a Grade 3 event at Navan in November from Solerina, however he disappointed when soundly thrashed by that opponent next time out. He clearly wasn't right that day and proved that when thrashing a field at Naas? three weeks ago. He is sure to give a good account of himself and deserves the utmost respect;
	Puntal - Looked impressive during the summer and last time out at Kempton. However, his aggressive style of racing is always likely to leave him vulnerable  as proved by how easily he was disposed of by Kopek at Ascot and Thisthatandtother at Wincanton. There is plenty of pace on here and therefore connections would be unwise to try to force the pace here which is likely to leave him even more vulnerable at this distance, however could surprise if he is ridden with more sympathy;
	Rhinestone Cowboy - Impossible not to be impressed with him this term and deserves a shot at the Champion Hurdle after beating Thisthatandtother and Hors La Loi III at Wincanton. Would have to be considered if he was to go here, however the stable have confirmed the Champion as his intended target. I would also wonder whether he has too much speed for this trip;
	Rosslea - I had to mention him as he is going to make a lovely chaser next season, however this Irish point-to-point winner is still to win under rules and is likely to find some of these too good for him;
	Saitensohn (GER) - Has recently been sold to race in America, however is taken in this race before jetting off to pastures new. A pity, as Christian Von Der Recke did well to win 3 races with him during his frequent sorties from Germany. Should give his new owners plenty of fun and I hope he gives a good account of himself here;
	Sh Boom - Has looked above average when winning twice this season and lost nothing in defeat when finishing just behind Lord Sam on his last start at Kempton. Should be capable of giving a good account of himself and could go well at likely each-way odds;
	Supreme Developer - Very good bumper horse who as yet hasn't translated that ability to obstacles despite running well in defeat. That said, he did win last time and could go well on a fast surface;
	Supreme Prince - Hitherto unbeaten six-year-old who looked very impressive at the beginning of the season particularly when winning a couple of races at Chepstow before the end of 2002. Could be anything thought he will need to be better than his last time out effort at Wincanton where he only just prevailed though the tight circuit might not have played to his strengths;
	The Biker - Ex-Irish bumper. Has taken well to hurdling, winning minor events at Uttoxeter and Newton Abbot. Despite some indifferent jumping, he is a lovely horse who should develop into a nice chaser in the next couple of seasons, however needs to improve physically and mentally to figure at this level;

¦"OUR VERDICT" ¦:¬»- A week ago, I was tempted to pass over Coolnagorna as I didn't think he get his ground. Things have certainly changed in that time. Conditions are certainly turning to his favour and you can certainly expect him to give of his all. Is that good enough? I don't know, as there are several strong opponents in opposition including Chopneyev, Double Honour, Foreman, Hardy Eustace, Kicking King, Lirfox, Lord Sam, Pizarro, Puntal and Sh Boom. As good as Coolnagorna is, I'm not convinced he has the "gears" that Pizarro has shown and his change of pace might prove to be the determining factor when push inevitably comes to shove. Lord Sam, Hardy Eustace, and Foreman shouldn't be far away and each represent fair value at each-way odds. 
¦ 1^ ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬»- Pizarro
¦ 2nd Place? ¦:¬»- Coolnagorna
¦ 3rd Place? ¦:¬»-Foreman
¦ 4th Place? ¦:¬»-Kicking King (e/w)

|¯¯ii^¯CHELTENHAM¯¯|¯¯¯»- 2:35 Royal & SunAlliance Steeple ch'3miles~½f £140,000 - Class A, Grade 1, Wednesday, March 12, 2003, total value £140,000, three miles and about half a furlong, for five-year-olds and upwards. Weights: 5-y-o: 10st 8lb, 6-y-o and up: 11st 4lb: mares allowance 5lb. Entries closed January 15, 2003 (72 entries), entries released, Monday, January 20, forfeit stage February 18. Five-day confirmation stage Friday, March 7, overnight declaration stage Tuesday, March 11.
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¦ "one to jump" ¦ ~~ Are there any horses from "ONE TO JUMP" 2002/3 - Our feature which; each season, provides a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season?:¬»-Le Coudray (FR), Hedgehunter & Keen Leader
¦ "the rook" ¦:¬»- The 2003 renewal of the Royal and SunAlliance Chase has attracted 72 entries, including 20 from Ireland and 2 from France. This looks to be a particularly strong renewal, however the fact that since 1960, only 5 horses, Arkle (1963), Ten Up (1974), Master Smudge (1979), Garrison Savannah (1990) and Looks Like Trouble (1999) have won this race before going on to win the Tote Gold Cup, speaks volumes about the severity of this race and I do wonder about the wisdom of trainers aiming their best novices at this race when the softly-softly approach is apparently a far more proven way of producing a horse likely to go right to the top. I did though say that Ii thought this was vintage renewal and I would expect the principals to go onto better things next season. Here's my opinion in who I consider to be the leading candidates:

	Barrow Drive - Has show improved form since being switched to the larger obstacles last July, winning his first five races over fences before beating all bar Le Coudray in the Grade 1 Drinmore Novice Chase at Fairyhouse as well as coming second in a Grade 2 chase at Limerick on Boxing Day. Capitalised on the last fence fall of Le Coudray when winning last time out at Leopardstown and this resolute galloper certainly merits respect though I'm not convinced he'll prove to be quite good enough;
	Chicuelo (FR) - Has looked good when the pressure wasn't applied this season in winning at Market Rasen, Ascot and Huntingdon, however has twice jumped poorly when upped in grade and you would be concerned that the same may happen here where his jumping will be tested straight from flagfall;
	Farmer Jack - Vastly improved novice who won well at Kempton the time before last before making Tarxien pull out all the stops at Sandown last time out. Would have to be respected if he lined up, however he is far more likely to run in the Arkle and is, as yet unproven at the trip;
	First Love - Hasn't quite made the impact over the fences that many believed he would last term, although he did win as he liked last time out at Folkestone. Is considered to be a little soft by some pundits, however he strikes me as a horse who is still growing into his shell and it wouldn't surprise me if he were to run well here if connections give him the nod;
	Hedgehunter - Until he won last time out, Hedgehunter looked to be a horse to avoid having finished 2nd in 8 of his 12 starts under rules. He did however make all when winning the Grand National trial at Punchestown last time out and it might just be that more aggressive tactics are required to bring out the best in him. Doesn't look good enough on form however he is the sort of horse that could sneak a place at a big price by simply getting round and plodding home in his own time;
	Iris Royal (FR) - Useful handicap hurdler who has taken well to fences, winning his last 2 starts. However, those were far removed from this grade and he will need to be capable of significant improvement to figure here;
	Irish Hussar - Reminds me of Stormyfairweather who had a similar sort of profile before he won the first of his two Cathcarts, in that he is a horse of undoubted ability who has yet to be tested in this sort of company. Strolled home against minor opposition at Leicester last time out and might have better claims than initially is apparent. Definitely one to consider if he is allowed to take his place in the lineup;
	It Takes Time - At the time of writing, It Takes Time still holds an entry for the Gold Cup and to be honest, would be better served racing in that than in this race. Although there aren't many miles on the clock, it takes time is 9 years old and won't have very many more opportunities to run in that race. He has taken to fences extremely well and has been particularly impressive in winning last time out at Haydock, where he thrashed The Bajan Bandit by 9lengths [heavily eased, probably would have won by 30lengths]. The fact that he was left in the Aon Chase at the five day stage suggests strongly to me that connections are still toying with the idea of racing him and from a handicap point of view, he would be better off racing there as if he were not good enough, the handicapper will reflect that,  rather than taking an over-inflated view of his performance should he win this... before you think that suggests I think he is the winner, hold on...I think these same comments apply to a couple of other horses in this lineup, so don't reach for the phone just yet;
	Jaïr Du Cochet (FR) - Has a similar profile to It Takes Time going into this race in that he is a top-class hurdler who has suggested strongly that he has translated that ability to the larger obstacles. He was particularly impressive when winning at Kempton at Christmas, yet despite that sparkling display, punters are being persuaded to avoid him because of his pilot, Jacques Ricou...what utter nonsense!!! I do find it a little sad that we taint the enjoyment that connections surely get from winning races in this country due to the over the top baiting of young Monsieur Ricou who is still learning his trade. Last year he was 4th highest in the French jockey's championship and he has a perfectly respectable completion-to-runs ratio for the horses he has ridden in both France and this country. He is a very quiet horseman who allows his horses to organise themselves as would be usually the case in France and is learning to adapt that skill to the British style of racing. He got a lot of criticism last time for Jaïr Du Cochet "putting down" on him in the Reynoldstown Chase at Ascot giving him no chance of staying in the saddle (though there are many punters who will say he should have stayed on)...absolutely no chance of that and as it's unclear whether or not he would have won that day, in many ways the form of that race is best ignored. My comments regarding It Takes Time also apply to him, though I can understand why connections may believe they have a little bit more time with him. However, as he is unlikely to be aimed at the Gold Cup at this late stage, he has to be considered a major player in this race...he should be on your shortlist for consideration;
	Joss Naylor - Unbeaten over fences this season and did well to withhold the late thrust of Tarxien here over 2m5f here last time out. Not sure he would be quite good enough if these all lined up, however as a few of these could yet go for the Gold Cup, he should be near the top of your shortlist;
	Keen Leader - Gorgeous 7-year-old son of Supreme Leader, built in the old-fashioned mould of chasers who has done absolutely nothing wrong over fences and was particularly impressive when winning at Wetherby before benefiting from the departure 4 out of Jaïr Du Cochet in the Reynoldstown Chase at Ascot. It's difficult to know what would have happened that day because Keen Leader was fiddling his way round and has yet to demonstrate that he can show the "gears" that for example other opponents have demonstrated when winning this season. That said, there is no doubt in my mind that he is "from the top drawer" and like It Takes Time and Jaïr Du Cochet, would in my view gain far more benefit/experience by taking his chance in the Gold Cup which he is still currently in than slugging it out here;
	Le Coudray (FR) - Has an almost identical profile to It Takes Time in that he is a former top-class hurdler who doesn't have very many miles on the clock (having missed 3 seasons through injury) and he looked good when landing the Pierse Group Drinmore Novice Chase [gr. 1] at Fairyhouse and the Denny Gold Medal Novice Chase [gr. 1] at Leopardstown. Connections, because of his age must be tempted to have a go here, especially as we know that the trip shouldn't be too much of a problem (he probably should have won the Stayers Hurdle 4 years ago had he been given a more attacking ride when swinging off the bridle when turning for home). However, I wonder how keen they would be to do that on the back of a fall in the Dr. P.J. Moriarty Novice Chase [gr. 1], where he was upsides Barrow Drive at the last, and it now seems that connections are more keen to go for the Cathcart...That probably is very sensible, however I'd respect him if he were to line up here although being unproven at the trip, it's difficult to accurately gauge his true worth. That said, I do remember Brown Chamberlain being given a similar preparation before winning this prize, so that wouldn't necessarily put me off of him;
	One Knight - Has looked good when winning at Chepstow and Exeter, however does race as though this trip possibly stretches his stamina. I am aware that he is the subject of strong each-way support so clearly there are many punters who disagree with that point of view;
	Ross River - Gets a mention due to his good form between the flags last season as well as landing the Powers Gold Label Point-To-Point Championship Final (a bumper) last April. There are races to be won with him, but I would be very surprised if it was here;
	Skippers Cleuch - Former useful Novice Hurdler who has been nursed back to health by Lenny Lungo to win two of his three starts. He has yet to encounter opposition of this calibre and could be found wanting when push comes to shove;
	Stormez (FR) - Has proved to be far more shrewd a purchase than when some pundits originally suggested when getting trounced on his first two starts in this country as a result of being given an entry in last year's Champion on the strength of some useful performances in France over hurdles. He has since shown that staying is his forte and has been well placed by connections to win seven races this season over trips between 2m~7½f and 4 miles. He isn't the obvious candidate, with there not being much of him however what he lacks in scope he more than makes up for in heart. I believe his is being aimed for the 4-miler at this meeting, however he probably wouldn't disgrace himself if he were allowed to take his chance here instead;
	Tarxien - Impossible to fault having won three of his four starts this term, his only defeat coming as a result of a last-fence blunder over 2 ½ miles where he only just failed to get back up past Joss Naylor. He does stay this trip and would warrant your attention should he line up, however he is also likely to be entered for the Cathcart and at this stage that seems to be a far more realistic target;
	The Bajan Bandit - Looked really promising in his younger days in bumpers and over hurdles, however has been made to look pedestrian in his most recent starts and I can't see how he would be good enough to win this prize on his most recent form...the stable's poor form is hardly a cause for optimism either.

¦"OUR VERDICT" ¦:¬»- Very difficult race to call as at the moment, it's conceivable that the favourite Keen Leader and third favourite, It Takes Time may take their chance in the Gold Cup, instead of this Grade 1 event. I wholeheartedly endorse that view and I wouldn't be surprised if they acquitted themselves creditably, however I do believe the same comment also applied to Jair De Cochet, and to be honest if you looked at the lineup, only possibly Tarxien, Joss Naylor, Farmer Jack and Le Coudray would make you think that they were capable of performing well in Grade 1 company. These are in my view the likeliest winners of this race and for all the rhetoric spoken about the partnership, I wouldn't want to swap Jair Du Cochet and Jacques Ricou here. I know that combinations sometimes have their glitches, however this combination get it right more often than they get it wrong. More significantly, I do believe he has a more telling change of pace than these rivals and that may ultimately be what determines the outcome. 
¦ 1^ ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬»- Jair Du Cochet
¦ 2nd Place? ¦:¬»-It Takes Time
¦ 3rd Place? ¦:¬»-Keen Leader
¦ 4th Place? ¦:¬»-Joss Naylor

|¯¯iii^¯CHELTENHAM¯¯|¯¯¯»- 3:15 THE QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION STEEPLE CH'2miles~£250,000 - Class A, Grade One, Total Prize Fund £250,000 Cheltenham, Wednesday, March 12, 2003, 2m. For 5yo & upwards. Weights: 5yo 11st 9lb; 6yo & upwards 12st. Allowances: mares 5lb. Entries closed January 1, entries released January 6 (23 entries), forfeit stage February 19, £12,500 supplementary stage March 7, five-day confirmation stage March 7, overnight declaration stage, 10.15am March 11.
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¦ "the rook" ¦:¬»- The Queen Mother Champion Chase is the main race on Day 2 of the meeting and has attracted an initial entry of 23. This years winners will be looking to join the illustrious list of previous winners including Fortria (1960-61),  Dunkirk (1965), Flying Bolt (1966), Drinny's Double (1967-68), Crisp (1971), Royal Relief (1972 & 1974), Sky Mass (1976-7), Hilly Way (1978-79), Badsworth Boy (1983-85), Pearlyman (1987-88), Viking Flagship (1994-95), One Man (1998) as well as previous winners Edredon Bleu and Flagship Uberalles who are also due to line up again here. Here are our thoughts on those horses that stood their ground at the first forfeit stage:

	Cenkos (FR) - Belied pre-race odds when finishing third to Flagship Uberalles last season and has built on that effort, thrashing that rival at Sandown at the end of last season before winning the Tingle Creek Chase impressively just before Christmas. Looked in need of the run behind stablemate Kadarann at Newbury last time out and looks set to give a good account of himself;
	Dark N'Sharp - Hasn't built on the promise shown at the back end of last season when you thought the sky probably was the limit. His third to Rooster Booster over hurdles in November was buy far his best effort to date this season and as much as I like him, I'd be surprised if he were good enough on current evidence;
	Edredon Bleu - Has only tasted defeat once this season behind Cenkos at Sandown in December and has looked as good as ever showing some of the old flair that has ensured that racing fans have taken him to their hearts. 2 ½ miles does however appear to be his best trip these days and it's just possible that he may no longer have the pace to win at this level;
	Flagship Uberalles - Returns to what probably is his optimum trip after failing to stay in the King George VI chase at Kempton at Christmas. Last year's winner has to be respected although he doesn't appear to be coming into the race with the same level of confidence as in previous seasons;
	Florida Pearl - There are many racing fans who will tell you that this horse has the speed to win at 2 miles. He has run well before under big weights at that trip, however those races are a world away from what is required here and even if connections gave him the "nod", I would be amazed if he was to get into the frame;
	Geos - Has had a very strange preparation for this race having finished 3rd to Best Mate at Huntingdon in November, before finishing a creditable 3rd in the Bula Hurdle a few weeks later. After landing the Castleford Chase at Wetherby over Christmas he finished downfield behind Tiutchev at Ascot. Apart from running over hurdles, what I find most odd about his preparation is the fact that he's been asked to race twice this season over a trip he has still to win at in this country. This is his optimum trip and the race should be run to suit him.  There are many who will cross him off their list of possibles. I however believe the opposite - it's probably more realistic;
	Kadarann - A difficult horse to evaluate as a lot of us punters would not have entertained him for this race until his impressive win at Newbury last time out. He is a good horse who will no doubt continue to win races for Paul Nichols, however is really he that good?...I'm not sure;
	Killultagh Storm  - ...Oi, Willie Mullins, NO!!!!!!   'Ow can yer run a 'andicapper in a Grade 1 chase???
	Lady Cricket - Deserves a tilt at this price after good performances last season including when just getting touched off by Blowing Wind in the Mildmay Of Flete Handicap. She has been lightly campaigned this season however she confirmed her love for the course when staying on strongly to beat Shamawan at Cheltenham last month and has since run creditably behind Kadarann at Newbury (at ground that would have been too fast for her). Given suitable ground, she might be capable of a good effort here if she can "lie handy" early on;
	Latalomne (USA) - Looked the likely winner last season when falling two out in this event. However, that fall seems to have dented his confidence and whilst he might prevail, I wouldn't be rushing out to back him today;
	Macs Gildoran - I know connections hold him in high regard, however it's difficult to get enthused about a horse who has won a handicap off of a mark of 121 and he appears to have some way to go before he is capable of performing at this level;
	Moscow Flyer - The current ante-post favourite only has one blip on his record this season when he unseated Barry Geraghty after cannoning into Flagship Uberalles at the 4th in the Tingle Creek Chase at Sandown in December. Would appear to have had the perfect preparation and as long as he puts in a clear round, he should be very difficult to beat;
	Native Upmanship - Stayed on strongly to get 2nd last year and is another horse who comes here after failing to last home in the King George VI Steeplechase at Kempton. 2 ½ miles is definitely his optimum trip, although I would not be surprised if he doesn't post another good effort here;
	Redemption - Whenever you get a bridle horse in a race which has in it plenty of assured pace, they are usually always worth a second look. That said, Redemption has been found wanting in lesser company this season and it's hard to be enthused about his chances here;
	Seebald (GER) - On paper, Seebald looks to be the 3rd choice of Martin Pipe's entry, however he has run creditably in defeat in each of his three races this season and gets an opportunity to show us what he can do on his more favoured fast surface...shouldn't be readily dismissed;
	Strong Run - A fast ground horse who connections have saved for the spring who won the BMW Chase [gr. 1] at Punchestown last season. He doesn't look to be good enough on paper, however conditions currently should suit, so you never know;
	Tiutchev - Connections appear to have had second thoughts about going for this race having previously intended to aim him for the Grand Nakayama Jump in Japan. He looked good when storming home to win impressively at Ascot last time out, however the jury is still out on whether he is still able to perform to that level at this distance, especially in a race run frenetically from end to end;
	Turgeonev (FR) - Looked capable of going to the top over this trip last season, however seems to be in the grip of the handicapper and hasn't done anything recently to suggest he's good enough to land this prize;
	Wahiba Sands - Hasn't yet shown me that he still has the same passion for the game as he had in previous seasons and although he's the sort of horse that's capable of causing a surprise there is nothing on record from recent months to suggest that that is at all likely;
	Young Devereaux - Fragile, but talented chaser who outbattled Seebald to land the Victor Chandler chase at Ascot in January. Pulled up swiftly when still in with a chance last time out at Ascot (I believe connections said that he knocked himself), however that form should not be taken literally and he would be interesting if allowed to take his chance today.

¦"OUR VERDICT" ¦:¬»- The leading candidates, Moscow Flyer, Kadarann, Cenkos, Tiutchev, Flagship Uberalles, Edredon Bleu, Native Upmanship, Seebald and Lady Cricket are obvious and it's fairly safe to assume that the winner will come from this list. I've seen nothing to dissuade me from Moscow Flyer, who if he puts in a clear round should be very hard to beat here.  Of the remainder, I do think Seebald and Lady Cricket represents solid each-way claims at current odds. Whilst Geos is a massive price, he is back at a track he likes, over a trip where he has shown his best form in this country.
¦ 1^ ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬»-Moscow Flyer 
¦ 2nd Place? ¦:¬»- Lady Cricket (e/w)
¦ 3rd Place? ¦:¬»-Geos
¦ 4th Place? ¦:¬»-Seebald

|¯¯iv^¯CHELTENHAM¯¯|¯¯¯»-4:00 Coral Eurobet Cup (Handicap Hurdle)2miles~5f £75,000 - Grade 3, Class A, Wednesday, March 12, 2003, five-year-olds and upwards,2miles~5f, 75,000 total prize fund. Penalties: after February 22, a winner of a Class A to C hurdle race 7lb. Entries closed Wednesday, February 12, 2003 (109 Entries), entries released Monday, February 17, weights released Wednesday, February 26.
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¦ "one to jump" ¦ ~~ Are there any horses from "ONE TO JUMP" 2002/3 - Our feature which; each season, provides a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season?:¬»-Tucacas (FR) & Chicuelo (FR)
¦ "the rook" ¦:¬»- The Coral Cup is one of the best innovations of recent festivals as this 2 1/2 mile handicap hurdle has thrown up a fine mix of exciting finishes, controversy and (like last year's winner Ilnamar) top class performances. This looks to be a particularly good renewal of the race and after wading through the 100-odd entrants here are the horses that attracted our attention the most:

	Sacundai  (11st 12lbs)- Decent novice hurdler last season who has won two from three this term, including the Bank Of Ireland Hurdle at Naas in January, as well as the Red Mills Trial Hurdle (Grade 2) from Liss A Paoraigh at Gowran Park last month... a class act, who despite topweight warrants close consideration here.
	Over The Bar  (11st 7lbs) - Hasn't really progressed since finishing second to Galileo in last season's Royal & SunAlliance Novices' Hurdle, and his second to Emotional Moment in the McCabe Builders Ltd Boyne Hurdle [gr. 2] doesn't offer up much comfort.. That said he is a good horse who it may be unwise to write off here.
	Quazar  (11st 6lbs) - Tough and consistent handicapper who has won 2 of his last 3 starts, most recently at Haydock eleven days ago. Usually always gives 100% effort and you can be assured that this horse will be staying on when others cry "enough";
	Spirit Leader  (11st 5lbs)-Jessica Harrington has gone on record as saying that this mare is best receiving weight against decent opposition rather than conceding weight against lesser types. With those comments in mind, whilst you cannot question the excellence of her form shown when winning the Tote Gold Trophy at Newbury last time out, you'd fear she may have plenty to do at these terms today;
	Palua (11st 5lbs) - Useful handicapper on the flat when trained by Ian Balding, who has taken well to hurdles.. that said, he was soundly beaten by Deano's Beeno in the Rendlesham Hurdle [gr. 2] and will need to improve a little to win this off of this mark;
	Tucacas (FR) (11st 5lbs) - - On her day, she is one of the better mares currently in training as demonstrated by her win here in November. She cut very little ice on her last engagement however will have been sweetened up with this or the Coral Cup in mind. You have to respect her if connections allow her to take her chance;
	Spectrometer (11st 3lbs) - Considered frankly to be a little ungenuine before staying on from another parish to win over course and distance last time out. Looks to have plenty of weight here, however as there is a chance that he may be improving, it may be foolhardy to dismiss him out of hand;
	Chauvinist  (11st 3lbs) - Looked decent when winning his first two starts at Ascot including the valuable Ladbroke (Handicap Hurdle), however failed to fire after being raised in the weights in the Tote Gold Trophy at Newbury. Has the potential to run well given ideal conditions and a strong pace but might have better claims in the Supreme Novices Hurdle;
	Chopneyev (FR) (11st 0lbs) - Fast improving novice who has stepped up on some mediocre efforts last term to win three times this term including winning a valuable handicap hurdle at Sandown before beating all bar the well-weighted Korelo at Ascot last time out. Gives the impression that he might prefer further, however the likely strong end-to-end gallop is sure to play to his strengths;
	Yeoman's Point  (11st 0lbs)- Caused plenty of controversy in this last year and failing to take up his entry (due to connections failing to declare him when favourite for this prize) he has been in good heart again this season, and despite being higher in the weights, could still give a good account of himself here;
	Full Irish  (10st 13lbs) - Ran up a string of successes last season for Lenny Lungo, however despite having shown similar form this season, it's difficult to get involved in horses from a yard so badly out of form;
	Image De Marque II (FR) (10st 13lbs)- Nicely treated on the pick of her form last season, however for the second time in her career took a crashing fall, which may well have affected her confidence.... Probably best to see how she is on the day, though she does have a chance here.
	Dream With Me (FR) (10st 13lbs)-Vastly improved this season since joining Nicholashayne after disappointing last season when trained by Charlie Edgerton. Martin Pipe has done well to win five races with him this season, however may now be just in the grip of the handicapper here;
	Emotional Moment  (10st 13lbs) - Vastly improved irish handicapper who stepped in grade to land the McCabe Builders Ltd Boyne Hurdle (Grade 2) at Navan last time out. His only defeat this season was at the hands of Xenophon in the Pierse Hurdle, however he meets that rival on more favourable terms here and certainly has to go onto the shortlist here;
	Samon (GER) (10st 12lbs)- Has disappointed me slightly as he hasn't replicated the form shown when cruising home on his British debut at Taunton almost a year ago. Didn't run too badly behind Quasar last time at Haydock but will need to show some improvement to win this;
	Too Forward  (10st 12lbs )- He was particularly impressive last term when winning the River Don Novices' Hurdle [gr. 2] over 3m~½f last season from Stromness by 3lengths, however he was beaten fair and square when coming seventh to Galileo in last season's Royal & SunAlliance Novices' Hurdle, and hasn't raced since finished well behind Stromness in the Martell Sefton Novices' Hurdle [gr. 1] at the National Meeting.. fitness will need to be taken on trust;
	Chicuelo (FR) (10st 11lbs) - Very interesting entry as connections clearly have the view that this Steeplechase course may be too demanding for him. Has no previous lines of hurdles form to rate him on, therefore might be very interesting in a race where you'd think his jumping wouldn't be as tested as it would over larger obstacles;
	Camden Tanner (10st 10lbs)- A model of consistency this season who has finished in the frame on each of 3 starts to date. Lost nothing in defeat behind Chopneyev last time out at Sandown however as on that occasion, might be vulnerable to a horse that has shown improved recent form;
	Ravenswood  (10st 10lbs)-Fast ground hurdler, who would run well here if he returned to the sort of form shown at around this time a year ago. Conditions are though imperative and I wouldn't want to entertain him unless I could guarantee that conditions were ideal for him;
	Xenophon (10st 9lbs) - Amongst my favourite horses in training. I'd be very hopeful of this son of Toulon making his mark over the larger obstacles in due course. There's plenty to like about the ability he's shown thus far over hurdles and has caught the eye on both occasions he has run this season, most recently when travelling sweetly throughout before coming with a well-timed challenge to land the Piers Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown 59 days ago. Despite going up in the weights, he still looks well-treated and would have to be respected if taking up this engagement;
	Korelo (FR) (10st 7lbs)- Is the sort of horse that Martin Pipe does particularly well with from France as he is a 5-year-old who has shown plenty of promise over both codes without winning before being well-placed to win on these shores, most recently when readily disposing of Chopneyev in a valuable handicap at Ascot 25 days ago. He is another who looks to be well-treated on paper and would have to be respected if he took up this engagement;
	Calling Brave (10st 7lbs) - Warrants respect after impressing when winning twice this term, however he has been soundly beaten by Coolnagorna (who beat him 30 lengths at Newbury) and Foreman (who readily disposed of him last time out at Kempton). Has a fair weight for a novice, but is at least open to improvement here;
	Double Honour (FR) (10st 6lbs)- Looked very impressive when winning on his debut at Huntingdon and Exeter, however was trounced by Foreman last time out at Kempton. Not quite sure what to make of him. It might be that despite staying well on the flat, he may not appreciate a distance of ground over obstacles... it could be that Kempton was too sharp for him.. either way he is nicely weighted here and makes far more appeal here than he does in the Royal & SunAlliance Hurdle.
	Taming (10st 4lbs) - Diminutive hurdler who carried all before him during the summer months and to his credit towards the end of last season. Only has 10st 4lbs and at first glance, does appear to be interesting, however has been on the go now for a long time and doesn't suggest to me that he necessarily possess the scope for much more improvement;
	Miss Fara (FR) (10st 2lbs)-Thrown in on her old form, Miss Fara would be difficult to beat if this were a flat race. Showed precious little on her only start this season and her ability to show improvement has to be taken on trust;
	Tardar (NZ) (10st 2lbs) - Has won twice at Chepstow after an encouraging British debut behind Translucid at Warwick in November... Should be suited to how the race will be run, however I'm not sure whether he'll be good enough
	Farinel (10st 1lb)- Useful handicap hurdler who ran well behind Ravenswood at Aintree in April... hasn't replicated that form since but has dropped a few pounds in the weights, and would have to be respected should he line up here.
	Covent Garden (10st 1lb) - Difficult to evaluate despite having won all his 5 starts this season. Clearly is still on the upgrade and certainly comes into the reckoning off of this weight...though whether he has got the class to win this is open to conjecture;
	Creon (10st 1lb)- You won't have seen an easier winner of a race this season if you'd seen how motionless Liam Cooper was on this animal at Chepstow last time out.. ideally weighted at the moment and could represent a decent eachway bet if he ran here instead of the Pertemps Final;
	Dubai Seven Stars (10st 0lb)- Has run creditably this season over hurdles without matching the level of improvement shown on the flat during last summer. He has however been laid out for this. therefore would have to be respected here;
	Mise Rafutai (10st 1lb) - Although he has a good season winning four handicap hurdles in succession, including beating Spirit Leader at Gowran Park in October... He has been raised significantly in the weights, since th beginning of the season, and you'd have to wonder whether the handicapper hasn't got his mark now
	Sud Bleu (FR)  (9st 12lbs) - Talented ex-French hurdler who is thrown in on bits of form shown over the last two seasons, however doesn't appear to relish a battle and for all his ability, it's difficult to imagine him winning this prize;
	Campaign Trial (9st 9lbs) - Two wins in minor company has Jonjo O'Neill's runner creeping into the handicap here off of an attractive looking mark... he'll be worth a second look if he takes up this engagement, especially as you wouldnt be certain quite how good he is.
	Safari Paradise (FR) (9st 5lbs)- Every single time I see this horse, I wonder why he's never won a race...he looks every inch the chaser. He seems to have the right sort of attitude though after 29 attempts, you start to wonder whether there is a will mentally to win here. He is a long way out of the handicap however it wouldn't entirely surprise me if he didn't belie likely odds and gained a top-ten placing. I'll leave you to decide whether you think those credentials make him worth and each-way bet.

¦"OUR VERDICT" ¦:¬»- Korelo is all the rage for this open handicap hurdle however this is not a one horse affair and Emotional Moment, Xenophon, Chicuelo, Camden Tanner, Yeomans Point, Chopneyev, Calling Brave, Double Honour, Tucacas, Chauvinist, Palua and Sacundai all would have to be considered here. The least exposed of these is Xenophon who did exceptionally well to win the Piers Hurdle on his 4th racecourse appearance and he would have to get my vote if connections went for this instead of the County Hurdle. After him, in order of preference would be Double Honour (well handicapped), Emotional Moment (on the upgrade) and Tucacas (a classy mare who has been laid out for this race), and Chicuelo, [very interesting here over hurdles]. 
¦ 1^ ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬»- Xenophon
¦ 2nd Place? ¦:¬»- Double Honour
¦ 3rd Place? ¦:¬»-Emotional Moment
¦ 4th Place? ¦:¬»-Tucacas (e/w)

|¯¯v^¯CHELTENHAM¯¯|¯¯¯»- 4:35 National Hunt Steeple ch' Challenge Cup 4m £45,000
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¦ "one to jump" ¦ ~~ Are there any horses from "ONE TO JUMP" 2002/3 - Our feature which; each season, provides a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season?:¬»-Dark Room & Jurançon II (FR)
¦ "the rook" ¦:¬»- The National Hunt Chase has been run more often than any other race at the Festival meeting and until the 1930s, only the Grand National was more important in the jump calendar. There are 71 entries, 24 of whom come from Ireland. Unfortunately for us, the weight declarations may not come out before we leave for Gloucester, however that doesn't stop us from highlighting who we believe the main principals are:

	Another General - A useful Novice Hurdler last season. Won a Novice Chase at Doncaster in good style. Hasn't raced over the trip but gives the indication that he shouldn't be inconvenienced by it;
	Ask Henry - A half-brother to stable companion Valley Henry, Ask Henry has been in good form in his first season under rules finishing in the first two in each of his four starts, winning on one occasion. He races as though he would appreciate a step up in trip and would have serious claims if connections take up the options to run;
	Borora King - Impressive novice who has won his last two starts over fences most recently at Fairyhouse in January... Connections were looking at some of our long distance chases with him, so they clearly believe that he'll stay this trip
	Dark Room -  One win in an ordinary novice chase at Market Rasen isn't exactly the greatest recommendation for this race, however this horse showed a lot of ability between the flags in Ireland last year, and its just possible a step up in distance might bring about some improvement.. it'll need to.
	Dionn Righ - Has been placed to good effect to win his last two starts at Sedgefield, however as well as he may run here, he will need to improve to figure here
	Druid's Glen - Is having a good season, already posting two wins this term, as well as running well in defeat behind Hand Inn Hand at Kempton last month...a step up in trip will probably suit and I wouldnt rule out a bold showing
	Haut Cercy (FR) - Has been a model of consistency over fences, winning cheekily at Wincanton, before being outclassed by Keen Leader at Wetherby... He was 5th last season in this race, [btn 25lengths] and will probably need to better that effort to figure this time around.
	Hedgehunter - Until he won last time out, Hedgehunter looked to be a horse to avoid having finished 2nd in 8 of his 12 starts under rules. He did however make all when winning the Grand National trial at Punchestown last time out and it might just be that more aggressive tactics are required to bring out the best in him. Probably isn't high on most people's lists for success, however it's just possible connections have found his niche;
	Hersov - The winner of two from three starts this season, only tasting defeat behind Stormez at Newbury on his latest start [btn 24lengths]...the extra distance should bring them closer together, however he will need to improve to figure if the main principals stay
	I'vehadit - A useful handicap hurdler last season, who has taken well to steeplechasing, winning twice this season including the Woodlands Park 100 Club Novice Chase (Grade 3) at Naas in January.. this trip will suit and he should be capable of giving a good account of himself.
	Joly Bey (FR) - Has competed well against some of the better novices this season, and could not have had been more impressive last time in a 3miles hurdle at Chepstow last time out. .. One of the "class acts" in the line up, who should give a good account of himself here.
	Jungle Jinx - Has done nothing wrong this season, only tasting defeat once at the hands of Keen Leader at Wetherby last month. He is unproven at this trip but is a resolute galloper who may be suited by the step up in trip.. should go well here.
	Jurançon II (FR) - Lightly raced gelding who impressed when winning a handicap hurdle here under top weight on his reappearance in November, before winning a novice chase at Uttoxeter.. Connections have been aiming him at a couple of the decent staying handicaps so clearly feel he can improve for stepping up in distance... A useful second string for Martin Pipe to have to his bow.
	Kemal's Council - A winner twice this season before falling at the 6th in the Singer & Friedlander National Trial Showcase Handicap (Chase) (Listed Race), won by his stablemate Mini Sensation.. like Jurançon II, connections obviously believe that this type of trip suits and is another strong candidate from Jackdaws Castle.
	Only Once - A winner last season between the flags in Ireland. Has only had one start to date in this country when winning a minor event at Sedgefield in January. Trainer Lenny Lungo knows what's required and you'd have to respect his claims if he turned up on the day;
	Over The Storm - Winner of a point in Ireland on his second start in February '02, Over The Storm is held in high regards by connections, and has run well in all three starts under rules, winning on his debut at Doncaster in December, before finishing in the frame on the next two occasions, most recently when finishing third to Yann's at Taunton last month... this form isn't good enough, however he is open to any amount of improvement, and may be a better horse at this sort of trip.
	Polar Champ - A great purchase by connections for whom he has won 13 races, including this season over fences. Ran a great race last time out when he was collared on the run-in by Sir Frosty here over 4m~1f in January and though others are preferred does at least warrant eachway consideration.  Putsometnby - Has improved since joining Jonjo O'Neill and was very unlucky not to win last time out at Doncaster when he fell at the last fence, with the race won. He'd cruised through from the rear two out and was at length 10lengths clear when clipping the top of the last. The pace of the race should suit him and he could go well here, however he is nicely weighted in the Kim Muir and may be more likely to run there.
	Stormez (FR) - Has proved to be far more shrewd a purchase than when some pundits originally suggested when getting trounced on his first two starts in this country as a result of being given an entry in last year's Champion on the strength of some useful performances in France over hurdles. He has since shown that staying is his forte and has been well placed by connections to win seven races this season over trips between 2m~7½f and 4 miles. Has outstanding credentials and would have to go onto the short list if he isn't heavily penalised in the weights;
	Sudden Shock -  Was a useful hurdler in his use in Germany and France and proved last term [when finishing 2 lengths behind It takes Time in the Bet.Watch.Live Attheraces Hurdle] that he possesses plenty of ability. He isn't however a natural to steeplechasing and has fallen in two of the three starts over fences. A school around behind Stormez last time will have helped the confidence, however he does still need to translate that hurdles ability to be worth considering here;
	What Odds - a four-time winning point-to-pointer who had been pulled up on his racecourse debut in a hunters' chase won by Shackleton at Clonmel, before impressing on next time out when beating a useful field at Fairyhouse 2 weeks ago. Probably has plenty to do here, holds an engagement in the Foxhunters however would be worth a second glance were he to line-up here
	Whereareyounow - Joined Nigel Twiston Davies' yards after being placed in Irish point-to-point and has creditably without winning behind the likes of La Landiere, Joss Naylor and Keen Leader... A step up in trip may suit him and he certainly warrants eachway consideration here.
	Young Ottoman - A useful staying novice hurdler last season , Young Ottoman has finished in the frame in three of his four starts over fences, most recently where making heaving weather over beating Moorlands Again at Plumpton last month... stamina won him that prize and it might be that it is this that ensures that he figures prominently in my calculations

¦"OUR VERDICT" ¦:¬»- Stormez has been laid out for this and if he lines up I would find it impossible to pass him over. In his absence (or demise), Ask Henry, Hedgehunter and Jurancon II seem likeliest to take advantage.
¦ 1^ ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬»- Stormez
¦ 2nd Place? ¦:¬»- Hedgehunter (e/w)
¦ 3rd Place? ¦:¬»-Ask Henry
¦ 4th Place? ¦:¬»-Jurancon II

|¯¯vi^¯CHELTENHAM¯¯|¯¯¯»- 5:10 Mildmay of Flete Handicap Steeple ch'2miles~4½f £75,000 - Class A, Wednesday, March 12, 2003, £75,000 total prize fund, two miles and about four furlongs, five-year-olds and upwards. Penalties: after February 22, a winner of a class C chase 3lb, of a class A or B chase, 6lb. Entries closed February 12 (75 entries), entries released February 17, weights released February 26, five-day confirmation stage March 7, final declaration stage 10.15am, March 11. Form figures supplied by Weatherbys may not include some overseas runs and are correct up to Friday, February 14, 2003.
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¦ "one to jump" ¦ ~~ Are there any horses from "ONE TO JUMP" 2002/3 - Our feature which; each season, provides a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season?:¬»-Dark'N Sharp (GER), Horus & Goguenard (FR) 
¦ "the rook" ¦:¬»- Atypically well-contested renewal of the Mildmay of Flete, has shown up the following candidates for success; 

	Lady Cricket (FR) (11st 12lbs) - Touched off by Blowing Wind in the Mildmay Of Flete Handicap. She has been lightly campaigned this season however she confirmed her love for the course when staying on strongly to beat Shamawan at Cheltenham last month and has since run creditably behind Kadarann at Newbury (on ground that would have been too fast for her). Given suitable ground, she might be capable of a good effort here;
	Cyfor Malta (FR) (11st 11lbs)- Is more likely to be aimed at the Gold Cup than this, however  he has solid form over course and distance and would be respected if he lined up here;
	La Landiere (FR) (11st 3lbs)-A progressive mare, who has impressed when winning her last five starts culminating in an impressive win in the Racing Post Chase at Kempton last month... Connections are considering the Cathcart Challenge Chase  at the moment [instead of the Gold Cup, which I would have done win lose or draw]
	Royal Auclair (FR) (11st 0lbs)-Royal Auclair is in the grip of the handicapper, and is proving difficult to place, however he didn't run too badly behind Valley Henry in the Aon Chase [gr. 2], [perversely giving 4lbs to that rivals] ... that wasn't a bad effort, however he needs to improve a little to figure here;
	Fondmort (FR) (10st 13lbs)-Has had a good season this term, winning the Triple Gold Cup at Cheltenham in December, however he didn't appear to stay when seventh to La Landiere in the Racing Post Chase Showcase Handicap [gr. 3] last time out at Kempton and may appreciate the step back in trip here
	Armaturk (FR) (10st 11lbs)- Hasn't quite developed into the two-mile chaser that many of us believed that he would during last season, however as he proved when winning last time out, he still retains plenty of ability. Has a respectable weight here however could be vulnerable to novices or improving types.
	Dark'N Sharp (GER) (10st 7lbs)-Hasn't built on the promise shown at the back end of last season when you thought the sky probably was the limit. His third to Rooster Booster over hurdles in November was buy far his best effort to date this season and as much as I like him, I'd have wanted more to have full confidence in him... stable are going through a good spell at present.
	Ballinclay King  (10st 6lbs)- Has similar credentials to stablemate Historg (who we highlighted amongst our possibles for the William Hill National Hunt Chase on Day One) in that if you ignore a below-par effort last time out, you could argue a strong case for this horse here, particularly after his runaway success on the new course in January. Reportedly, he is in rude health and can be expected to give a good account of himself here.
	Poliantas (FR) (10st 6lbs) - Improving second season chaser who has only thrown in one poor effort since joining Paul Nichols last time out when finishing 17 lengths behind Lady Cricket at Cheltenham in January. Might be open to further improvement and is definitely one to consider
	Horus  (10st 3lbs) - Former useful hunter chaser was on a roll at the beginning of the season, winning his first 4 starts before having his Gold Cup credentials derailed on the new course in January. He has run creditably since, however you have to start to wonder whether the handicapper has for the moment got his measure.
	Shamawan  (10st 2lbs)-Would be very interesting if he lined up as you could argue that he posted his best ever performance last time out over 2m 5f here behind Lady Cricket in January... a shortlist candidate;
	Go Roger Go  (10st 2lbs)- Former winner of the Tripleprint Gold Cup has made a satisfactory return to the racecourse finishing in the frame in each of his 3 starts. Has been given a chance by the handicapper and appears to retain enough ability to be worth considering here.
	Blowing Wind (FR) (10st 1lb)- AA All-Weather's favourite horse, who's late flourish up the Cheltenham Hill took him past Lady Cricket et al to win at the rewarding odds of 25/1 this time last year. Has failed to show anything worthy of comment this season, however I don't remember him doing much before being successful 12 months ago...I think I know one punter who probably  be "on", regardless.
	Hermes III (FR) (10st 0lb)-Has shown good form in his two starts over fences in this country, cruising home at Sandown in December before finishing a good 3rd to Lady Cricket and Shamawan at Cheltenham in January. Still open to improvement and can still conceivably reverse placings with these principals;
	Arctic Copper  (9st 13lbs)- Admirably consistent chaser who has finished in the frame in each of his last 7 starts, most recently when beating Fadoudal De Cochet to win the Paddy & Helen Cox Memorial Newlands Chase at Naas last two weeks ago. Looks attractively weighted here (despite being 1lb "wrong") and must enter calculations here.
	Europa (9st 11lbs)- I don't think Europa has fulfilled the promise that many pundits thought he showed in his younger days. However, that is (in my view) partly because connections seem to be quite happy to run him over 2 - 2 1/2 miles when he gives the impression that a step-up in trip would bring about further improvement. He has already confirmed that he still retains a lot of his ability however despite racing here off an attractive mark, I would still be concerned that he may not have enough speed to win this sort of race at this level...however I'm prepared to accept that in his case, I could be wrong.
	Redemption (9st 11lbs)- "Come from behind" chaser who when all goes well, can look and race like a useful individual. He does though, not always find much off of the bridle and despite his weight, you couldn't help but feel there was something here with more resolution than him.
	Goguenard (FR) (9st 10lbs)- Seems to reserve his best form for Haydock these days where you can measure improvement in each of his appearances there this season. He does have a chance here, however he's not personally one for me.
	Claymore (9st 9lbs)- Useful novice who looks promising when completing the course and his defeat of the Queen's "First Love" will guarantee he gets a "second reading". It's a pity his jumping is so "hit and miss" as apart from that, it's hard to be critical about him.
	Ross Moff  (9st 5lbs)- Former useful novice chaser who is struggling to regain former glories. In a lot of cases, you'd probably dismiss his chances out of hand, however he hails from one of the shrewdest yards around and if they believe he still retains his ability, you have to take notice and listen.
	The Villager  (9st 5lbs)- Careful placement has ensured that he has won twice over fences this season, most recently at Exeter last month. However, when stepped up in grade, he has been found wanting (finished a long way behind It Takes Time at Haydock in January). Will have to at the moment carry plenty of overweight and could do with some of the top-weights coming out to give him a more realistic shout here.
	Halexy (FR) (9st 4lbs)- Against lesser opposition, Halexy looks particularly useful...the same cannot be said for when he takes on opposition such as this. I would have needed to see him run "competitively" to want to back him here today.
	Cornish Gale (9st 1lb)- Very good novice chaser a couple of seasons ago. Cornish Gale was pulled up early on in his comeback race at Newbury in February. His fitness has to be taken on trust, however he certainly looked well and warrants consideration for that reason alone;
	Avalanche (FR) (8st 13lbs)-  Much improved this season over fences, Avalanche has been running well of late, most recently when chasing home Mr Bossman last month. He is a fair way out of the handicap however would warrant respect if the weights were to rise.
	Tango Royal (FR) (8st 13lbs)- Is thrown in on his French form, however has never replicated that in this country. The closest he came was in this race last year where he weakened up the final hill after looking menacing jumping two out.

¦"OUR VERDICT" ¦:¬»- Lady Cricket heads the weights in an attempt to overturn last season's agonising defeat by stablemate Blowing Wind. Those two, as well as Ballinclay King, Claymore, Europa, Fondmort, Hermes III, Lad Landiere and Shamawan appear to have the best claims. At this tentative stage, I would be tempted in an interest in Shamawan to reverse form on Lady Cricket, however this decision is only marginal over Europa, Hermes III and Claymore. 
¦ 1^ ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬»- Shamawan
¦ 2nd Place? ¦:¬»- Europa
¦ 3rd Place? ¦:¬»-Hermes III
¦ 4th Place? ¦:¬»-Claymore

|¯¯vii^¯CHELTENHAM¯¯|¯¯¯»- 5:45 Weatherbys Champion Bumper (NH Flat Race)2miles~½f £40,000
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¦ "one to jump" ¦ ~~ Are there any horses from "ONE TO JUMP" 2002/3 - Our feature which; each season, provides a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season?:¬»-Royal Alphabet, Back to Ben Alders, Liberman, Bourbon Manhattan, Cornish Rebel,  & Dempsey 
¦ "the rook" ¦:¬»- The Weatherbys Champion Bumper was inaugurated in 1992. It is the second newest race at the Festival and anybody who doubts the value of such races being on a card probably only needs to look at the list of previous winners  - Montelado (1992), Mucklemeg (1994), Wither Or Which (1996), Florida Pearl (1997), Alexander Banquet (1998), Monsignor (1999) and of course last year Pizarro who is a leading fancy for the SunAlliance Hurdle and Rhinestone Cowboy who came second and is the current favourite for the Champion Hurdle. Connections of the 46 entries will no doubt be hoping that the winner proves to be as good as those winners. I've narrowed down the list of candidates to the following:

	Back To Ben Alder - Reportedly Nicky Henderson's best bumper and went a long way to justifying that tag when sluicing home on his debut at Kempton last month. Looks to have plenty of potential and should give a good account of himself here;
	Be Fair - It would be a lovely story if Don Cantillon could win this race with Be Fair as unlike on the flat, the "little guy" can occasionally bloody the nose of the bigger operations. He definitely has the ability to do this having mopped up 3 wins during his summer campaign and stayed on from an impossible position to finish a respectable 4th to Cornish Rebel on his most recent start at Newbury. He was given plenty to do that day and as long those tactics aren't replicated he is well capable of running well at a nice price;
	Bourbon Manhattan - Unbeaten in two starts this term, Bourbon Manhattan was particularly impressive when sprinting clear of his rivals last time out at Newbury. A strongly run affair will suit and I'm sure he will give a good account of himself;
	Celtic Son (FR) - Created a favourable impression on his racecourse debut at Thurles in February, coming right away from his field to win by 6lengths Four-year-olds have a dreadful record in this race and appear to be totally unfavoured by the weights. This is reflected in the number on entries for this race and the Cheltenham executive would do well to consider introducing a championship for juveniles, however unpopular that might be for punters.
	Cornish Rebel - Best Mate's full brother is suffering the fate of other members of the family as he has already been placed on a pedestal due to his win on his debut last month. Whilst there is no doubt that was a excellent performance, it is worth reminding yourself of how green he was in the closing stages and although I have no doubt he is a good horse (he is after all one of our horses to follow this season) I am concerned that his lack of experience/maturity may be his undoing;
	Crossbow Creek - Impressed when winning his only start to date at Wetherby last month, however is difficult to gauge...he probably has a bit to prove;
	Davenport Democrat - The hounds were barking this horses's name from as early as October of last year and despite a disappointing first effort, easily justified favouritism when winning a Fairyhouse bumper last month by 4 lengths. Difficult to weigh up the form, however as his trainer has won four of the last six runners of this race, you have to respect this horses' chance should he line up;
	Dempsey - Another one of our "One To Jump" horses who made an encouraging debut behind Chelsea Bridge at Kempton last month, staying on strongly to finished 3rd after being "checked" on the home turn. That was a highly encouraging effort and I would expect him to acquit himself creditably here;
	Dizzy's Dream - Difficult to evaluate as he has only had one run, however he did lower the colours of Davenport Democrat at Leopardstown at the beginning of February. Has to be respected if he makes the journey;
	Govamix - Boasts some useful form in this sphere, having chased home Liberman on his penultimate start in April, before beating Loss of Faith decisively at Leopardstown in December... He has respectable form and should give a good account of himself here
	Kim Fontaine (FR) - Has only had one start thus far however surprised his connections when landing a Thurles bumper in January. Very difficult to evaluate, however the fact he hails from Willie Mullin's yard is probably a recommendation in itself;
	Liberman - Another horse from our "One To Jump" feature. Joined Martin Pipe after winning 2 bumpers in Ireland for Paddy Mullins. Had a near impossible task when attempting to concede weight to Rhinestone Cowboy on his British debut at Cheltenham in November. Connections have saved him for this, rather than going hurdling and he would have to be respected here;
	Millers Bay - Miller's Bay is apparently, the apple of trainer Henrietta Knight's eye and has none nothing wrong in two starts to date, finishing second on his debut here in October before making no mistake next time out at Hereford. He has a nice change of gears , which will stand him in good stead here, however he is still very green and he is going to have to have improved mentally to figure prominently here... He will be a much better horse next term.
	Mr Babbage - Another unknown quantity from Willie Mullin's yard who comes here off of the back of a win on his sole start to date in a Clonmel bumper last month. Riding arrangements may best indicate the likelihood of him winning this race;
	Royal Alphabet - Willie Mullin's quartet is completed by Royal Alphabet, a horse I immediately added to our "One To Jump" feature after winning his only start to date in a Galway bumper last August. Reputedly, he is the choice of Ruby Walsh which if confirmed, suggests that he is believed to be the best of Willie Mullin's quartet;
	Storm Boxer - won his only start to date at Leopardstown at the end of January in good style after hitting the front under two furlongs out... although there was only a small turn-out, the race contains a few talking horse and its possible the effort is better than first imagined ... The stable know what's required to win this and he has to be respected
	Triple Rum - Totally unfancied on his racecourse bow at Naas in February, James Leavy's runner belied odds of 50/1 to win by 4lengths, beating some useful rivals in the process... He's unlikely to be as popular again here, however I doubt he'll disgrace himself
	Vodka Bleu (FR) - Purchased by present connections after an impressive win in a Leopardstown bumper in January. He has had one run for new connections when being made to pull out all the stops to win at Haydock ten days ago. He'll need to be a very special juvenile to win this race..
	Widemouth Bay - Unbeaten on both starts this season at Wincanton and Ludlow, however whilst he did well to win both starts, the form shown last time [when dead-heating with Ashley Brook at Ludlow] doesn't appear to be good enough
	Zum See - Improved significantly on his debut effort behind Vodka Bleu at Leopardstown in January, to win more convincing than a neck margin tends to suggest. It was interesting to note trainer Noel Meade's post race comments and he stated that this horse had been held up for a week, before his debut run and missed a couple of bits of work... This expected a much better effort and got one.. the fact there's coming here suggests they believe there may be more to come.

¦"OUR VERDICT" ¦:¬»- Having run so well behind Rhinestone Cowboy, Liberman would appear to have outstanding claims here, however Back To Ben Alder, Cornish Rebel, Dempsey, Kim Fontaine, Royal Alphabet and Storm Boxer all merit consideration. I have to profess having difficulty choosing the selection here with so many of the principals coming from our horses feature "One To Jump". However, if forced to choose, I might be tempted to oppose Lieberman with Royal Alphabet who looked distinctly useful when winning on his debut last August. 
¦ 1^ ~ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬»- Royal Alphabet
¦ 2nd Place? ¦:¬»- Liberman
¦ 3rd Place? ¦:¬»-Kim Fontaine (e/w)
¦ 4th Place? ¦:¬»-Back To Ben Alder