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Analysis
& Selections by
"a
rØøk"
Whether
it be "the race of the day" or a small prize round the gaffs, we
will attempt to use our knowledge of the formbook to highlight the fancied
horses participating each day and their
characteristics and requirements. Hopefully this 'second opinion' provides
you with a winner or two each day, or even reinforces your own view on a
particular may even convince you to back some of those horses which we
feel are the "ones to fear", or have decent eachway claims.
whichever is the case, we hope the information is of use to you.
SELECTIONS
- For each race, we have given you who, in our view, are the likeliest
winners; (1er _ THE WINNER?), as well as any runners who could run well at
eachway odds; (E/W ALTERNATIVE) . Any runner from our features are shown
before each race's analysis.
"GLORIOUS GOODWOOD"
Saturday, August 2
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"First¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.00 Vodafone European Breeders Fund, [E.B.F.] Fillies` Stakes (A) (Registered As The Gladness Stakes) (Listed Race) 11 runners 1Mile~6f Penalty £20300 3-Year-Olds plus fillies
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--The final day of Glorious Goodwood opens with a Listed event for fillies and mares only. Of the eleven declared runners, Approach, Treble Heights, Discreet Brief, Prompt Payment,
Flying Wanda, Allergy and April Stock appear to be the likeliest to prevail. If you ignore Prompt Payment's disappointing effort behind Place Rouge in the Lancashire Oaks last time out, she would have a solid chance here and probably represents the best each-way value of the race. However, Approach (who drops in class having run well behind High Praise last time out at St Cloud) appears to have an outstanding chance here, especially if she appreciates stepping up to 14 furlongs - a trip she has appeared to be crying out for all season. She gets my vote.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Approach
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Prompt Payment (e/w)
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Treble Heights
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Second¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.30 Vodafone Thoroughbred Stakes (A) (Listed Race) 12 runners 1Mile~ Penalty £20300 3-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--Another trappy Listed event, this time for the colts over a mile. Laidlow, Al Turf, Court Masterpiece, Hurricane Alan and Royal Dignitary would appear to have the strongest credentials. In a trappy heat, Laidlow is preferred. He is the least exposed of these runners and didn't run too badly last time when finishing 4th to Trade Fair (beaten 4 lengths). He appears to be one of a select few who is still on an upward curve and hopefully he will improve enough to land the spoils here. Hurricane Alan (who ran well earlier in the week) and
Excelsius (dropping in trip after apparently failing to stay here last time out) look
likeliest to follow him home.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Laidlow (USA)
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Hurricane Alan
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Excelsius
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Third¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.05 Vodafone Nassau Stakes (A) (Group 1) 8 runners 1Mile~1f 192yds Penalty £116000 3-Year-Olds plus fillies
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- A fantastic renewal of this Group 1 event with all eyes
likeliest to be focusing on Russian Rhythm and her first attempt to win a race above a mile. Her form is without reproach and most doubters who question the value of her form shown when winning the 1000 Guineas were surely silenced when she ran away with the Coronation Stakes at the Royal Meeting. This is however another day and one of the most fascinating aspects of this race would seem to be the lack of any guaranteed pace in the race. It seems odd that the connections of Ana Marie, Macadamia, Place Rouge, Zee Zee Top, Cassis, Geminiani and Hi Dubai have not seen fit to put a pacemaker in the lineup, especially when this would almost certainly increase their chances of success. Some of the edge has therefore been taken off this race and if I was to play here, I might be tempted to play and have a little wager on Anna Marie, mainly because you could argue that her 5th to Ange Gabrielle last time out at St Cloud is one of the strongest bits of form in the race. If she is offered at double figures, I think that she is a particularly good option. At the moment, if I were to have a bet on this race, I would have an each-way bet on here.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Anna-Marie (FR) (e/w)
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Russian Rhythm (USA)
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Hi Dubai
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fourth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.40 STEWARDS` CUP (H`cap) - sponsored by Vodafone (B) 30 runners 6f Penalty £58000 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- Thirty runners have been declared for the Steward's Cup and to be frank so many options present themselves that I must say that I am finding it a very hard race to fathom. Personally, looking at how the draw has worked out, you'd think that the highly drawn horses
Patavellian (drawn 27), Fair Jag (22), Fire Up The Band (29) and Good Girl (25) seem
likeliest to score on that side of the race whilst Mutawaqed (12) ,Bombed Becks (6),
Budelli (14) and Frizzante (3) seem best of those drawn high. It's very difficult to get away from
Patavellian on a course who's contours plays to his strengths (his early blinding pace). However, I am suspicious that the handicapper may finally just be getting his measure and I'd be inclined to take a chance on either
Mutawaqed (who easily landed a competitive handicap at Newcastle last time) of Frizzante ( a relatively unexposed 4-year-old who is unbeaten this season). Both of these two appear to have been laid out for the race, however the unknown potential of Frizzante makes marginally more appeal.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Frizzante (e/w)
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Mutawaqed
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Patavellian
¦ 4th Place? ¦:¬»--Bombed Becks
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fifth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.15 Vodafone Racegoers Club Stakes (H`cap) (D) 19 runners 1Mile~1f Penalty £11017.50 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Guilded Flyer
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Mamore Gap
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Twin Toto (e/w)
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Sixth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.50 Vodafone Nursery Stakes (H`cap) (C) 14 runners 7f Penalty £14625 2-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Monfee
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Tranquil Sky
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Annabel Lee (UAE) (e/w)
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Seventh¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 5.25 Vodafone Rated Stakes (C) (H`cap) 15 runners 5f Penalty £9175.60 3-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Domirati
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Cape Royal
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Malapropism
"GLORIOUS GOODWOOD"
Friday, August 1
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"First¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.05 Theo Fennell Stakes (H`cap) (B) 18 runners 1Mile~1f 192yds Penalty £29000 3-Year-olds only
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¦ " a rØøk " ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Tiber
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Nuit Sombre,
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Gala Sunday (USA), [e/w]
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Second¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.40 Oak Tree Stakes (A) (Listed Race) 13 runners 7f Penalty £18560 3-Year-olds plus fillies
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¦ " a rØøk " ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Crystal Star,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Gonfilia (GER)
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Play That Tune, [e/w]
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Third¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.15 William Hill Mile (H`cap) (B) 22 runners 1Mile~Penalty £58000 3-Year-olds plus
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¦ " a rØøk " ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Norton,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Unshakable,
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Adekshan,
¦ 4th place? ¦:¬»-- Takes Tutu (USA), [e/w]
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fourth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.50 Glorious Rated Stakes (A) H`cap) (Listed Race) 13 runners 1Mile~4f Penalty £29000 4-Year-olds plus
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¦ " a rØøk " ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Researched,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Razkalla,
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Golden Wells, [e/w]
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fifth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.25 Turf Club Nursery Stakes (H`cap) (C) 11 runners 6f Penalty £10790 2-Year-olds only
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¦ " a rØøk " ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Venetian Pride,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Signor Panettiere,
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Kafuwain,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Sixth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 5.00 European Breeders Fund, [E.B.F.] Trundle
M`dn. Stakes (D) 13 runners 7f Penalty £10757.50 2-Year-olds only colts and geldings
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¦ " a rØøk " ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Taaqaah,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Secretary General,
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Nice Cote D`Azur, [e/w]
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Seventh¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 5.35 Stewards' Sprint Stakes (H`cap) (B) 21 runners 6f Penalty £12818 3-Year-olds plus
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¦ " a rØøk " ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Sir Desmond,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Ballybunion, [e/w]
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Blackheath,
"GLORIOUS GOODWOOD"
Thursday, July 31
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"First¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.05 Freephone Stanley Stakes (H`cap) (C) 17 runners 7f Penalty £26100 3-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- San Antonio,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Donizetti,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Harb, [e/w]
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Second¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.40 Betfair Molecomb Stakes (A) (Group 3) 9 runners 5f Penalty £23200 2-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Dallaah,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Majestic Missile,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- If Paradise,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Third¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.15 Lady O Goodwood Cup (A) (Group 2) 10 runners 2Miles~ Penalty £58000 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Swing Wing, [e/w]
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Boreas,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Persian Punch,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fourth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.50 King George Stakes (A) (Group 3) 9 runners 5f Penalty £29000 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- The Tatling,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Slap Shot, [e/w]
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Bahamian Pirate,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fifth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.25 European Breeders Fund, [E.B.F.] New Ham
M`dn. Fillies` Stakes (D) 10 runners 7f Penalty £10725 2-Year-Olds only fillies
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Ithaca (USA)
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Sahool,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- My Sunshine,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Sixth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 5.00 De Boer European Breeders Fund, [E.B.F.] Classified Stakes (B) 7 runners 7f Penalty £11704.40 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Alkaadhem,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Compton Dragon,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Spencers Wood,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Seventh¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 5.35 Future Hope Charity Rated Stakes (c) (H`cap) 16 runners 1Mile~6f Penalty £9778.80 3-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Jagger, [e/w]
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Web Perceptions,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Numitas (GER)
"GLORIOUS GOODWOOD"
Wednesday, July 30
|¯¯"First¯Race."¯¯|¯¯»-- 2.05 Marriott Hotels Goodwood Stakes (H` cap) (C) 15 runners 2Miles~5f Penalty £23200 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Riyadh, [e/w]
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Heir To Be,
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- It's Definite,
|¯¯"Second¯Race."¯¯|¯¯»-- 2.40 Veuve Clicquot Vintage Stakes (A) (Group 2) 10 runners 7f Penalty £40600 2-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Lucky Story,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Nevisian Lad,
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- The Mighty Tiger, [e/w]
|¯¯"Third¯Race."¯¯|¯¯»-- 3.15 SUSSEX STAKES (A) (Group 1) 11 runners 1Mile~ Penalty £165300 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- Kalaman, Trade Fair, Moon Ballad, Zafeen, Where Or When, Norse Dancer, and Statue Of Liberty are the
likeliest winners of the Sussex Stakes. Its guaranteed to be strongly run with Moon Ballard almost certainly likely to attempt to make all here,
whilst his main rivals will no doubt be attempting to outfox each other by timing each of their
challenges as decisively as possible... Assuming that Spartacus and Blatant
aren't in the race as spoilers, you could imagine Moon Ballard running well here, however I opposed Kalaman as Royal Ascot because of his immaturity
but stated beforehand that he is the horse to follow as he looked the type that
should progress with each experience during the remainder of the season. That comment was illustrated as he got into
trouble during the running of the St. James Palace Stakes before running on strongly up the final straight to
finish second to Zafeen [btn. 1length]. I'd be quite hopeful that he could turn around placings and he is
preferred to Trade Fair, [who was really impressive last time out in Group 3 company at Newmarket]. Moon Ballad and Statue Of Liberty, [a top class juvenile, who has a chance if
replicating that form] make the most appeal for eachway support.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Kalaman,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Trade Fair
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Statue Of Liberty, [e/w]
|¯¯"Fourth¯Race."¯¯|¯¯»-- 3.50 Tote Gold Trophy Stakes (Showcase H` cap) (C) 16 runners 1Mile~4f Penalty £46400 3-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Steel Cat,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Financial Future,
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Largo,
|¯¯"Fifth¯Race."¯¯|¯¯»-- 4.25 Weatherbys Bank Fillies' Rated Stakes (C H` cap) 11 runners 1Mile~1f Penalty £9471.40 3-Year-Olds plus fillies
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Hoh Buzzard,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Chetak,
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Pennyghael (UAE), [e/w]
|¯¯"Sixth¯Race."¯¯|¯¯»-- 5.00 Findon M`dn. Fillies' Stakes (D) 8 runners 6f Penalty £10237.50 2-Year-Olds only fillies
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Dunloskin,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Red Top,
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Tarot Card,
|¯¯"Seventh¯Race."¯¯|¯¯»-- 5.35 Zuhair Stakes (H` cap) (D) (Previously Known As The Charlton Stakes) 23 runners 5f Penalty £10725 4-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Flak Jacket,
¦ ²nd place? ¦:¬»-- Barrantes,
¦ ³rd place? ¦:¬»-- Zuhair,
¦ 4th place? ¦:¬»-- Aahgowangowan, [e/w]
GLORIOUS GOODWOOD
Tuesday, July 29.
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"First¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.05 Littlewoods Bet Direct Summer Stakes [H`cap] [B] 15runners 1Mile~1f 192yds Penalty £29000 4-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "the rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»--Takes Tutu, [e/w]
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Definite Guest,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- April Stock
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Second¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.40 Peugeot Gordon Stakes [A] [Group 3] 10runners 1Mile~4f Penalty £31900 3-Year-Olds only
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¦ "the rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- High Accolade,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Dubai Success, [e/w]
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Hawk Flyer,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Third¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.15 Lennox Stakes [A] [Group 2] 13runners 7f Penalty £58000 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "the rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Tillerman,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Arakan,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Nayyir,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fourth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.50 Ladbrokes.com Prestige Stakes [H`cap] [B] 16runners 1Mile~6f Penalty £29000 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "the rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Defining,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Coolbythepool, [e/w]
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Defining,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fifth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.25 Four Star Sales Richmond Stakes [A] [Group 2] 7runners 6f Penalty £40600 2-Year-Olds only colts and geldings
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¦ "the rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Fokine (USA)
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Cedarberg (UAE)
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Old Deuteronomy (USA)
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Sixth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 5.00 Tatler Summer Season Stakes [H`cap] [D] 22runners 1Mile~ Penalty £11115 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "the rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- True Night,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Unicorn Reward,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Zeuss,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Seventh¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 5.35 Evening Standard Maiden Stakes [D] 6runners 6f Penalty £10367.50 2-Year-Olds only colts and geldings
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¦ "the rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Tahreeb,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Finders Keepers,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Mister Saif (USA)
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