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Analysis & Selections by
.t.h.e.
r.o.o.k.
Whether it be "the race of the day" or a small prize round the gaffs, we will attempt to use our knowledge of the formbook to highlight the fancied horses participating each day and their characteristics and requirements. Hopefully this 'second opinion' provides you with a winner or two each day, or even reinforces your own view on a particular may even convince you to back some of those horses which we feel are the "ones to fear", or have decent eachway claims. whichever is the case, we hope the information is of use to you.
SELECTIONS - For each race, we have given you who, in our view, are the likeliest winners;
(1er _ THE WINNER?), as well as any runners who could run well at eachway odds;
(E/W
ALTERNATIVE) . Any runner from our features are shown before each race's analysis.
HEXHAM
Saturday 12th October
|¨¨Iª¨¨HEXHAM¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- Insitu Cleaning H' cap Steeple Ch. 6runners 2m 4f 110yds Penalty £4550 5yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Glinger, Guilsborough Gorse, Taakid, Gayles And Showers, and Red Hot Indian, all have
chances in the opener on the card. Glinger is interesting as he won the first race of his career when
winning at Market Rasen 42days ago. Whilst there was plenty to like about the
win, (and his easy win at Carlisle yesterday) its worth remembering that he only beat
Passereau, ( who has thrown away winning opportunities before) and Ashgar
(a rogue). Glinger is beatable and I'd take him on here with Guilsborough Gorse, and Taakid, both of have posted better lines of form than him. Taakid has been on the go all summer and has held his form
remarkably well. He won easily at Sedgefield last time out and should go close,
however Guilsborough Gorse is the selection. His second to Gottabe at Wetherby was a decent effort and if you ignore a below par effort at
Bangor last time he is certain to give you a good run for your money.
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Guilsborough Gorse,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Taakid,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Glinger,
|¨¨IIª¨¨HEXHAM¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- Arriva Trains Northern Novices' Steeple Ch. (Class E) 4runners 3m 1f Penalty £3510 5yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- The second race is poor. Moonlite Magic, Bold Navigator, Sally's Twins, and Count Keni all can be given chances. Moonlite Magic, is a
bit of a thinker, however I put him in last year's ONE TO JUMP feature because I thought he'd be better over fences. he stays all day and did win over 3m3f at Sedgefield in November.. If he takes to the larger obstacles, his stamina may see him home
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Moonlite Magic,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Sally's Twins,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Bold Navigator,
|¨¨IIIª¨¨HEXHAM¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- S.I.T.A. Mares' Only Novices' Hurdle (Class E) 10runners 2m 110yds Penalty £2936.50 4yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- The third race shouldn't take much winning.... Westgate Run, Lavender Lady, Lady Lap Dancer and Prime Attraction, are best
of those lining up. Westgate Run, has run well in defeat in three races over obstacles this term,
however has been soundly beaten each time. She is worth taking on with Lady Lap Dancer (flat bred filly who has shown a little ability on the level) and Prime Attraction, (who won bumpers at
Uttoxeter and Hexham before running reasonably on the flat this summer). Prime Attraction gets the vote
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Prime Attraction
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Lady Lap Dancer
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Westgate Run,
|¨¨IVª¨¨HEXHAM¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- Metrocentre Novices' Hurdle (Series Qualifier) (Class E) 6runners 2m 4f 110yds Penalty £2936.50 4yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- A good opportunity for an Exacta here as I'd be surprised if Activist, and Whitaside,
didn't fight out the finish. Activist, had been very frustrating over obstacles last term before winning at Perth last time out and still in my view is a
horse to be wary of. whilst Whitaside, made a pleasing debut at Sedgefield 10 days ago, running very green before
staying on strongly behind the eventual winner Latensaani. Not sure why this eight-year-old had
only had the one run, however but he strike me as a horse that will improve significantly as the season progresses,
particularly if he went chasing. He shouldn't win but I think he'll worry Activist.
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Activist
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Whitaside,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- San Peire (FR )
|¨¨Vª¨¨HEXHAM¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- St James Security H' cap Hurdle 4runners 3m Penalty £2170 4yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- The fifth race is poor. Maraud who beat Mr Cavallo by 7lengths at
Sedgefield in July and Fifteen reds who has run well in handicap company before crashing through the wings here eight days ago are the only ones of
interest. This is a close one and I'd be inclined to take a chance with Fifteen Reds,
particularly if he can run up to the form shown when chasing home Latensaani, Ontos and
Divet Hill earlier this season.
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Fifteen Reds,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Maraud
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Pluto
|¨¨VIª¨¨HEXHAM¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- John Bryson Memorial Classified Steeple Ch. 5runners 2m 110yds Penalty £2863 5yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Kimdaloo, Dante's Brook, How Ran On, In Good Faith, and Irlandais II. all chances
of sorts in the last. Kimdaloo who landed a huge punt here eight days ago is
difficult to get away from if he is that sort of form today and gets the vote. Irlandais II hints at having
ability and being only six is still young enough to be worth persevering with. he is one to not when he shown signs of
improvement
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Kimdaloo,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- In Good Faith,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Irlandais II (FR)
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This
page was
updated on Friday October 11, 2002
at 09:31:59 PM.
THE FEATURE MEETING
POSTING
TIME
Selections for Monday - Friday should be available after 9:30pm the previous evening, however on Saturday and Sunday due to other commitments won't be posted until after 8:30am those respective mornings unless otherwise stated. Hopefully this helps
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MARKET
RASEN
Saturday
31st August
3:00 Audrey Buttery Reunion Novices' Steeple Ch. -
£6000 added, 5yo plus, 2m 6f 110yds, penalty
£4111.25, 7 runners.
Ashgar, Misty Ridge, Sijujama, and Mount Gay, are
the only runners which make any sort of appeal in
the second. Punters are likely to have Ashgar down
as a banker, especially with "A.P." on board....
I can see where they are coming from, however he is
notoriously lazy and makes no appeal at likely
odds. He was very hesitant at his obstacles last
time out at Southwell and if one of his rivals were
to expose this weakness, he could even thrown in
the towel and sulk (which he has done before).
Misty Ridge and Mount Gay, have run creditably of
late over hurdles however it is Mount Gay [a
winning point-to-pointer], who may be able to take
him on. His second placing at Perth 27 days ago was
a sound effort, and he is in my view worth taking a
chance with {if they had been eight runners he'd
have been an excellent eachway wager}.
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬> Mount Gay,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Misty Ridge,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Ashgar [USA],
Mount
Gay obliged at odds of 7/1.
.t.h.e. .r.o.o.k.
MARKET RASEN
Saturday 20th July
Tote Scoop6 Summer Plate. (H'cap Steeple Ch.). £65000 added, 5yo plus, 2m 4f, 16 runners.
"As much as I like Demasta, there is so much pace here, that I cant help but think that the front runners may go too fast for their own good here. It makes sense [in my view], to be looking for something likely to be able to travel well... and despite my very negative comments above... I have (since the runners were declared), had a lot of time for the chance of Chicuelo (at eachway odds). I think some horses suit certain trainers, and I think this horse has a better chance of winning a race like this with Martin Pipe than Ian Williams - not because I necessarily think Pipe is a far better trainer than Williams is... its more to do with understanding this type of horse.
Nicholashayne - more than most training establishments - does particularly with their foreign purchases. I think this is in part because due to the amount of time/effort they have invested into studying not only french form, but also how certain trainers educate their young horses - adopting if/when necessary previous regime/style of training. Secondly, (more importantly), some french breds improve after a season's
acclimatization. A look at this horse's form in France and you'll find, for example, his good third to Sleeping Night and Ilnamar (beaten 8½lengths) in the Prix Morgex (Chase) (Grade 3) , or his third to Sleeping Night and Douze Douze in the Prix Maurice Gillois Grand Steeple-Chase Des 4 Ans (Chase) (Grade 1) in November 2000. He has certainly been given a chance here off of only a handicap rating of 116, and I can't see him not finishing in the first four.... He'll do for me".
"ANOTHER WINNER FOR "ONE TO JUMP
2003"
WORCESTER
Sunday, June 9th 2002
Tote betXpress Hurdle {H' cap}. £20000 added, 4yo plus, 2m, penalty £13897, 14 runners.
Cupboard Lover, Saragann, Dick The Taxi, Barren Lands, Boater, Bernardon, Inn Antique, Barren Lands, and Knight's Emperor make most appeal in a decent
handicap hurdle for this time of year. There is bound to be market
support for Cupboard Lover, especially after his smooth win at Newbury on the flat
earlier this week, however in Bernardon, and Inn Antique, he meets two
potentially well treated "improvers". I have a high regard
for Bernardon, who I literally haven't stopped raving about. This
former Group winner in Germany is much better than the form he showed when trailing home at Chepstow last time out, and off of this handicap mark, he is worth chancing.
Bernardon
held on to score at odds of 13/2
ASCOT
Saturday 16th February, 2002
1:30 Amlin Reynoldstown Novices' Steeple Ch. {Gr.2}
Realistically, course and distance winner Arctic Jack, Father McCarten, High Cotton and Ex-French recruit Jimmy Tennis are the likeliest winners of this Grade 2 event. I have a healthy regard for Arctic Jack, and I'm certain he'll run creditably here, however, I've been monitoring Jimmy Tennis's career and always thought that he could make the grade over here. He was one of the better four-year-old chasers in France in 2001 and despite an absence of 140 days hopefully can make best use of the weight for age allowances he receives here.
JIMMY TENNIS won - 3/1
2:00 William Hill H’cap Hurdle
A very competitive handicap hurdle with several of these having strong claims. Farmer Jack, Teaatral, Lord Brex, Aspirant Dancer, Creon, Mr Markham, and Ideal du Bois Beury all have serious claims. Father Jack (who was probably ridden too positively last time out) is sure to go well and probably would have been my selection if Ideal du Bois Beury hadn't been in opposition. I thought he won with a bit in hand under top weight at Leicester last time out and looks very appealing off of the minimum weight.
IDEAL DU BOIS BEURY won - 10/1
DISCLAIMER:
In no way does "Furlong To Go!! guarantee that selections
posted above will win the specified races advertised.
They are merely an indication based on current form. Whilst
the selections, and advice are the basis by which we will
personally place our own bets, like you, any selections
that are backed, are done so at your own risk.
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