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Analysis & Selections by
.t.h.e. .r.o.o.k.
Whether it be
"the race of the day" or a small prize round the gaffs, we will attempt to use our knowledge of the formbook to highlight the fancied horses participating each day and their characteristics and requirements. Hopefully this 'second opinion' provides you with a winner or two each day, or even reinforces your own view on a particular may even convince you to back some of those horses which we feel are the "ones to fear", or have decent eachway claims. whichever is the case, we hope the information is of use to you.
SELECTIONS - For each race, we have given you who, in our view, are the likeliest winners;
(1er CHOICE), as well as
the next best runners (in our view, this can include any horses who could run well at eachway
odds). Any runner from our features are shown before each race's analysis.
NEWCASTLE
Saturday, June 29th 2002
¦ 1° NEWCASTLE ¦ ¬> John Smith's Extra Smooth Chip Chase Stakes (Group 3) £35000 added, 3yo plus, 6f, penalty £20300, 8 runners.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>Eight closely matched sprinters line up for the opener on this
eight- race card. Of these INDIAN SPARK, [only 4lengths behind Dominica in teh Kings Stands Stakes at
Royal Ascot], VISION OF NIGHT (7th) and MISRAAH (9th), [who ran respectably behind Malhub in the Golden Jubilee Stakes, as at the Royal Meeting], JUST JAMES, [who stayed on strongly to land the Jersey Stakes (Group 3)] and MARIKA [who stayed on
strongly under pressure, to beat Palace Affair at Haydock], make most appeal... I
doubt there will much to choose these three, however Marika just is preferred
¦ 1er CHOICE ¦:¬>Marika
¦ 2nd Choice ¦:¬>Just James
¦ 3rd Choice ¦:¬>Vision of Night
¦ 2° NEWCASTLE ¦ ¬> Tote Scoop6 Northern Sprint H 'cap Stakes £30000 added, 3yo plus, 6f, penalty £19500, 18 runners.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬> Manorbier, Onlytime Will Tell, Surprised, Undeterred, Telesto, Forever Times, Night Flight, Soba Jones, Armagnac, Carlton, Carrie Pooter, Ragamuffin, and Tayif, are amongst those with chances in a fiercely competitive handicap sprint
which comes next. I cant profess to having a particularly strong view on any of these, however TELESTO is better than the bare form shown last time out, and is
still one of a few in this race capable of further improvement.... he may not be a great price, however I
don't think he'll be far away if he gets the run of the race. He is the selection.
Soba Jones who has been in good heart of the Scottish circuit, and Onlytime Will Tell, who ran well at
Royal Ascot represent good eachway alternatives
¦ 1er CHOICE ¦:¬>Telesto (USA)
¦ 2nd Choice ¦:¬>Soba Jones, (e/w)
¦ 3rd Choice ¦:¬>Onlytime Will Tell,
¦ 3° NEWCASTLE ¦ ¬> Foster's Lager Northumberland Plate Showcase H 'cap £140000 added, 3yo plus, 2m 19yds, penalty £98571, 16 runners.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>ARCHDUKE FERDINAND [ a good second to Cover Up at in the
Queen Alexandra Stakes at Royal Ascot last week], FANTASY HILL [ second to Rainbow High in teh Chester Cup], BANGALORE; [who recently beat Greenhope at won at Kempton ], TRAVELMATE, [who made an encouraging reappearance
behind Island House at Leicester], RIYADH, [A lazy individual who Kieran Fallon stoked up to withhold the late
challenge of Establishment in teh Ascot Stakes at the Royal Meeting, MR DINOS, [who beat all bar Mamool in the Queens Vase (gr.3) at the Royal Meeting], FATEHALKHAIR, [this
decent hurdler/chaser has conditions to suit and goes well on teh track], and WINTERTIDE, [unlucky in running behind Riyadh at Ascot] all appeal to me in the latest
renewal of the "Pitmen's Derby". Mr Dinos' claim are obvious and I'm sure he'll go close however Riyadh appeals more... he definitely is a horse that saves a
little bit for himself, and when push comes to shove here, he may out-battle the well treated three year old. Those looking
for something to run well at double figure odds, could do a lot worse than side with Travelmate, already boasting a good effort
in this race, and Fatehalkhair, who may be good enough to nick a place
¦ 1er CHOICE ¦:¬>Riyadh
¦ 2nd Choice ¦:¬>Mr Dinos
¦ 3rd Choice ¦:¬>Fatehalkhair
¦ 4° NEWCASTLE ¦ ¬> European Breeders Fund [E.B.F.] Hoppings Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies & Mares) £25000 added, 3yo plus fillies, 1m 2f 32yds, penalty £15109, 7 runners.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>Esloob, Half Glance, Lady High Havens, Frosty Welcome, and Threefold, look best of those lining up for race four. Half Glance and Esloob (on their form in the Pretty Polly Stakes at Newmarket last month), or Lady High Havens (on her Coronation
Stakes form with Sophisticat) are the likeliest to score, however THREEFOLD
didn't run too badly behind Succinct at Newbury sixteen days ago, and it wouldnt
surprise me if she got into the first three ... it is a real shame there are only seven
runners, as she'd be a great eachway punt here .... I think she could score, however the "sensible/logical"
choice here in my view is ESLOOB who is better than the form shown in the Oaks .....
¦ 1er CHOICE ¦:¬>Esloob
¦ 2nd Choice ¦:¬>Threefold, (e/w)
¦ 3rd Choice ¦:¬>Lady High Haven
¦ 5° NEWCASTLE ¦ ¬> European Breeders Fund [E.B.F.] /Cantor Sport 'Spread Free' Maiden Stakes £10000 added, 2yo only, 6f, penalty £6776.25, 10 runners.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>CUMBRIAN VENTURE, who stayed on at the same pace to
finish second to Winisk River at York two weeks ago looks to be the obvious choice in race five, however he after
finishing in the frame in his last three starts, he does appear to be relatively exposed, and it wouldnt be the greatest surprise if one of the
newcomers didn't prove to be too good again. MURTAKEZ; [a son of Alhaarth, out of an unraced half-sister to top-class fillies Maximova (at 2 and 3 over 6-8f), Navratilovna (8f) and Vilikaia] and WILFUL [a son of Bering, out of Prickwillow - a winner over 10f]. make
plenty of appeal on paper and could be better than him in time ..... MURTAKEZ is
probably worth chancing
¦ 1er CHOICE ¦:¬>Murtakez
¦ 2nd Choice ¦:¬>Cumbrian Venture
¦ 3rd Choice ¦:¬>Wilful
¦ 6° NEWCASTLE ¦ ¬> Journal 'Good Morning' H 'cap £20000 added, 3yo plus, 7f, penalty £14072.50, 18 runners.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>
¦ 1er CHOICE ¦:¬> Santisima Trinidad,
¦ 2nd Choice ¦:¬> Rudik, (e/w)
¦ 3rd Choice ¦:¬>Mine,
¦ 7° NEWCASTLE ¦ ¬> Kronenbourg 1664 Maiden Stakes £10000 added, 3yo plus, 1m, penalty £6808.75, 5 runners.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>
¦ 1er CHOICE ¦:¬>Sandy City,
¦ 2nd Choice ¦:¬>Ashgar Sayyad (USA)
¦ 3rd Choice ¦:¬>Alqhutub,
¦ 8° NEWCASTLE ¦ ¬> Roflow Environmental Engineering And Tommy Tittler H 'cap £5000 added, 3yo plus, 5f, penalty £3718, 16 runners.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>
¦ 1er CHOICE ¦:¬>Beyond Calculation,
¦ 2nd Choice ¦:¬>Illusive,
¦ 3rd Choice ¦:¬>Mobil-One Dot Com
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