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Analysis & Selections by
.t.h.e.
r.o.o.k.
Whether it be "the race of the day" or a small prize round the gaffs, we will attempt to use our knowledge of the formbook to highlight the fancied horses participating each day and their characteristics and requirements. Hopefully this 'second opinion' provides you with a winner or two each day, or even reinforces your own view on a particular may even convince you to back some of those horses which we feel are the "ones to fear", or have decent eachway claims. whichever is the case, we hope the information is of use to you.
SELECTIONS - For each race, we have given you who, in our view, are the likeliest winners;
(1er _ THE WINNER?), as well as any runners who could run well at eachway odds;
(E/W
ALTERNATIVE) . Any runner from our features are shown before each race's analysis.
SOUTHWELL
Saturday 12th October
|¨¨Iª¨¨SOUTHWELL¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- Southwell-racecourse.co.uk H' cap Steeple Ch. 3runners 3m 2f Penalty £3334.80 5yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Only three runners line up for the opener on
Southwell's card. Southerndown, [the winner of his last two races at Bangor and Southwell ] and Red Emperor, [a winner twice last term at newcastle] are the
only two that matter. In what will almost certainly transpire to be a very
tactical affair Southerndown is preferred.
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Southerndown
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Red Emperor
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Barton Saint
|¨¨IIª¨¨SOUTHWELL¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- Come Racing On 0870 2202332 Novices' Steeple Ch. (Class E) 5runners 2m 1f Penalty £4007.25 4yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Pertino, Maousse Honor, and Soeur Fontenail, have the best claims in the second. Pertino, and Maousse Honor have been in good form this term and like to force the issue. I'd be a little worried that that could take each other on this course, which places a surprising enthusiasm on both stamina and
technique. At these weights Soeur Fontenail (placed behind the likes of Hit and Run and
Royal Auclair over fences before winning at Newton Abbot) makes plenty of appeal. If Andrew
Thornton lets the market leaders fight for the lead he could pick them off on the
second circuit ... she is the selection.
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Soeur Fontenail (FR),
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Maousse Honor (FR),
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Pertino,
|¨¨IIIª¨¨SOUTHWELL¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- Weatherbys Bank H' cap Steeple Ch. 8runners 2m 5f 110yds Penalty £6776.25 5yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Mighty Strong, Canadiane, Pealings, Stanmore, Lightning Quest, and El Cordobes, make most appeal in the third. El Cordobes and Mighty Strong are likely to ensure that this is run at a decent clip and it they
didn't prove difficult to beat. Mighty Strong is still open to improvement and this lightly raced eight year old ran well at Market
Rasen last time out. If he jumps round , he is the likeliest winner
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Mighty Strong,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Pealings, [e/w]
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Stanmore,
|¨¨IVª¨¨SOUTHWELL¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- Rainbows Children's Hospice Selling H' cap Hurdle 16runners 2m 1f Penalty £2317 4yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Amazing ... the worst race of the day attracts the largest field!!! Pure Brief, Dunraven, Occam, Magic Box, Jamorin Dancer, Hard Lines, Mister Chisum, Astral Prince, Gin N Ice, Yaheska, Private Seal, and Prospector's Cove, all can be given chances. Pure
Brief who is most likely to go off as favourite was well beaten by Malakal at Market Rasen last time out.... I'd be inclined to look elsewhere. the booking of Warren Marston on Prospector's Cove catches the eye. Its a while
since he won on th flat however he has run creditably in selling company of late.
His latest race at Worcester has thrown up several winning in better company, which is
encouraging and that experience will have stood him in good stead. he is a fun bet in an open race. Magic Box; (a winner earlier this season at
Sedgefield), barely stays 2miles is good enough to go close and would be my idea of the alternative
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Prospector's Cove, [e/w]
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Magic Box
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Jamorin Dancer,
|¨¨Vª¨¨SOUTHWELL¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- Tote Credit Club H' cap Hurdle 7runners 2m 5f 110yds Penalty £6890 4yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Good Lord Murphy, Lost The Plot, Snowmore, Ernest William, Duchamp, and Nosam, could all be given chances in the penultimate race o n the card. Lost The Plot
goes for her hatrick after wins over course and distance, a s well as at Fontwell... she will give you a
good run for your money , however Snowmore who also won over this trip here 47 days
ago appeals more particularly off of only 10-1... she is the selection.
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Snowmore,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Lost The Plot
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Duchamp,
|¨¨VIª¨¨SOUTHWELL¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨"- Southwell Golf Club Novices' Hurdle (Class E) 5runners 3m 2f Penalty £2961 4yo plus
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- Although Steppes did well top win at Stratford last time out, I will be
amazed if he is good enough to beat Homeleigh Mooncoin, [the winner of his last two races at
Worcester and here in September. This extended trip should be a problem and he should win with plenty in hand
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Homeleigh Mooncoin,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Tomich
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Steppes
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This
page was
updated on Friday October 11, 2002
at 09:33:02 PM.
the feature meeting
POSTING
TIME
Selections for Monday - Friday should be available after 9:30pm the previous evening, however on Saturday and Sunday due to other commitments won't be posted until after 8:30am those respective mornings unless otherwise stated. Hopefully this helps
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MARKET
RASEN
Saturday
31st August
3:00 Audrey Buttery Reunion Novices' Steeple Ch. -
£6000 added, 5yo plus, 2m 6f 110yds, penalty
£4111.25, 7 runners.
Ashgar, Misty Ridge, Sijujama, and Mount Gay, are
the only runners which make any sort of appeal in
the second. Punters are likely to have Ashgar down
as a banker, especially with "A.P." on board....
I can see where they are coming from, however he is
notoriously lazy and makes no appeal at likely
odds. He was very hesitant at his obstacles last
time out at Southwell and if one of his rivals were
to expose this weakness, he could even thrown in
the towel and sulk (which he has done before).
Misty Ridge and Mount Gay, have run creditably of
late over hurdles however it is Mount Gay [a
winning point-to-pointer], who may be able to take
him on. His second placing at Perth 27 days ago was
a sound effort, and he is in my view worth taking a
chance with {if they had been eight runners he'd
have been an excellent eachway wager}.
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬> Mount Gay,
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Misty Ridge,
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>- Ashgar [USA],
Mount
Gay obliged at odds of 7/1.
.t.h.e. .r.o.o.k.
MARKET RASEN
Saturday 20th July
Tote Scoop6 Summer Plate. (H'cap Steeple Ch.). £65000 added, 5yo plus, 2m 4f, 16 runners.
"As much as I like Demasta, there is so much pace here, that I cant help but think that the front runners may go too fast for their own good here. It makes sense [in my view], to be looking for something likely to be able to travel well... and despite my very negative comments above... I have (since the runners were declared), had a lot of time for the chance of Chicuelo (at eachway odds). I think some horses suit certain trainers, and I think this horse has a better chance of winning a race like this with Martin Pipe than Ian Williams - not because I necessarily think Pipe is a far better trainer than Williams is... its more to do with understanding this type of horse.
Nicholashayne - more than most training establishments - does particularly with their foreign purchases. I think this is in part because due to the amount of time/effort they have invested into studying not only french form, but also how certain trainers educate their young horses - adopting if/when necessary previous regime/style of training. Secondly, (more importantly), some french breds improve after a season's
acclimatization. A look at this horse's form in France and you'll find, for example, his good third to Sleeping Night and Ilnamar (beaten 8½lengths) in the Prix Morgex (Chase) (Grade 3) , or his third to Sleeping Night and Douze Douze in the Prix Maurice Gillois Grand Steeple-Chase Des 4 Ans (Chase) (Grade 1) in November 2000. He has certainly been given a chance here off of only a handicap rating of 116, and I can't see him not finishing in the first four.... He'll do for me".
"ANOTHER WINNER FOR "ONE TO JUMP
2003"
WORCESTER
Sunday, June 9th 2002
Tote betXpress Hurdle {H' cap}. £20000 added, 4yo plus, 2m, penalty £13897, 14 runners.
Cupboard Lover, Saragann, Dick The Taxi, Barren Lands, Boater, Bernardon, Inn Antique, Barren Lands, and Knight's Emperor make most appeal in a decent
handicap hurdle for this time of year. There is bound to be market
support for Cupboard Lover, especially after his smooth win at Newbury on the flat
earlier this week, however in Bernardon, and Inn Antique, he meets two
potentially well treated "improvers". I have a high regard
for Bernardon, who I literally haven't stopped raving about. This
former Group winner in Germany is much better than the form he showed when trailing home at Chepstow last time out, and off of this handicap mark, he is worth chancing.
Bernardon
held on to score at odds of 13/2
ASCOT
Saturday 16th February, 2002
1:30 Amlin Reynoldstown Novices' Steeple Ch. {Gr.2}
Realistically, course and distance winner Arctic Jack, Father McCarten, High Cotton and Ex-French recruit Jimmy Tennis are the likeliest winners of this Grade 2 event. I have a healthy regard for Arctic Jack, and I'm certain he'll run creditably here, however, I've been monitoring Jimmy Tennis's career and always thought that he could make the grade over here. He was one of the better four-year-old chasers in France in 2001 and despite an absence of 140 days hopefully can make best use of the weight for age allowances he receives here.
JIMMY TENNIS won - 3/1
2:00 William Hill H’cap Hurdle
A very competitive handicap hurdle with several of these having strong claims. Farmer Jack, Teaatral, Lord Brex, Aspirant Dancer, Creon, Mr Markham, and Ideal du Bois Beury all have serious claims. Father Jack (who was probably ridden too positively last time out) is sure to go well and probably would have been my selection if Ideal du Bois Beury hadn't been in opposition. I thought he won with a bit in hand under top weight at Leicester last time out and looks very appealing off of the minimum weight.
IDEAL DU BOIS BEURY won - 10/1
DISCLAIMER:
In no way does "Furlong To Go!! guarantee that selections
posted above will win the specified races advertised.
They are merely an indication based on current form. Whilst
the selections, and advice are the basis by which we will
personally place our own bets, like you, any selections
that are backed, are done so at your own risk.
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