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Analysis & Selections by
.t.h.e. .r.o.o.k.
Whether it be "the race of the day" or a small prize round the gaffs, we will attempt to use our knowledge of the formbook to highlight the fancied horses participating each day and their characteristics and requirements. Hopefully this 'second opinion' provides you with a winner or two each day, or even reinforces your own view on a particular may even convince you to back some of those horses which we feel are the "ones to fear", or have decent eachway claims. whichever is the case, we hope the information is of use to you.
SELECTIONS - For each race, we have given you who, in our view, are the likeliest winners;
(1er _ THE WINNER?), as well as any runners who could run well at eachway odds;
(E/W
ALTERNATIVE) . Any runner from our features are shown before each race's analysis.
FLEMINGTON
Tuesday, November 5th, 2002
|¨¨¨ Iª ¨¨¨ FLEMINGTON¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨"- TODAY TONIGHT SPRINT 1000 M _ Of $81000 Of $80000 and $1000 trophy. First $52000 and trophy of $1000, second $16000, third $7200, fourth $3200, fifth $1600. Starter Subsidy: $325 for non-prize earning runners FOR Two-Years-Old. This race carries a SUPER VOBIS Nominators Bonus of $7,000 and a SUPER VOBIS Owners Bonus of $23,000 for qualified horses. No allowances for apprentices.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>-
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Rinky Dink
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- High Occupancy
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Eye For An Eye
|¨¨¨ IIª ¨¨¨ FLEMINGTON¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨"- THE LAVAZZA LONG BLACK 2800 M _ Of $81000 Of $80000 and $1000 trophy. First $52000 and trophy of $1000, second $16000, third $7200, fourth $3200, fifth $1600. Starter Subsidy: $325 for non-prize earning runners . No allowances for apprentices.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>-
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Our Fireman Sam
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Skinjite
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Crescent
|¨¨¨ IIIª ¨¨¨ FLEMINGTON¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨"- LIBERTY FINANCIAL PLATE 1700 M _ Of $81000 Of $80000 and $1000 trophy. First $52000 and trophy of $1000, second $16000, third $7200, fourth $3200, fifth $1600. Starter Subsidy: $325 for non-prize earning runners FOR Four-Years-Old and Upwards Mares. No allowances for apprentices.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>-
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Yamana
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Jeune Royale
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Kingdom Babe
|¨¨¨ IVª ¨¨¨ FLEMINGTON¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨"- CANON SPRINT 1100 M _ Of $81000 Of $80000 and $1000 trophy. First $52000 and trophy of $1000, second $16000, third $7200, fourth $3200, fifth $1600. Starter Subsidy: $325 for non-prize earning runners FOR Four-Years-Old and Upwards Mares. No allowances for apprentices.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>-
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Empress Waltz
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Speaker
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Fair Embrace
|¨¨¨ Vª ¨¨¨ FLEMINGTON¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨"- SCHWEPPES 1000 M _ Of $81000 Of $80000 and $1000 trophy. First $52000 and trophy of $1000, second $16000, third $7200, fourth $3200, fifth $1600. Starter Subsidy: $325 for non-prize earning runners FOR Three-Years-Old. This race carries a SUPER VOBIS Nominators Bonus of $7,000 and a SUPER VOBIS Owners Bonus of $23,000 for qualified horses. No allowances for apprentices.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>-
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>-Santana
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Sunday Shoes
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Rescuer
|¨¨¨ VIª ¨¨¨ FLEMINGTON¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨"- THE SEPPELT GREAT WESTERN 1400 M _ Of $101000 Of $100000 and $1000 trophy. First $65000 and trophy of $1000, second $20000, third $9000, fourth $4000, fifth $2000. Starter Subsidy: $325 for non-prize earning runners FOR Three-Years-Old Fillies (Listed). This race carries a SUPER VOBIS Nominators Bonus of $10,000 for qualified horses. No allowances for apprentices.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>-
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Dancing Hill
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Larrocha
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Joy of Flight
MELBOURNE
CUP 2002
Flemington, November 5th
|¨¨¨ VIIª ¨¨¨ FLEMINGTON¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨"- TOOHEYS NEW MELBOURNE CUP 3200 M (Group
1)_ Of $3675000 Of $3600000 and $75000 trophies. First $2400000 and trophies of $60000 to owner $6500 to trainer $6500 to jockey $2000 to
strapper, second $650000, third $290000, fourth $150000, fifth $110000. Starter Subsidy: $325 for non-prize earning runners
. No allowances for apprentices.
[ 1 ]¯ VINNIE ROE _ Dermot Weld
[ 2 ]¯ JARDINES LOOKOUT _ Alan Jarvis
[ 3 ]¯ DALIAPOUR _ Sir Michael Stoute
[ 4 ]¯ SANDMASON _Tony McEvoy
[ 5 ]¯ HELENE VITALITY (NZ) _David Hayes
[ 6 ]¯ HATHA ANNA _ Saeed Bin Suroor
[ 7 ]¯ FREEMASON _John Hawkes
[ 8 ]¯ MAGUIRE (NZ)_ Jon Collins
[ 9 ]¯ PUGIN _Saeed Bin Suroor
[ 10 ]¯ RAIN GAUGE _ George Hanlon
[ 11 ]¯ BEEKEEPER _ Saeed Bin Suroor
[ 12 ]¯ COUNTY TYRONE_ Max Lees
[ 13 ]¯ HAIL (NZ)_ Bruce Marsh
[ 14 ]¯ MEDIA PUZZLE (USA)_ Dermot Weld
[ 15 ]¯ MR. PRUDENT_ George Hanlon
[ 16 ]¯ PENTASTIC _David Hall
[ 17 ]¯ PRIZED GEM (NZ) _ Murray Baker
[ 18 ]¯ VICTORY SMILE (NZ) _ Donna Logan
[ 19 ]¯ CYCLADES (NZ)_ Cydne Evans
[ 20 ]¯ DISTINCTLY SECRET (NZ) _Mark Walker
[ 21 ]¯ GREY SONG _Tommy Hughes
[ 22 ]¯ THONG CLASSIC _ Pat Carey
[ 23 ]¯ MISS MELISS (NZ) _Bart Cummings
[ 24 ]¯ REQUIEM _Tony McEvoy
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>- British trainers have put together a formidable
teams of challengers to contest this season's renewal of the Melbourne Cup. In terms of numbers, Godolphin have the
strongest hand, having laid out/purchased Hatha Anna, Pugin and Beekeeper for the race. Godolphin have gone close on a couple of occasions
here - Give The Slip's three quarters of a length defeat to Ethereal last November will still be fresh in their minds, however
in Pugin, (second in the Jefferson Smurfit Irish St Leger to Vinnie Roe), Beekeeper (a fair sixth to Northernly in
the Caulfield Cup) and Hatha Anna (a winner in Australia last term, though will need to
improvement of his European form to figure here) arguably, they have their best ever chance of landing this prize.
Dermot Weld knows what it takes to land this prestigious race having won the Cup with Vintage Crop in 1993. He has a very strong hand here with Irish and French St Leger winner Vinnie Roe,
who was so gallant in defeat in our Gold Cup before beating Pugin at The Curragh last time out. Pugin has a 12lbs pull with his old rival on Tuesday, so Vinnie Roe could be up against it...
It would however be unwise to underestimate him.
Of more interest could be his stable mate Media Puzzle. He has decent
European form in the book and more importantly knows what it takes to win over here, having
landed the Geelong Cup, beating Requiem [who reopposes] by 3 1/2 lengths. He has solid credentials and
should still run his race despite getting a 3lbs penalty.
Daliapour, and Jardines Lookout, complete the foreign challenge and these stayers have
solid looking credentials, however the race despite being over 2miles does require horses to have plenty of speed as well as stamina and they could be found wanting if this
became a tactical affair.
Of the home challengers, Rain Gauge. (who was sixth last year), and Thong Classic arguably has their best claims. They are
peaking at the right time and fought out the finish of the MV Cup last weekend. Thong Classic came out on top, however there is no
guarantee that these positions will be confirmed this time around. They shouldn't
be too far away ... then again, neither should Sandmason, (formerly trained by Henry Cecil), who is now trained Down Under by Tony
McEvoy. He was fourth in the M V Cup, posting his best effort of late in Australia.
They go into the race with solid claims and should be considered.
Last but by no means least is Requiem, who proved the form of the Geelong Cup to be sound by winning over 2500m on the 2nd November... Dont be put off that he ran so close to this assignment - plenty of home-trained winners of
the race have had similar preparations.
¦ SUMMARY ¦:¬>- This is a golden opportunity for us to temporarily erase the memory of another failed foreign excursion. Despite a solid home challenge I do think the cup will be coming back on a plane ... to Dubai, however not
due to Pugin ...Despite being very well treated here, I feel he could be suspect in the finish and I suggest siding with
Beekeeper, who has more basic speed and seems to have improved on a creditable
effort in the Caulfield Cup. I don't think Vinnie Roe will be far way, however he is likely to struggle off of top weight, stablemate Media Puzzle and Sandmason make far more appeal and they represent the best
eachway options (in my humble opinion!!).
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>-
BEEKEEPER
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Media Puzzle
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Sandmason, (e/w)
¦ 4th place?³ ¦:¬>-Pugin
|¨¨¨ VIIIª ¨¨¨ FLEMINGTON¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨"- THE HONG KONG JOCKEY CLUB PLATE 1800 M _ Of $127500 Of $125000 and $2500 trophy. First $81250 and trophy of $2500, second $25000, third $11250, fourth $5000, fifth $2500. Starter Subsidy: $325 for non-prize earning runners (Listed). No allowances for apprentices.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>-
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Dane River
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Lazzaz
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Inclusion
|¨¨¨ IXª ¨¨¨ FLEMINGTON¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨"- SEE AUSTRALIA SPRINT 1200 M _ Of $81000 Welter handicap of $80000 and $1000 trophy. First $52000 and trophy of $1000, second $16000, third $7200, fourth $3200, fifth $1600. Starter Subsidy: $325 for non-prize earning runners WELTER. No allowances for apprentices.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>-
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Lewinsky
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Prince of Play
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-Goquillo
|¨¨¨ Xª ¨¨¨ FLEMINGTON¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨"- THE HAHN PREMIUM 1400 M _ Of $71000 Of $70000 and $1000 trophy. First $45500 and trophy of $1000, second $14000, third $6300, fourth $2800, fifth $1400. Starter Subsidy: $325 for non-prize earning runners FOR Four-Years-Old and Five-Years-Old ONE METRO WIN LAST YEAR, SPECIAL CONDITIONS. No allowances for apprentices.
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¦ .t.h.e. .r.o.o.k. ¦:¬>-
¦ 1er. _ THE WINNER?¹ ¦:¬>- Grand Falls
¦ 2nd place?² ¦:¬>- Samdin
¦ 3rd place?³ ¦:¬>-You Little Beaut.
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