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Analysis
& Selections by
"a
rØøk"
Whether
it be "the race of the day" or a small prize round the gaffs, we
will attempt to use our knowledge of the formbook to highlight the fancied
horses participating each day and their
characteristics and requirements. Hopefully this 'second opinion' provides
you with a winner or two each day, or even reinforces your own view on a
particular may even convince you to back some of those horses which we
feel are the "ones to fear", or have decent eachway claims.
whichever is the case, we hope the information is of use to you.
SELECTIONS
- For each race, we have given you who, in our view, are the likeliest
winners; (1er _ THE WINNER?), as well as any runners who could run well at
eachway odds; (E/W ALTERNATIVE) . Any runner from our features are shown
before each race's analysis.

ST. LEGER MEETING at DONCASTER
Saturday, September 12.
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"First¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 1.20 GNER Conditions Stakes (C) 6runners 6f Penalty £6182.80 2-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- The final day of the St. Leger Meeting begins with an intriguing conditions event where the potentially useful pair Golden Sahara and Kheleyf take on Autumn Pearl (the winner of her only start to date at Sandown in June). There was plenty to like about the manner in which Golden Sahara
dispatched a field of maidens at Yarmouth last month and he is certain to improve for that experience. However, anyone who saw
Kheleyf`s debut win at York in May (where he cruised home from 4 rivals who have all gone on to win subsequently) knows that his defeat at the hands of Russian Valour at Ascot may not be a true reflection of his ability. He
definitely deserves an opportunity to atone for heavy losses last time out and is our selection.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Kheleyf
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Golden Sahara
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Autumn Pearl
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Second¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 1.50 Polypipe Flying Childers Stakes (A) (Group 2) 13runners 5f Penalty £36000 2-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- Probably not one of the better renewals of the Flying Childers Stakes, however interesting none the less. David Loder has strong claims of the double here as his runner Howick Falls is probably the form choice, particularly after his impressive win in a first-time visor at York last month where he put 3 1/2 lengths between himself and If Paradise. There is a possibility that he could go off at prohibitive odds therefore Boogie Street (who finished third behind Azarole, who ran so well yesterday in the Champagne Stakes) and China Eyes (who made all to win readily at Windsor in July) could both represent solid each-way alternatives. I'll take a chance and suggest Boogie Street here.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Boogie Street (e/w)
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Howick Falls
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- China Eyes
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Third¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.20 Porcelanosa Rated Stakes (B)
[H`cap.] 16runners 1Mile- Penalty £12421.28 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- The first of two trappy handicaps comes next. This one, over a mile could potentially be the more competitive (in terms of depth) of the two and no doubt cases can be made for the likes of Island Light, Calcutta, Muchea, Flighty Fellow, Norton, Terfel, El Coto, Golden Chalice, Certain Justice, Nuit Sombre and York Cliff. Nothing really stands out here however if I was persuaded to have a wager here, it probably would be on either Calcutta or Flighty Fellow, both of whom ran better than the final placings suggested they did last time out (as both of them met trouble in running). Flighty Fellow's ability to stay further could prove decisive. Nuit Sombre could be on the way back after a quiet period and certainly warrants each-way consideration.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Flighty Fellow
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Calcutta
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Nuit Sombre
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fourth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.50 Ladbrokes.com Stakes
(H`cap.) (C) 18runners 1Mile-2f 60yds Penalty £14950 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- The second handicap on the card has eighteen runners but is probably less competitive.
Arcalis (from Linda Ramsden`s yard) is almost certain to be a warm order here, particularly after the enormous punt on it last time out when it won at Newmarket. It is a horse that needs everything to go right though, and at current odds could be worth taking on. Two that interest me are Chantress (the most inexperienced horse in the race, this being only her fifth start) who comes here on the back of a smooth success at Chester last time out and East Tycoon (who showed decent form on the flat last season before showing plenty of promise over hurdles for Jonjo O'Neill). Both of these have it all to do to concede weight to
Arcalis. If he is toppled, there is a good chance it's going to be by one of these. I'll take a chance and go with Chantress here.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Chantress
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Arcalis
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- East Tycoon (e/w)
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fifth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.35 "SEABISCUIT" ST. LEGER STAKES
(A) [Group 1] - 13runners 1Mile-6f 132yds Penalty £240000 3-Year-Olds only colts and fillies
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- A rather weak renewal of the St. Léger. A shame really. You could argue that the race probably should be worth more to entice the best middle-distance 3-year-olds to go for it...maybe there should be some price inducement linked to each leg of the Triple Crown which might have encouraged
Kris Kin to run here instead of Longchamp. I digress. It's very difficult to get enthusiastic and to me, the whole race centres around whether you believe the favourite Brian Boru is good enough to win this. On last season's evidence, you think he would, however I have not been impressed with him at all this season and his tendency to hang into the rail (something he has done in each race this season) certainly gives rises to cause for concern. He could be still good enough to win, however there appears to be something not quite right about him and therefore it would be wrong of me to suggest you back a horse I feel may have a problem, be it physical or otherwise. The horses who do warrant consideration here are Phoenix Reach (unbeaten this season and who beat High Accolade by a head in the Gordon Stakes), Moments Of Joy (unbeaten and unexposed who stayed on well to win the March Stakes at Goodwood last time out), Westmorland Road (only beaten once this season and has been
laid out for this by connections) and Maharib (a progressive colt who won a Group 3 at The Curragh from Aidan O'Brien's Arundel by 3/4 length). They're all similar types in that there is probably more improvement to come from them next year, however if I had to decide which one will do the job today, I'd probably marginally prefer Phoenix Reach to Moments Of Joy. Those looking for something to make the frame at a large price already have Maharib. You could also add High Accolade (very interesting at his best but very disappointing of late and appears to becoming more moody) or Salsalino (a frustrating sort who has run well on each start this season, including in group company, but has however found trouble on each occasion) into the equation. You wouldn' t be the least bit
surprised if Salsalino made the frame as he is one of the few of these virtually guaranteed to be running on when others cry 'enough' and he has to get the each-way nod.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Phoenix Reach
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Moments Of Joy
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Salsalino (e/w)
¦ 4th Place? ¦:¬»-- Brian Boru
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Sixth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.15 Torne Valley Farm & Country Store
H`cap. (B) 13runners 1Mile-4f Penalty £14092 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- It would be nice on this day of classics if Henry Cecil were to get a winner on the card and he has a very good chance of doing this with his 4-year-old Bagan who belied odds of 50/1 to win a Class C handicap last time out at York. Connections have always believed he would develop into a useful handicapper this term and with the Cecil yard in good form at the moment, it does seem to make sense to stay loyal to him, even though Trouble At Bay (who stayed on well in the final furlong to beat
Briareus at Ascot two weeks ago) and top-weight Counsel's Opinion (a course and distance winner who seems to put his best efforts in on galloping tracks) will give him plenty to think about.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Bagan (FR)
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Trouble At Bay
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Counsel's Opinion (e/w)
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Seventh¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.45 Trilogy Nightclub Doncaster Nursery
H`cap. (D) 22runners 7f Penalty £7436 2-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- The finale makes only limited appeal and 'good luck' to those of you that believe that top-weight Overdrawn (only just touched off by Breathing Son last time out) can prevail here. He's not one for me and if I was going to have some interest here, it would probably be on something like Jomus who stayed on to finish two lengths behind Senor Bond at
Carlisle last month. Have Faith and Eezaa Geezer (both have run well against
Zweibrucken who won a similar event last time out at Sandown) also appeal and warrant each-way consideration.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Jomus
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Eezaa Geezer (e/w)
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Have Faith
ST LEGER MEETING at DONCASTER
Friday, September 12
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"First¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 1.45 Amco Corporation Conditions Guaranteed Sweepstakes (B) 6 runners 1Mile¬2f 60yds Penalty £11600 3, 4 and 5-Year-Olds
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Tuning Fork,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Bonecrusher,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Songlark,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Second¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.20 Tote Exacta Mallard Stakes
(H`cap.) (B) 16 runners 1Mile¬6f 132yds Penalty £21606 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Almutasader,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Itemise (USA)
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Global Challenge, [e/w]
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Third¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.55 Champagne Stakes (A) (Group 2) 6 runners 7f Penalty £79200 2-Year-Olds only colts and geldings
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Haafhd,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Lucky Story (USA)
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Milk It Mick,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fourth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.30 Orderit-online.com Troy Stakes (A) (Listed Race) 6 runners 1Mile¬4f Penalty £13000 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Wareed,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Millstreet,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Dubai Success,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fifth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.05 Dbs St Leger Yearling Stakes (B) 22 runners 6f Penalty £27000 2-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Seeking Answers,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Senor Bond
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Sessay, [e/w]
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Sixth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.40 Cpl Industries Trophy (A Conditions Guaranteed Sweepstakes) (C) 8 runners 1Mile¬ Penalty £6960 3-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Millafonic,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Tacitus,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Bury St Edmunds, [e/w]
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Seventh¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 5.10 Coal Trades Benevolent Association Raceday
H`cap. Guaranteed Sweepstakes (D) 22 runners 5f Penalty £6500 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Midnight Parkes,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Hiccups, [e/w]
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Time N Time Again,
ST. LEGER MEETING
at DONCASTER
Thursday, September 11
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"First¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 1.45 Betdaq May Hill Stakes (A) (Group 2) 11 runners 1Mile~Penalty £30000 2-Year-Olds only fillies
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Qasirah
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Kinnaird (e/w)
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Hathrah
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Second¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.20 GNER Park Stakes (A) (Group 3) 10 runners 7f Penalty £24000 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Trade Fair
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Tarjman
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Polar Ben
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Third¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.55 GNER Doncaster Cup (A) (Group 2) 6 runners 2Miles~2f Penalty £48000 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Persian Punch
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Pole Star
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Savanna Bay
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fourth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.30 Ralph Raper Memorial Prince Of Wales Cup (Showcase Nursery H`cap.) (B) 16 runners 1Mile~Penalty £14326 2-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Go Solo
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Queenstown
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Menfee
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fifth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.00 JRA London Office's Kyoto Sceptre Stakes (A) (Listed Race) 19 runners 7f Penalty £16250 3-Year-Olds plus fillies
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Tantina (USA)
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Zyzania (e/w)
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Gonfilia (GER)
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Sixth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.30 Help A Hallam Child Scarbrough Stakes (A) (Listed Race) 9 runners 5f Penalty £13000 2-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Fire Up The Band
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Dragon Flyer
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Bishops Court
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Seventh¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 5.00 Queen's Own Yorkshire Dragoons Ladies Day Stakes (H`cap.) (C) 22 runners 7f Penalty £7358 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Craiova
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Persario
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Extinguisher (e/w)
ST. LEGER MEETING
at DONCASTER
Wednesday, September 10.
|¨¨¨¨¨"First¨Race." ¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨»-- 1.45 European Breeders Fund Carrie Red Fillies' Nursery Stakes
(H`cap.) (B) 22runners 6f 110yds Penalty £25002.25 2-Year-Olds only fillies
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Varnay
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Asian Winds
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Milly Waters (e/w)
|¨¨¨¨¨"Second¨Race." ¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨»-- 2.20 £200000 St Leger Yearling Stakes (B) 22runners 6f Penalty £142400 2-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Psychiatrist
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Cape Fear
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Cop Hill Lad
|¨¨¨¨¨"Third¨Race." ¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨»-- 2.55 Tote Trifecta Portland (Showcase
H`cap.) (B) 22runners 5f 140yds Penalty £35620 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Smart Predator
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Corridor Creaper
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Halmahera
¦ 4th Place? ¦:¬»-- My American Beauty
|¨¨¨¨¨"Fourth¨Race." ¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨»-- 3.30 Acmc Park Hill Stakes (A) (Group 3) 8runners 1Mile~6f 132yds Penalty £24000 3-Year-Olds plus fillies
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Singleton
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Juliet
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Thingamebob
|¨¨¨¨¨"Fifth¨Race." ¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨»-- 4.00 McKeever St. Lawrence Conditions Stakes (C) 11runners 7f Penalty £6287.20 2-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Mukafeh
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Sabbeeh
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Ann Summers Two
|¨¨¨¨¨"Sixth¨Race." ¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨»-- 4.30 Thoroughbred Breeders' Association M`dn. Stakes (D) 17runners 1Mile~ Penalty £7280 2-Year-Olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Destination Dubai
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Badr
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Present Oriented (e/w)
|¨¨¨¨¨"Seventh¨Race." ¨¨¨¨|¨¨¨¨»-- 5.00 Wilfreda Beehive Classified Stakes (C) 13runners 1Mile~2f 60yds Penalty £8047 3-Year-Olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Les Arcs
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Solo Flight
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Marina's Charm
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