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Analysis
& Selections by
"a
rØøk"
Whether
it be "the race of the day" or a small prize round the
gaffs, we will attempt to use our knowledge of the formbook to
highlight the fancied horses participating each day and their
characteristics and requirements. Hopefully this 'second opinion'
provides you with a winner or two each day, or even reinforces your
own view on a particular may even convince you to back some of those
horses which we feel are the "ones to fear", or have decent
eachway claims. whichever is the case, we hope the information is of
use to you.
SELECTIONS
- For each race, we have given you who, in our view, are the likeliest
winners; (1er _ THE WINNER?), as well as any runners who could run
well at eachway odds; (E/W ALTERNATIVE) . Any runner from our features
are shown before each race's analysis.
MARKET RASEN
Saturday, July 19.
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"First¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 1.35 Tote Exacta Summer Hurdle [B] [H` cap] 13runners 2Miles~1f 110yds Penalty £23200 4-Year-olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-Showpiece, Silvertown, Rigmarole, Hors La Loi, Prince Among Men, Ragdale Hall, Samsaam, Scarletti, Cosmic Case, and Latalomne make most appeal in
the opening Tote Exacta Summer Hurdle. There should be a strong pace here, which should suit course and
distance winner Showpiece, who readily put 8lengths between himself and Ei Ei in the Weatherbys Insurance Handicap Hurdle here a month ago. Silvertown, Rigmarole, Hors La Loi and Prince Among Men, have all been in fair form of late and will poise a big threat, however Showpiece looks to still be a step
ahead of the handicapper and his telling final change of pace may well
sway matters his way. Latalomne appeals as the possible eachway alternative
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Showpiece,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Rigmarole,
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Latalomne, [e/w]
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Second¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.10
Mercedes-Benz Of Hull And Lincolnshire Commercial Juvenile Novices' Hurdle [D] 12runners 2Miles~1f 110yds Penalty £5525 3-Year-olds only
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- The first juvenile race of the season is a real poser as Martin Pipe introduces Figaro Du Rocher, a distance winner of his only start at Vichy a month ago into the fray. Quite what Figaro Du Rocher
achieved that day is debatable and he has to concede weight here, however that experience is valuable and I think
he'll oblige, however Lucky Leo, Creed, Blue Venture, and Boss Man may be worth having a second interest in.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»--Figaro Du Rocher (FR),
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Boss Man, [e/w]
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Blue Venture
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Third¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 2.40 Gilbert And Molly King Memorial
H.B.L.B H` cap Steeple ch` [D] 9runners 2Miles~1f 110yds Penalty £8190 5-Year-olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- Quite a poor handicap comes next, despite the good money on offer. Dual Star, Night Fighter, Merry Minstrel, Toulon Crest, Canadiane, Bungee Jumper, Gue Au Loup and Jamorin Dancer, have all shown little bits of form which entitle them to be considered here. Dual Star is still 6lbs higher
than when winning twice early last season, however he is fresh and likely to go well here. Off of only 10st-0lbs, he looks the most
appealing of these. Topweight Canadiane, and Gue Au Loup may give him most to think about.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Dual Star
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Canadiane (FR)
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Gue Au Loup
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fourth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.10 Jewson Novices' Hurdle [Series Qualifier] [D] 5runners 2Miles~1f 110yds Penalty £5492.50 4-Year-olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»--Only five runners line up for race four, however Feel The Pride, Ela Re, and Gabla, all can be given
chances her. Feel The Pride is the likely favourite after two wins at Uttoxeter and most recently
Stratford, where he beat Conroy by 7lengths, however you could argue that Ela Re ahs the stronger form, especially if you forgive a sub standard effort behind
Showpiece here last time out. I'd be inclined to give him the benefit of the doubt, although I do think Gabla has plenty of scope for
improvement and should be dismissed lightly
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Ela Re
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Feel The Pride
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Gabla (NZ)
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Fifth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 3.40 TOTE SCOOP6 SUMMER PLATE [H` cap] [B] [Steeple ch` ] 16runners 2Miles~4f Penalty £40600 5-Year-olds plus
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¦¨¨¨¨ "one¨to¨jump"¨¨¨¨ ¦ ¬: Are there any horses from "ONE TO JUMP 2003/4" - Our feature which; each season, provides a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season? ¦:¬»-- Cobbet (CZE)
¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- This season's renewal of the Summer Plate has attracted one of its strongest fields. Brother Joe, Ballycassidy, Chicuelo, Cobbet, Duke Of Buckingham, Il Capitano, Banjo Hill, Ei Ei, Ichi Beau, Kaki Crazy, and Xaipete, seem to be the horses to concentrate on. Ei EI and Kaki Crazy are likely to make this a
particularly strongly run affair and that is going to suit those horses which come from
behind... [its hard to imagine . Ei EI and Kaki Crazy being good enough to make all]. This will test Brother Joe, and
Chicuelo' s jumping to the limit, however should both of these get around without much mishap they do have the
potential to go close... I dont believe they will prevail and as such look poor value... I wouldnt however say that about Cobbet, Duke Of Buckingham, and Banjo Hill, who all come into the race in good heart. Duke Of Buckingham's defeat of Santenay at Warwick in May looks very
strong and if this novice holds his from, he has to be the best eachway value in the race, however its another novice Cobbet, who gets my vote. Many will have forgotten his win in the Nicholson Holman Cup Handicap Chase at Cheltenham in April, however
anyone who has the footage of how he travelled before cruising past Korakor to win by 12lengths, will agree he won this race
in the manner of a horse who could be ahead of the handicapper. This has been his aim ever since, and two wins over fences at the beginning
of this term will have boosted the confidence. If he stays [a slight doubt] he
must go close and I cant oppose him here.
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Cobbet (CZE)
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Duke Of Buckingham, [e/w]
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Banjo Hill
¦ 4th Place? ¦:¬»-- Chicuelo (FR)
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Sixth¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.10 Morton's Print Novices' Steeple ch` [D] 7runners 2Miles~4f Penalty £6734 5-Year-olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- Seven line-up for the penultimate race of the meeting and to be honest only Dream With Me, Wagner, and Colquhoun, make any appeal. Dream With Me, has been put in as the favourite
despite finishing behind Colquhoun, last time at Newton Abbot. I dont believe that was his true form and I'd be
confident of him reversing these placings. He'll need to be on form to beat Wagner, who makes his chasing debut here. Wagner is a
progressive sort whose already won over hurdles this term at Newton Abbot before
finishing a good second to Captain Zinzan at Worcester three weeks ago. If Wagner takes to them, he
should go close, however superior hurdles ability and chasing experience will
probably prevail [just!!].
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Dream With Me,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Wagner
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Colquhoun,
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨"Seventh¨Race"¨¨¨¨¨¨¦¨¨¨¨¨¨»-- 4.45 Maureen Davis Memorial H` cap Hurdle [D] 9runners 2Miles~6f Penalty £8138 4-Year-olds plus
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¦ "a rØøk" ¦:¬»-- Nine runners are due to line up in the finale. Of these, Canada, Anzal, Haystacks, Blackchurch Mist, Hawkes Run, Dat My Horse, and Meldrum Star make most appeal. Canada will no doubt prove
to be popular after his recent good efforts on the level, however he has
plenty of weight here and the improving Anzal, [whose already won twice this term at
Exeter and Worcester], may be able to pick him off here, in receipt of 26lbs from the
Nicholashayne representative. Ewan Williams and Sue Smith's yard are in rude health and either Meldrum Star and Dat My Horse could be
interesting eachway alternatives
¦ ¹ST PLACE ¬ THE WINNER? ¦:¬»-- Anzal,
¦ ²nd Place? ¦:¬»-- Dat My Horse, [e/w]
¦ ³rd Place? ¦:¬»-- Meldrum Star.
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