|

Analysis & Selections by
ðE`
RØøK
Whether
it be "the race of the day" or a small prize round the gaffs, we
will attempt to use our knowledge of the formbook to highlight the fancied
horses participating each day and their
characteristics and requirements. Hopefully this ´second opinion´ provides
you with a winner or two each day, or even reinforces your own view on a
particular may even convince you to back some of those horses which we
feel are the "ones to fear", or have decent each-way claims.
whichever is the case, we hope the information is of use to you.
SELECTIONS - For each race, we have given you who, in our view, are the likeliest winners;
(1er _ THE WINNER?), as well as any runners who could run well at each-way
odds;
(E/W
ALTERNATIVE) . Any runner from our features are shown before each race 's analysis.
Up
to the minute racing news....

 |
Cheltenham
´04
Cheltenham _ New Course
Thursday, 18 March ´04.
|
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨Seventeenth¨Race¨¨¨¨¨¨¦--: Christie´s Foxhunter
steeple¨CH´. 3Miles~2f 110yds. £40,000 - for five-year-olds & upwards
which since December 31, 2001, & before March 1, 2004, have been placed
first or second on two occasions in a hunters’ steeple chase in Great Britain
or Ireland or have won two Open steeple chases at Point-to-Point Meetings (i.e.
Gentlemen´s, Ladies or Mixed Open Races) in Great Britain or Ireland or have
won one Open steeple chase at a Point-to-Point Meeting in Great Britain or
Ireland and have been placed first or second in a hunters’ steeple chase.
Weights: 5-y-o 11st 4lb; 6-y-o & up 12st.; mares allowed 5lb. Entries closed
March 3 (39 entries), entries revealed March 8, five-day confirmations March 13,
declarations to run by 10.15am Wednesday, March 17, 2004.
|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯ªT¯¯|¯¯THE¯¯|¯¯POST¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨¨ONE¨Tº¨JUMP´º4¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¦ ¬ are there any horses from ONE Tº JUMP ´º4 - our feature which at the beginning of each season, sets out to provide a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season? ¦ --: Oneminutetofive
and Ease The Pressure
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨¨"ðE´RØøK"¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¦--:
The Foxhunters Chase is one of the oldest races at the Festival, first being run
in 1904. It is the richest Hunter Chase of the season and is regularly used to
gauge the best performer in this discipline each season. Thirty-nine horses have
been entered for this year´s renewal. Here are, [in our view], the main
contenders for this prize:
Always On The Line - trained by
Richard Barber
Arctic Times - trained by
Eugene O’Sullivan
Ask The Natives - trained by
Chloe Roddick
Bright Approach - trained by
Ollie Bush
Castle Weir - trained by
Willie Mullins
Charlie Strong - trained
Richard Kelvin-Hughes
Country Derry - trained by
Jeremy Scott
Earthmover - trained by Paul
Nicholls
Ease The Pressure- trained by
Richard Barber
Game Gunner - trained by
Beverley Lewis
General Montcalm - trained by
Edward O’Grady
Lord Atterbury - trained by
David Pipe
Mrs. Be - trained by Ollie
Bush
Never Compromise - trained by
Ted Walsh
Oneminutetofive - trained by
David Pipe
Polar Champ - trained by
David Pipe
Red Brook Lad - trained by
Charles Fox
Sea Haitch ´Em - trained by
Vivian Hughes
Sheriff´s Friend - trained
by Amanda Perrett
Spot Thedifference - trained
by Edna Bolger
Torduff Express - trained by
Paul Nicholls
Upham Lord - trained by Peter
Beaumont
|¯¯¯¯¯¯¯SUMMARY¯¯¯¯¯¯¯| --: Arguably the second most
difficult race to call at the time of writing as the leading candidates for the
race, Ask The Native and Mister Benjamin will be absent due to injury whilst it
isn't clear whether Lord Atterbury (who was so impressive towards the back end
of last season) will take his chance as he is not pleasing connections currently
at home. This potentially robs the race of any outstanding candidate which means
that punters may have to fall back onto familiar friends like Earthmover,
Torduff Express, Spot The Difference, County Derry and Bright Approach for their
selections. Although he was very disappointing when pulling up on his most
recent start at Folkestone last month, Bright Approach could be argued to be the
form horse having finished second to Kingscliff twelve months ago. However, you
would hope that there was something to break through into the big time here and
with that in mind, were Lord Atterbury not to take his chance, I would be
tempted to take a chance with his stablemate Oneminutetofive, already a winner
three times this season, Sheriff's Friend (a multi-winning pointer who landed
the John Corbett Cup at Stratford last season) or General Montcalm (a
lightly-raced six-year-old in the care of Edward O'Grady who has already shown
himself good enough to compete with the best of Irelands challengers, having
split Never Compromise and Castle Weir at Thurles last month) . I'm not sure
that these three have shown the form that would guarantee them victory, however
they definitely possess the potential and as things stands, it may pay to go
with that approach. Sheriff's Friend gets first preference.
|¯¯1ST¯PLACED?¯¯| ¬:Sheriffs Friend (e.W.)
|¯2ª¯place?¯|
¬: General Montcalm (e.W.)
|¯3ª¯place?¯|
¬: Oneminutetofive (e.W.)
|¯4ª¯place?¯|
¬: Lord Atterbury
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨Eighteenth¨Race¨¨¨¨¨¨¦--:
The 132nd Year of the Cheltenham Grand Annual Handicap steeple¨CH´. [gr. III]
2Miles~110yds £75,000 - £75,000 total prize fund, two miles and about half a
furlong, five-year-olds and upwards. Penalties: after February 28, a winner of a
class C chase 3lb, of a class A or B chase, 6lb. Entries closed February 18 (62
entries), entries released February 23, weights released March 3, five-day
confirmation stage March 13, final declaration stage 10.15am, March 16.
|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯ªT¯¯|¯¯THE¯¯|¯¯POST¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨¨ONE¨Tº¨JUMP´º4¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¦ ¬ are there any horses from ONE Tº JUMP ´º4 - our feature which at the beginning of each season, sets out to provide a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season? ¦ --: Isio
(FR), Palarshán (FR), Bal De Nuit (FR), Le Duç (FR) and Çóbbet (CZE)
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨¨"ðE´RØøK"¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¦--:
The 132nd renewal of the Grand Annual has attracted sixty-two entries. It is the
oldest race at the National Hunt Meeting, and the oldest in the chasing
calendar, first being run at Andoversford, near Cheltenham, in 1834 over three
miles of open country. As usual, this is a wide open event, and after
looking at the weights, here are the likeliest to figure from the sixty-two
entries;
Isio (FR) 8yrs,
- 11st~12lbs
Seebald (GER)
9yrs, - 11st~0lb
Farmer Jack
8yrs, - 11st~6lbs
Armaturk (FR)
7yrs, - 11st~5lbs
Turgeonev
(FR) 9yrs, - 11st~5lbs
Palarshán
(FR) 6yrs, - 11st~4lbs
Got One Too
(FR) 7yrs, - 11st~3lbs
Risk Accessor
9yrs, - 11st~3lbs
Rathgar Beau
8yrs, - 11st~3lbs
Strong Run
11yrs, - 11st~2lbs
Puntal (FR)
8yrs, - 10st~13lbs
Young
Devereaux 11yrs, - 10st~13lbs
Our
Armageddon (NZ) 7yrs, - 10st~13lbs
Killultagh
Storm 10yrs, - 10st~13lbs
Adamant
Approach 10yrs, - 10st~12lbs
Exit Swinger
(FR) 9yrs, - 10st~10lbs
Bal De Nuit
(FR) 5yrs, - 10st~10lbs
True Blue
Victory 8yrs, - 10st~9lbs
Shamawan
9yrs, - 10st~8lbs
Ei Ei 9yrs, -
10st~8lbs
Santenay (FR)
6yrs, - 10st~8lbs
Fadoudal De
Cochet(FR)11yrs, - 10st~8lbs
Non So (FR)
6yrs, - 10st~8lbs
Atum Ire
7yrs, - 10st~6lbs
Ground Ball
7yrs, - 10st~5lbs
Keltic Bard
7yrs, - 10st~5lbs
Tango Royal
(FR) 8yrs, - 10st~3lbs
Tysou (FR)
7yrs, - 10st~2lbs
Simply Gifted
9yrs, - 10st~1lb
Tidour (FR)
8yrs, - 10st~1lb
St~ Pirran
9yrs, - 10st~1lb
Korakor (FR)
10yrs, - 9st~9lbs
Çóbbet
(CHR) 8yrs, - 9st~7lbs
Old Marsh
8yrs, - 9st~6lbs
Jahash 6yrs,
- 9st~4lbs
Reiziger (FR)
8yrs, - 9st~4lbs
Ryders Storm
(USA) 5yrs, - 9st~1lb
Alphazar
9yrs, - 9st~0lb
|¯¯¯¯¯¯¯SUMMARY¯¯¯¯¯¯¯| --: Last season's winner Palarshán
has been laid out by connections to win this and having run well last time
behind Farmer Jack at Sandown in February, he looks poised for a big run again
here. He does though have plenty of weight and is vulnerable to horses lower in
the handicap such as Kelrev (who has appeared not to stay 2m5f in his last two
starts), Colca Canyon (boasts useful form against Ireland's best novices), Le
Duç (talented novice who's confidence has been restored after showing good form
over hurdles recently) and Simply Gifted (formerly useful hurdler who won his
first race after missing the last two seasons at Chepstow in January). All of
these have other engagements however Colca Canyon probably would appeal most
were he to line up here. Course and distance winner Çóbbet runs best fresh and
could give followers a spirited run for their money if they were looking for
something at a big price.
|¯¯1ST¯PLACED?¯¯| ¬: Colca Canyon
|¯2ª¯place?¯|
¬: Palarshán
|¯3ª¯place?¯|
¬: Kelrev (FR)
|¯4ª¯place?¯|
¬: Le Duç (FR)
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨Nineteenth¨Race¨¨¨¨¨¨¦--:
Cathcart Challenge Cup steeple¨CH´. [gr. II] 2Miles~5f £80,000 - for
five-year-olds and upwards which, before April 28, 2002, had not won a chase.
Weights: 5-y-o: 10st. 9lb, 6-y-o and upwards: 11st: mares allowance 7lb.
Penalties: a winner of a Class 0C chase 3lb, of a Class A or B chase 5lb or
before April 27, 2003, a winner of a Class B weight-for-age chase 6lb, or before
April 27, 2003, a winner of a Class A weight-for-age chase 9lb. Horses
qualifying for more than one penalty will incur the higher penalty only. Entries
closed March 3, 2004 (33 entries), entries released, Monday, March 8. Five-day
confirmation stage Saturday, March 13, final declaration stage 10.15am,
Wednesday, March 17.
|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯ªT¯¯|¯¯THE¯¯|¯¯POST¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨¨ONE¨Tº¨JUMP´º4¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¦ ¬ are there any horses from ONE Tº JUMP ´º4 - our feature which at the beginning of each season, sets out to provide a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season? ¦ --: Isio
(FR), Le Coudray (FR), Le Duç (FR) and Patricksnineteenth.
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨¨"ðE´RØøK"¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¦--:
The penultimate race of the National Hunt Festival is the Cathcart Challenge
Cup, named after Frederick Cathcart who was the clerk of the course at
Cheltenham from 1908-1934. It is without doubt the hardest race to call at this
stage because despite the small number of entries, the list invariably consists
of horses specifically aimed at the race as well as others who for whatever
reason have fallen by the wayside during the meeting. Thirty-three horses have
been entered this year, and it´s quite possible you could list ten and yet
still not find the winner. With that caveat "conveniently" put in
place, these are the horses who at first glance make most appeal:
Adamant Approach - trained by
Willie Mullins
Barrow Drive - trained by
Tony Mullins
Calling Brave - trained by
Nicky Henderson
Don Fernando - trained by
Martin Pipe
Hand Inn Hand - trained by
Henry Daly
Hunters Tweed - trained by
Peter Beaumont
Impek (FR) - trained by
Henrietta Knight
Iris Royal (FR) - trained by
Nicky Henderson
Irish Hussar - trained by
Nicky Henderson
Isio (FR) - trained by Nicky
Henderson
Kelrev (FR) - trained by
Venetia Williams
L´Aventure (FR) - trained by
Paul Nicholls
La Landiere (FR) - trained by
Richard Phillips
Le Coudray (FR) - trained by
Christy Roche
Le Duç (FR) - trained by
Paul Nicholls
Our Armageddon (NZ) - trained
by Richard
Our Vic - trained by Martin
Pipe
Patricksnineteenth - trained
by Paul Webber
Puntal (FR) - trained by
Martin Pipe
Star Clipper - trained by
Noel Meade
Supreme Prince - trained by
Phillips Hobbs
Therealbandit - trained by
Martin Pipe
Whereareyounow - trained by
Nigel Twiston-Davis
|¯¯¯¯¯¯¯SUMMARY¯¯¯¯¯¯¯| --: Thirty-three runners, most of
whom are doubly or triply engaged at this meeting and no idea of what weight
they'll carry. The perfect way to chose a winner at the festival!!! This race is
impossible, however were either Therealbandit or Our Vic to sidestep other
engagements to come here, they would be in my view very difficult to oppose. In
their absence, Isio, Le Coudray and Patricksnineteenth would attract our
attention. Allowing this race to structure itself may be the wisest betting
strategy.
|¯¯1ST¯PLACED?¯¯| ¬: Our Vic /
Therealbandit
|¯2ª¯place?¯|
¬: Le Coudray (FR)
|¯3ª¯place?¯|
¬: Isio (FR)
|¯4ª¯place?¯|
¬:
Patricksnineteenth
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨Twentieth¨Race¨¨¨¨¨¨¦--:
Vincent O´Brien County Handicap Hurdle [gr. III] 2Miles~1f £65,000 - £65,000
Total Prize Fund, Cheltenham, Thursday, March 18, 2004, two miles & about
one furlong. For five-year-olds & upwards which, before February 15, have
been placed first, second or third in a hurdle race. Penalties: after February
28, a winner of a hurdle race 4lb. Entries closed February 18 (64 entries),
entries released February 23, weights revealed March 3. Five-day confirmation
stage March 13, final declaration stage 10.15am, March 17.
|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯ªT¯¯|¯¯THE¯¯|¯¯POST¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|¯¯¯¯¯¯|
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨¨ONE¨Tº¨JUMP´º4¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¦ ¬ are there any horses from ONE Tº JUMP ´º4 - our feature which at the beginning of each season, sets out to provide a list of horses to follow during the current national hunt season? ¦ --: Le
Duç (FR), Dictum (GER), Harchibald (FR), Isio (FR), Kadount (FR), Desert Air
(JPN), Mambo
¦¨¨¨¨¨¨¨"ðE´RØøK"¨¨¨¨¨¨¨¦--:
The final race of the 2004 Cheltenham Festival is the ultra-competitive
County Hurdle, first run in 1920, and won by Trespasser, who until 1973 also had
a race named after him at Cheltenham ´s premier meeting... The race bears the
name of Vincent O’Brien, who retired from training in 1994, who won 25 races
at the Festival, including four Gold Cups, three Champion Hurdles, 10 Supreme
Novices’ Hurdles and a flurry of supporting races. It gives punters the final
opportunity to add to their winnings or more often than not dig themselves out
of the pit they´d dug for themselves over the past two days. There were
sixty-four entries this year, and after the publication of the weights here are
those we´ve singled out for consideration:
Rigmarole 6yrs - 11st12lbs
Sporazene 5yrs - 10st13lbs
In Contrast 8yrs - 10st12lbs
Limerick Boy (GER) 6yrs -
10st10lbs
Monkerhostin (FR) 7yrs -
10st9lbs
Mughas 5yrs - 10st6lbs
Perouse 6yrs - 10st5lbs
Copeland 9yrs - 10st4lbs
Benbyas 7yrs - 10st4lbs
Saintsaire (FR) 5yrs -
10st3lbs
Adamant Approach 10yrs -
10st2lbs
Brave Inca 6yrs - 10st1lb
Chauvinist 9yrs - 10st1lb
Albuhera 6yrs - 10st0lb
Native Scout 8yrs - 10st0lb
Le Passing (FR) 5yrs -
9st13lbs
Man O´Mystery (USA) 7yrs -
9st13lbs
Le Duç (FR) 5yrs - 9st12lbs
Unleash (USA) 5yrs - 9st11lbs
Never (FR) 7yrs - 9st11lbs
Bold Bishop 7yrs - 9st11lbs
Grave Doubts 8yrs - 9st11lbs
Sud Bleu (FR) 6yrs - 9st11lbs
Tik-A-Tai 9yrs - 9st11lbs
Dictum (GER) 6yrs - 9st10lbs
Spectroscope 5yrs - 9st8lbs
Contraband 6yrs - 9st8lbs
Gin Palace 6yrs - 9st7lbs
Lilium De Cotte (FR) 5yrs -
9st7lbs
Khetaam 6yrs - 9st7lbs
Arch Stanton 6yrs - 9st7lbs
Overstrand 5yrs - 9st7lbs
Demi Beau 6yrs - 9st7lbs
Stacumny Prince 6yrs -
9st6lbs
Fleet Street 5yrs - 9st6lbs
Green Belt Flyer 6yrs -
9st6lbs
Kadount (FR) 6yrs - 9st6lbs
Isio (FR) 8yrs - 9st6lbs
Rathgar Beau 8yrs - 9st6lbs
Bound 6yrs - 9st5lbs
Greenhope 6yrs - 9st5lbs
Altay 7yrs - 9st5lbs
Tango Royal (FR) 8yrs -
9st4lbs
Harchibald (FR) 5yrs -
9st3lbs
Downpour (USA) 6yrs - 9st3lbs
Newhall 6yrs - 9st3lbs
Idaho d´Ox (FR) 8yrs -
9st3lbs
Hawadeth 9yrs - 9st1lb
Feel The Pride 6yrs - 9st1lb
Macs Joy 5yrs - 9st0lb
Desert Air (JPN) 5yrs -
9st0lb
Bërnardon (GER) 8yrs -
8st13lbs
Kirat 6yrs - 8st13lbs
Another Dude 7yrs - 8st10lbs
Breknen Le Noir (FR) 6yrs -
8st10lbs
Petanque 8yrs - 8st10lbs
Shayadi 7yrs - 8st9lbs
The Last Cast 5yrs - 8st9lbs
Friedlhelmo (GER) 8yrs -
8st8lbs
Scorned (GER) 9yrs - 8st8lbs
Kilbeggan Lad 6yrs - 8st0lb
Supergood 6yrs - 7st11lbs
Liberman 6yrs - 7st11lbs
|¯¯¯¯¯¯¯SUMMARY¯¯¯¯¯¯¯| --: With so many runners being out of
the handicap due to the presence of Rigmarole it is difficult to be clear about
the structure of the weights. We do though know that there are a few trainers
who clearly fancy their charges have good chances of picking up the big bonus
for winning this race as well as the Imperial Cup the Saturday before this
festival. For that reason alone, Saintsaire, Bold Bishop, Kadount, Desert Air
and Never warrant closer inspection. Bold Bishop has looked really good in
novice company this season and would be difficult to beat off of the minimum
weight. However he hasn't experienced the competitive nature of handicaps and it
would pay not to overlook this if you were considering lumping in heavily on
him. A similar comment applies to Dictum who was very impressive at Ascot in
January, however he didn't impress last time out at Newbury three weeks ago and
probably needs cut in the ground to show his true worth.
There is
though one horse that has been overlooked, yet his trainer was very forthright
about the high regard in which he held this horse, and that is Desert Air. This
Japanese-bred son of Desert King hasn't run this season by Martin Pipe did
indicate that he believed that this horse would strengthen up into a fair
handicapper this season. If that is the case, it may pay to look at his
form of last season in closer detail as he was only just touched off by Hasty
Prince, (declared for the Champion Hurdle) on his debut at Huntingdon in January
2003 before coming out 2 weeks later and beating Thesus (winner of the Ladbroke
hurdle at Ascot this January) and Sud Bleu (at Ascot) . He hasn't run
since finishing third to Bareme at Kempton a year ago. However he would interest
me if he crept into the weights here especially if he is ridden by a decent
pilot. That said, by this time his cover may well have been blown and if you
believe he is worth and investment, it may pay you to look at his performance in
the Imperial Cup especially if the champion of Jamie Moore happen to be on board
here.
|¯¯1ST¯PLACED?¯¯| ¬: Desert Air (JPN)
|¯2ª¯place?¯|
¬: Dictum (GER), [e.W.]
|¯3ª¯place?¯|
¬: Harchibald (FR)
|¯4ª¯place?¯|
¬: Bold Bishop
|