Copyright Ian Pearson, BT Futurologist
Click here for contact details, other articles and personal details
The future of air
March 02
Air used to be just stuff that we breathed.
It might be a little polluted now and then and certainly was flooded by light,
radio and sound, but basically it was air. But it is becoming digital, or
rather the space that the air occupies is becoming digital. For years now we
have had accurate satellite based positioning systems, and can work out where
we are to within a few metres almost anywhere on the planet that we can see
three or more of the satellites. With mobile networks, the level of accuracy
has improved a little, and soon we will have more accuracy again with a new satellite
system. Add to this the likelihood of urban and building positioning systems,
we should know where our terminal is to within a metre or better, perhaps
eventually to within millimetres. This is the platform on which digitisation is
based. If we know where we are, we can call up relevant information and
messages.
A new system being trialled now allows
people to leave messages for other people at a certain location. The person
only receives that message when they go there. So people can leave recommendations
about a restaurant, leave a personal guided tour for a visiting friend, or just
leave reminders for themselves to do something next time they pass by. Tourist
authorities can provide local information to tourists according to their
declared interests. The system designers are now wresting with the enormous
problem of managing such a system to avoid misuse by would be spammers and
other abusers. I really hope they succeed Đ the potential benefits are huge,
but the last thing we need is to be bombarded by junk messages and endless
adverts as we walk down the high street.
But suppose they are only partly
successful. Some of the uses and abuses are very interesting. Such a system
could be used to police gangland territories with digital pheromones. When
people from an opposing gang enter an area they could automatically be warned
off by the local gangsters. Or other digital pheromones could be used to make
romantic pursuits more interesting. With a little more technical ability,
police could be tracked and criminals warned whether they are in danger of
being caught. Burglars could sell messages to each other warning of threats at
particular houses and charging for precise paths to escape local video cameras.
We could keep track of our friends, seeing whether they are in the area for
potential lunch, but we need to ensure that people canŐt build detailed
pictures of our behaviour and become cyber-stalkers. And increasingly we need
to protect against identity theft. Of course, simple defaults would be that
people donŐt have access to such data unless we give them permission. But many
of these future services will run on sophisticated operating systems on complex
machines that are both likely to contain security holes that can be exploited
by virus writers and hackers alike, if current systems are anything to go by.
We could have an automate doorbell send automated messages to travelling
salespeople, asking for their ID, telling them not to call, and if they do,
they could then be bombarded by junk messages, or we could leave messages for
other passers by warning them about their company. We could subscribe to
consumer services that list the various problems we might have in a certain
shop as we enter, detailed down to each and every aisle. Imagine the next time
you have been treated unfairly by a shop if you could leave a message at the
shop, even that checkout, warning other shoppers. You could even leave messages
that keep ringing the assistant with a repeated complaint every time another
group member walks past. Imagine the fun of getting your own back, or the
terror if you are the victim.
Legitimate shops will make good use of
digital air too. Since you will probably have a loyalty card with a chip in it,
they will know who you are, where you are, and your entire personal profile.
They can bombard you with personalised context-adjusted adverts as you walk
around. Or if they want to keep your custom, they could give you an attractive
virtual personal shopper assistant on your mobile, that takes you on an
optimised route for what you need and books you a slot at the checkout just in
time, while introducing you to other shoppers who you would probably like to
meet.
But we will also have a digital bubble
around us, linking our portable gadgets together, and linking to other friendly
equipment and services in the vicinity. Signalling between these bubbles will
open a host of new applications. We can signal our profile to anyone listening,
with electronic filters making sure that people only get the data we want. In
spite of the obvious commercial uses, I suspect that the most widespread uses
will be social, helping us keep track of our friends while helping us make new
ones. Business networking could be greatly facilitated, with new contacts being
granted automatic access to files that we are willing to share with them. Since
the full context of our meeting can be easily recorded, we need never again
forget where it was we met someone, what we discussed, or what we agreed.