Copyright Ian Pearson, BT Futurologist
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August 2000
The chips-with-everything lifestyle is
almost inevitable. Almost everything can be improved by adding some
intelligence to it, and since the intelligence will be cheap to make, we will
take advantage of this potential. In fact, smart ways of doing things are often
cheaper than dumb ways, a smart door lock may be much cheaper than a complex
key based lock. A chip is often cheaper than dumb electronics or
electromechanics. However, electronics no longer has a monopoly of chip
technology. Some new chips incorporate tiny electromechanical or
electrochemical devices to do jobs that used to be done by more expensive
electronics. Chips now have the ability to analyse chemicals, biological matter
or information. They are at home processing both atoms and bits.
These new families of chips have many
possible uses, but since they are relatively new, most are probably still
beyond our imagination. We already have seen the massive impact of chips that
can do information processing. We have much less intuition regarding the impact
in the physical world.
Some have components that act as tiny pumps
to allow drugs to be dispensed at exactly the right rate. Others have tiny
mirrors that can control laser beams to make video displays. Gene chips have
now been built that can identify the presence of many different genes, allowing
applications from rapid identification to estimation of life expectancy for
insurance reasons. (They are primarily being use to tell whether people have a
genetic disorder so that their treatment can be determined correctly).
It is easy to predict some of uses such
future chips might have around the home and office, especially when they become
disposably cheap. Chips on fruit that respond to various gases may warn when
the fruit is at its best and when it should be disposed of. Other foods might
have electronic use-by dates that sound an alarm each time the cupboard or
fridge is opened close to the end of their life. Other chips may detect the
presence of moulds or harmful bacteria. Packaging chips may have embedded
cooking instructions that communicate directly with the microwave, or may
contain real-time recipes that appear on the kitchen terminal and tell the chef
exactly what to do, and when. They might know what other foodstuffs are
available in the kitchen, or whether they are in stock locally and at what price.
Of course, these chips could also contain pricing and other information for use
by the shops themselves, replacing bar codes and the like and allowing the
customer just to put all the products in a smart trolley and walk out, debiting
their account automatically. Chips on foods might react when the foods are in
close proximity, warning the owner that there may be odour contamination, or
that these two could be combined well to make a particularly pleasant dish.
Cooking by numbers. In short, the kitchen could be a techno-utopia or nightmare
depending on taste.
Mechanical switches can already be replaced
by simple sensors that switch on the lights when a hand is waved nearby, or
when someone enters a room. In future, switches of all kinds may be rather more
emotional, glowing, changing colour or shape, trying to escape, or making a
noise when a hand gets near to make them easier or more fun to use. They may
respond to gestures or voice commands, or eventually infer what they are to do
from something they pick up in conversation. Intelligent emotional objects may
become very commonplace. Many devices will act differently according to the
person making the transaction. A security device will allow one person entry,
while phoning the police when someone else calls if they are a known burglar.
Others may receive a welcome message or be put in videophone contact with a
resident, either in the house or away.
It will be possible to burglar proof
devices by registering them in a home. They could continue to work while they
are near various other fixed devices, maybe in the walls, but won't work when
removed. Moving home would still be possible by broadcasting a digitally signed
message to the chips. Air quality may be continuously analysed by chips, which
would alert to dangers such as carbon monoxide, or excessive radiation, and
these may also monitor for the presence of bacteria or viruses or just pollen.
They may be integrated into a home health system which monitors our wellbeing
on a variety of fronts, watching for stress, diseases, checking our blood
pressure, fitness and so on. These can all be unobtrusively monitored. The
ultimate nightmare might be that our fridge would refuse to let us have any
chocolate until the chips in our trainers have confirmed that we have done our
exercise for the day.
Some chips in our home would be mobile, in
robots, and would have a wide range of jobs from cleaning and tidying to
looking after the plants. Sensors in the soil in a plant pot could tell the
robot exactly how much water and food the plant needs. The plant may even be
monitored by sensors on the stem or leaves.
The global positioning system allows chips
to know almost exactly where they are outside, and in-building positioning
systems could allow positioning down to millimetres. Position dependent
behaviour will therefore be commonplace. Similarly, events can be timed to the
precision of atomic clock broadcasts. Response can be super-intelligent,
adjusting appropriately for time, place, person, social circumstances,
environmental conditions, anything that can be observed by any sort of sensor
or predicted by any sort of algorithm.
With this enormous versatility, it is very
hard to think of anything where some sort of chip could not make an
improvement. The ubiquity of the chip will depend on how fast costs fall and
how valuable a task is, but we will eventually have chips with everything.