Copyright Ian Pearson, BT Futurologist
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Feb 1999
The convergence of computing, telecomms and
consumer electronics will mean that most domestic electronics will be able to
communicate with other appliances and with the network. Of course, high
capacity storage technologies such as DVD mean that information can arrive in
the home by other means than networks, but within the home, it is uneconomic to
duplicate equipment in every room. The alternative is to network it, allowing
information appliances in one room to process and transfer information to
appliances elsewhere in the home.
Digital TV, cable and satellite TV, home
video cameras, security networks, domestic appliances, home shopping tablets,
electronic magazine tablets, video windows, electronic paintings and various
other appliances will all need high capacity connections to each other and occasionally
to the outside world. The home network of the future will have to support
several high-resolution video appliances, analog and digital, with
interactivity and easy routing and distribution of signals around the home, in
order to avoid multiple receivers or decoders. Most householders will not want
to buy several digital TV decoders or satellite receivers. Also, it would be
useful to allow all the gadgets to be hidden under the stairs or in the attic,
with a network making them accessible from anywhere in the home, preferably
with a Star trek type voice interface. There will also be various portable and
roaming devices that require cordless connection, and several others that are
static but for which cordless working would be essential or desirable.
There are various ways of networking
appliances in the home. One is to use the electricity mains cables, and this is
effective for many applications. It should be capable of carrying data for
basic internet access, electronic paintings, email and many other services,
particularly for those that are relatively insensitive to momentary burst of
noise. Two alternatives are infrared and ultrasound. At present the use of
infrared in the home is just for remote controls for TV and video players, but
infrared LANs are already available which could do much more. The key
limitation is that IR is line of sight and can't go through ceilings or walls,
so that every room needs at least one ceiling transceiver node. Rooms would
still need to be cabled together somehow. Ultrasound is inherently relatively
low in capacity so no use for the high data rates that will be needed for many
future appliances. Mains
transmission is fine for some data services such as, but has technical problems
in carrying voice or video or other real time services due to noise on the
cables when electrical appliances switch on or off. Two more alternatives are
twisted copper pair and fibre optic cabling. These are both capable of
providing adequate solutions and both can be made to carry the required data
rates, but ultimately, both are still handicapped by the fact that they are
cable. Many appliances ill exist in the home of the future and if we are to
avoid piles of tangled spaghetti everywhere, a cordless solution is essential.
On the other hand, if battery technology does not improve markedly, lightweight
cabling may still be needed for power supply for most appliances and dual
power/comms cabling could be an acceptable solution to this problem.
The obvious remaining contender medium for
home networks is radio. With a future optical access network, passive picocell
technology would allow the public network to extend into and throughout the
home via radio. Radio provides for cordless links, and could provide adequate
capacity for the full range of likely domestic appliances at the required
quality of service for at least the short and medium term. Meanwhile, new chips
will soon be incorporated into consumer electronics that will allow appliances
to set up their own local networks, so that traffic will route itself around
the house almost automatically, and certainly without too much expertise being
required of the householder to configure the system. By linking to the external
network, appliances could download new software as required from the
manufacturer so that their facilities can be kept up to date. The radio
networks set up in the home by these new chips would mean that transmission in
the home would be virtually free.
It is likely that removing the need for
cabling will give a huge boost to the consumer electronics industry. We can
expect a flourish of new devices - personal screens and visors, shopping
tablets and electronic magazines, electronic shopping lists and cookery books
with real time recipes that control the microwave directly, fridge front
message and email tablets, and video baby monitors. Worse still, when they all
start talking to each other we will see the microwave ganging up with the smart
to enforce the new diet recommended by the electronic magazine. We may be free from
spaghetti wiring, but at what cost?