Copyright Ian Pearson, BT Futurologist
Click here for contact details, other articles and personal details
Feb 1999
When the telephone was invented, its main use
was thought to be in listening to opera. The idea that young lovers would chat
on the telephone was the subject of Punch cartoons. But of course, teenagers
spend half their time on the phone. Now with email and the internet, there are
even more platforms where relationships can play out. It is not uncommon to
work for an entire project with someone you have never met, and sometimes never
even spoken to.
On the internet, people make new friends in
far off places, and sometimes these eventually result in marriage. Now the
network is everywhere, and mobile networks permeate every inch of the planet.
Kevin Warwick and his wife Irena will soon have chip implants that link their
emotions together in a primitive way. A few years down the road, they will know
all the time what one another are feeling, wherever they are. They may directly
experience a sensation or see some information on a display. This will destroy
the last of the barriers imposed by geography. Previously, emotion could only
be conveyed crudely by the network through tone of voice or the words used, but
soon, with such emotion chips and large screen immersive video communication,
body language and emotions will cross the oceans as easily as if the people
shared the same room. However, it is likely that people will still 'top and
tail' business relationships with physical meetings. People will always want to
get together physically sometimes. As we meet more and more friends and
business contacts on the net, we may actually travel more, not less.
Recent research has shown that excessive
internet use can make people depressed, because it leads to isolation and
network based relationships are a poor substitute today for physical meetings.
But the technology will improve greatly in coming years. By 2010, 2m screens
will be commonplace and local telecomms will have high capacity. Video meetings
in homes can then be life size. But the real significance of this technology
arises from the fact that many members of our society, particularly the old,
have precious little contact with people except for the check out assistant at
Tesco every Thursday. With few friends and relatives nearby who are mobile
enough to visit, loneliness is a huge social problem. Anything that can improve
their social contact, even if it is only a life sized image on a screen of
someone the computer has identified as a potential friend, is bound to be a
plus. Separation need no longer be an excuse for relationship breakdown.
One of the most critical stages of any relationship
is the first meeting. When we see lots of potential partners at a party, it is
anything but obvious to most of us which ones are most compatible. Now, you can
have various aspects of your personality and preferences encoded in a badge
that automatically talks to all the other badges in the vicinity. Personality
matching programs do the matchmaking. If someone there is a good match, you
will both be alerted, saving hours of time chatting up the wrong person. This
technology is already available in primitive form at some night-clubs.
Relationships with people you meet on the
net may be quite different from those with people who you know physically. As
technology permits more graphics, simpler man machine interfaces, and more
artificial intelligence, we can expect some horrendously tricky relationships.
On the internet, no-one knows you are a dog, or a robot, whether you are 6 or
60, fat or slim, ugly or attractive. A personŐs cyberspace avatar can have any
desired appearance and behaviour, or can mimic the originator's actions in real
time with a different image. Some time after 2010, we will have direct retinal
projection via active contact lenses that are able to produce computer
generated overlays on what we see in the real world. Even if your partner's
physical appearance is not quite up to your hopes, it could be digitally
enhanced or completely replaced with something closer to your dreams. You will
never be quite sure who or what you are interacting with, and we will need
whole new social protocols. Network relationships may be immensely confusing.