Copyright Ian Pearson,
BT Futurologist
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Key social benefits of information
technology
Jan 2004
As the internet becomes widespread and IT
simpler to use, as it will, we will see enormous benefits for our society. The
people who may gain most are the old and the frail, many of whom suffer
terribly from loneliness in todayŐs society, their families living hundreds of
miles away, often with few friends nearby. For some, their only human contact
is the check out assistant in the local supermarket. These are the real
casualties of the current fragmentation people complain of. But in ten years, they will be able to
sit down and have a cup of coffee and a chat across a huge wall hung screen as
if they were in the same room, full life size, full body language. The network
will even help them find friends or Bridge partners by the dozen, based on
personality matching like rather like Dateline today, but without the high
prices. It may not be quite as good as actually being in the same room, but it
must be better than gazing at the TV. Surely reducing loneliness will be one of
the greatest social benefits from the superhighway.
The Internet has spawned a multitude of
local community networks (technically, these networks are independent in
principle of the Internet and can be implemented in many different ways).
Within these communities, mailing lists and discussion groups are particularly
suited to large or informal groups - people can dip in and out as they please,
without being swamped by messages. People can thus become as involved as they
please.
As these local community networks mature,
they will be ideal for local debates and socialisation, and they are the
natural repository of local information of all kinds. Local attractions such as
museums and galleries will be accessible to all via the community network.
Digitisation of cities and their contents is already under way, initiated
almost entirely by private enterprise. People will visit cities via the net,
see their attractions, explore the galleries or visit shops, without ever
setting foot in the physical city. There are no car parking problems on the
net, and no costly travel to keep visitors away. People will shop and order
pizzas on the network, and preview what is on at the theatre before booking
their seats.
Residents may also use community networks
extensively, co-ordinating local activities, debating local issues, perhaps
running committees to arbitrate between competing local interests, and even
running neighbourhood watch video networks.
A likely effect of teleworking will
creation of local telework centres where neighbours can work side by side for
different companies. Certainly, many of us donŐt have enough space for an
office at home. Getting to know our neighbours via work may reinforce the sense
of local community too. Obviously the environment would gain from lower commuting
travel.
If we wanted, we could allow each citizen
to have their preferences on important issues stored in a database, an
electronic shadow, suitably anonymous to everyone else of course. Government
would then know all the time what the electorate want. Referenda could be
instant, and lazy voters could select party defaults for all issues instead of
deciding on each. Lobbying could be made easier too, and we will see internal
as well as global cybernations. We could have absolute instead of
representational democracy, or just treat the databases as a continuous opinion
poll.
Entrepreneurs such as Bill Gates are
already buying up electronic rights to local community assets such as galleries
and museums around the world. There is a strong case for protection since local
communities do not fully realise the potential value of their assets and are
selling them much too cheaply. With entertainment rising in cost rapidly
relative to other parts of life, it is important that the communities gain
proper recompense for their assets, not have then sold at bargain prices by
authorities with no understanding of future network capabilities.
Fortunately, the people starting up these
networks are altruistic, trying their best to benefit their community, and they
deserve nothing but praise. However without protection, it is possible that
some people may later seek to control and use them to further their own political
motives instead of those of the whole community. The community networks which
are starting so idealistically could be reduced to a platform for a parallel
local authority. With all the advantages and benefits IT can confer, they will
control a large part of local information, content and communications, and may
offer a formidable challenge to the elected local authority. It would make
sense for local authorities to be involved from the outset, supporting the aims
of these networks to strengthen the local community, and encourage involvement
of the people in local activity and control. The networks are developing
anyway. Local governments that ignore them may simply find themselves becoming
side-tracked.
As people increasingly work and play with
people in other countries, we may see political power structures become less
geographical, with cybercommunities made of many people who share common ideals,
(e.g. environmentalism, feminism, or even Conservatism) rather than a common
physical location, linked by networks rather than by land. Global cybernations
may wield the weapon of economic sanctions without fear of reprisal since their
membership can be anonymous, but mobilised instantaneously by a single e-mail
from the leadership.
Pure information companies will not
ultimately need a physical base, and may move their operations round the world
continuously, refusing to pay corporation tax to any geographically based
government. Part of their employeesŐ remuneration may be in kind, with free
information, education or entertainment avoiding the tax man.
This could make life much easier when you
move house, file a tax return or claim a benefit, but we must ensure that the
implied cross referencing and consequent ability to centrally monitor all
aspects of our lives is not also a slippery slope towards 1984, with no
privacy, total surveillance and control. We must also protect from access to
too much information by any individuals who may be corrupt. We have been
blessed by benevolent government in the UK, but there can be no guarantee that
this will always be the case. Any future malevolent power would find digital
immortality and ease of access to
extensive information on the history of its subjects useful for
oppression.
Finally, it is clear that many future
benefits still depend on being able to verify individual identity. As
technology makes this routine for banking, shopping and the like, governments
might be unable to resist using advanced identification technology for welfare
claims, health care, employment and travel. Talk of identity cards with all our
information on them misses the point. If a simple iris or fingerprint scan can
identify us, our details can be obtained from a database held anywhere. We may
forget an ID card, but not our eyeballs or fingers.
Electronic cash
When cash is digitised, it loses some of the
restrictions of physical cash. Imagine a child has a cash card. Her parents can
give her pocket money, dinner money, clothing allowance and so on. They can all
be labelled separately, so that she canŐt spend all her dinner money on
chocolate. Electronic shopping can of course provide the information needed to
enable the cash. She may have restrictions about how much of her pocket money
she may spend on various items too. There is no reason why children couldnŐt
implement their own economies too, swapping tokens and IOUs. Of course, in the
adult world this grows up into local exchange trading systems (LETS), where
people exchange tokens too, a glorified babysitting circle. But these LETS
donŐt have to be just local, wider circles could be set up, even globally, to
allow people to exchange services or information with each other.
But one of the best advantages of making
cash digital is the seamlessness of international purchases. Even without
common official currency, the electronic cash systems will become de facto
international standards. This will reduce the currency exchange tax we
currently pay to the banks every time we travel to a different country, which
can add up to as much as 25% for an overnight visit. This is one of the
justifications often cited for European monetary union, but it is happening
anyway in global e-commerce.