'Fight Smart' Update - 2 August 2006
Don't
Take the Bait - Fight Smart
ANIMATED 911 SUMMARY -
CLICK HERE
Who is the enemy?
Peace Cannot Be Achieved By
Redeploying The Methods Of Repeated Failure
Only A Completely Different Approach
Can Cool The Temperature In The Middle East
www.btinternet.com/~nlpwessex/Documents/WATPeaceMiddleEast.htm
The Dark Secrets Of The Failure
Of NATO And UN 'Peace Keeping' In Kosovo
What Has Been Created In Kosovo Is No Model Of
Hope
For Arabs And Israelis In The Middle East
"A 2,000-strong UN mission has been monitoring the Lebanese-Israeli border
since 1978 - but it does not have the power to enforce peace."
UN calls for Lebanon peace force
BBC Online, 17 July 2006
A Lebanese demonstrator vents his fury against the UN building in Beirut, July 2006
"I remember reporting from Cyprus as
its incipient civil war got out of hand and United Nations peacekeepers rushed to the
rescue. Hail to assorted Finns, Canadians and Irish, under an Indian general. Heaven bless
the men in the blue berets. But the trouble, 42 years later, is that they're still there,
that there is still an insecure peace to be kept. The berets come in, but they don't go
away. Lebanon, of course, looks next on the list as Bush and Blair try to get their act
together. International communities need to do something more than talk. But then, as that
disastrous Israeli strike on the UN post showed, they have long since done something. Unifil (the
United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon - manpower 257; annual budget $99.23m; officer
commanding, French) has been toiling away since 1978 on a mission 'to help the Lebanon
government restore its effective authority'. One step forward, five steps back... The
cruel truth is that yet another force and yet another mission, blocking out a 15-mile
strip of southern Lebanon, offers nothing but the most feeble respite. It won't put
Lebanon together again. It won't stop the killing if Hizbollah or the Israeli army want to
resume operations. It will merely cost a lot of money and absorb a lot of international
community firepower to no long-term or even medium-term purpose...... It just disguises
the problem for a while, ploughs more good intentions after bad, sanctifies a de facto
annexation of territory without digging deeper."
We desperately need peacemakers, not peacekeepers
Observer, 30
July 2006
The UN Has Repeatedly Failed In Its Most Basic Mission
"The Purposes of the United Nations are: 1. To maintain international peace and security, and to that end: to take effective collective measures for the prevention and removal of threats to the peace, and for the suppression of acts of aggression or other breaches of the peace, and to bring about by peaceful means, and in conformity with the principles of justice and international law, adjustment or settlement of international disputes or situations which might lead to a breach of the peace..."
Article 1
Charter Of The United Nations
"As I went back through the Pentagon in November 2001, one of the senior military staff officers had time for a chat. Yes, we were still on track for going against Iraq, he said. But there was more. This was being discussed as part of a five-year campaign plan, he said, and there were a total of seven countries, beginning with Iraq, then Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Iran, Somalia and Sudan ... I left the Pentagon that afternoon deeply concerned."
General Wesley Clark
'Winning Modern Wars', p 130NBC's 'Meet The Press' Interview With General Clark About This (16 November 2003) - Click Here
"I told the officer, when [he] started to tell me that, I said, 'Stop, I don't want to get into anything that's classified. Just don't tell me that information.' But I do know this, that in the gossip circles in Washington, among the neo-conservative press, and in some of the statements that Secretary Rumsfeld and Secretary Wolfowitz have made, there is an inclination to extend this into Syria and maybe Lebanon. So you never know where this is headed. The administration's never disavowed this intent."
General Wesley Clark On US Plans To Strike Seven Countries
CNN Interview, 30 November 2003"The former chief of ISI, Maj. Gen (R) Hameed Gul has 'predicted' that America would definitely attack Iran and Syria simultaneously in October. He was talking after attending the Hamdard Majlis Shoora, Tuesday evening."
America will attack Iran, Syria in October: Gul
Pakistan News Service, 2 August 2006In the last few days, I learned from a credible and informed source that a former senior Labour government Minister, who continues to be well-connected to British military and security officials, confirms that Britain and the United States '... will go to war with Iran before the end of the year.' As we now know from similar reporting prior to the invasion of Iraq, it's quite possible that the war planning may indeed change repeatedly, and the war may again be postponed. In any case, it's worth noting that the information from a former Labour Minister corroborates expert analyses suggesting that Israel, with US and British support, is deliberately escalating the cycle of retaliation to legitimize the imminent targeting of Iran before year's end.
UK Govt Sources Confirm War With Iran Is On
OpEdNews, 23 July 2006
| "Since
wars begin in the minds of men, it is in the minds of men that the defences of peace must
be constructed." From the Constitution of UNESCO |
![]() |
| Tower Of Impotence The United Nations Building In New York Whilst the Constitution of UNESCO demonstrates an understanding within the UN of the basic cause of war, the actual track record of the UN demonstrates a near total inability to do anything about it before enormous suffering and loss of human life occur. So why does the international community continue to ignore the one approach that has a scientifically documented track record of success in international conflict resolution under the most arduous of conditions? |
Tried And Tested Experimentally
But Never Deployed By The International Community
Why?
The Only Proven Way To Lower The Temperature In The Middle East |
![]() |
Figure 2. Estimated
mean daily level of a composite Peace/War Index for the Lebanon War for
each of the |
"I think the claim can be plausibly made that the potential impact of this research exceeds that of any other on-going social or psychological research programme. The research has survived a broader array of statistical tests than most research in the field of conflict resolution; I think this work and the theory that informs it deserve the most serious consideration by academics and policy makers alike."
David Edwards, Ph.D, Professor of Government
University of Texas, Austin, USAUntil The 'Temperature' In The Middle East Is Permanently Cooled Through Proven Methods
Those Who Seek War Will Continue To Succeed In Exploiting The Political Tension In The Region
The UN Has Repeatedly Failed In Its Mission Despite Its Decades Long Presence In The Middle East
A Track Record Of Failure Spanning Decades Into The Past Is Not A Recipe For Creating Lasting Peace Into The Future
If It Is Really Serious About Peace Then It Is Time For The International Community
To Begin Thinking And Acting 'Outside The Box'
"Reuven Zelinkovsky was a colonel in
the Israeli army, but now he has renounced military might to join a squadron of yogic
flyers at the Sea of Galilee to throw a 'shield of invincibility' around the Jewish state.
As Hezbollah rockets fired from nearby Lebanon boomed in the background, he explained that
the solution to the latest conflict to engulf the Middle East was 'not to kill the enemy but to kill enmity.'... Here in Israel, according to a formula
that says the square root of one percent of a country's population is the number needed to
tap into a collective consciousness robust enough to create a 'shield of invincibility,' 265 people are needed [Note: the UNIFIL force in Lebanon numbers 257 with an annual budget $99.23m. It has proved completely ineffective due
to its rigid adherence to conventional 'peace keeping' methods since 1978]. But Zelinkovsky's squadron, which includes architects, health workers
and pensioners, many of whom are also teachers of TM, now numbers only about 20 after
falling from a peak of 65 last week.... 'I went to my commander and presented this
solution. It was like talking to the wall so I left. In my mind I continue to be an army
man. But now I use a new technology to serve the nation.'
Alex Kutai, the leader of the yogic flying movement in Israel who titles himself the Prime
Minister of the Peace Government of
Israel, was leading the squadron at the lakeside Nof Ginnosar Hotel from where all other
guests have fled for fear of being hit by rockets.... He has called on the elected Israeli
government to recruit the required number of yogic flyers instead of wasting millions of
dollars on military equipment. As Zelinkovsky put it, 'if you take the cost of the just
the tail of an F-16 fighter jet you could have peace in the Middle East for a year. We can
do what no army can do.' Across the border in Lebanon, another yogic flying group is
believed to be at work but the group here in the Galilee is not currently in contact with
them, said Zelinkovsky..."
Yogic flyers build 'shield of invincibility' around Israel
Agence
France Presse, 26 July 2006
"My point is that this war can't be
won in a conventional way."
British Prime Minister
World Affairs Council, Los
Angeles, 1 August 2006
In This Bulletin |
| Thinking
Outside The Box How To Win The 'War On Terror' What Is Needed Now To Cool The Temperature In The Middle East |
| The
Alternative Is More Death And Destruction With Bush And Blair's Failed 'War On Terror' |
| Uniting
The Islamic Militants How Israel Is Being Used As A Pawn In A Misguided US Strategy That Is Doomed To Failure |
| In
The Current Middle East Crisis The Powerlessness Of The UN Is Being Exposed From All Sides |
| 'We
Desperately Need Peacemakers, Not Peacekeepers' Cyprus, Kashmir, Africa, Caucasus, Middle East What Is The UN's Track Record In Creating Peace? |
| The Scandal No One Wants To Talk About The Impotence Of NATO And UN 'Peace Keeping' In Kosovo The Dark Secrets Of Their Failed Mission |
| A
Different Story In Mozambique Demonstrating The Importance Of First Creating The Right Ground Conditions So The UN Can Be Effective And The Importance Of Maintaining The Necessary Programmes To Sustain Peace |
"My point is that this war can't be
won in a conventional way."
British Prime Minister
World Affairs Council, Los
Angeles, 1 August 2006
"There are Katyusha rockets falling in
villages and towns all around them, but for the 'squadron' of 30 Israeli Yogic Flyers
assembled at a hotel on Lake Kinneret all is quiet. That's because they have managed to
create a shield of invincibility around their gathering place. Now they are calling for
another 235 Flyers to come and join them to create a shield that would, they say, cover
all of Israel. In an interview from the Nof Ginnosar Hotel near Tiberias on Saturday, the
Prime Minister of the Peace Government of
Israel and Yogic Flyer Alex Kutai called on the elected Israeli government to recruit a
group of 265
Yogic Flyers who, through an advanced technique of Transcendental Meditation (TM), he
asserted, would create a shield of invincibility around Israel and bring about an
immediate cessation of violence with the Hizbullah.... Kutai said that according to his
calculations, 500 Yoga Flyers would be needed to bring peace to the Middle East, but that
the Flyers would have to be spread throughout the region. Kutai said that the elected
government of Israel should establish a group of 265 Yogic Flyers and maintain them so
that peace could be ensured on a permanent basis. 'We have the best army but it cannot
prevent the missiles. The government should create this group now. It is much cheaper than
bombs. It is cheaper than even one wing of a fighter bomber,' Kutai said. Kutai's group
are the only guests at the Nof Ginnosar Hotel at this point in time, as Hizbullah rockets
have badly dented the entire tourism industry around Lake Kinneret. 'We put up a shield
around the 30 of us. There is nobody else here. If there were more people our shield would
extend even further outward, we could protect more people'..."
Forget F-16s, Israel needs Yogic Flyers to beat Hizbullah
Jerusalem
Post, 23 July 2006
"The violence continued, even escalated, in surrounding Muslim and Christian
villages, but no bombs fell again on Dr. Naders village [in Lebanon]....
I heard John Davies tell this story at a conference last fall. But as heartening as the
story is and as startling the implications, its only one of many in Davies
repertoire of heartening and startling stories... Davies and his colleagues have been
thinking biggermuch bigger.... Dr. Davies is an internationally recognized expert in
conflict management at the University of Maryland, and his concerns are large-scale
violent conflicts, wars, and the collective consciousness.... He recently spoke at the
Sacred Link 'Freedom from Fear' conference at the Himalayan Institute, where I had
the opportunity to question him further about his work." One Percent for
Peace "Film director David Lynch
wants to raise $7bn (£3.98bn) to introduce meditation into US schools in a bid to bring
about world peace. Twin Peaks director Lynch said he saw stress-relieving benefits of
meditation in schools in Iowa and South Africa... 'This is a way to bring
real peace to earth,' said Lynch, whose films include Mulholland Drive and Wild at Heart.
'I would like to find some very wealthy individuals who saw the truth of this and said
'I want to do something for the world which is meaningful.' Real peace isn't just
the absence of war. It is the absence of negativity.... you meet students who get this
opportunity and they shine like you cannot believe.' "
![]() "The Most Inspiring True Story Of Our Time" Read About What David Lynch Found In South Africa Click Here South African Press
Report On Lynch Proposal |
|
Click Here For More Information On Research On This Approach |
What Israel And Its Neighbours Need To Do Now To Restore Calm
"'We have an important message for the people of the Middle
East,' said Dr. John Hagelin, a quantum physicist and
author, and recipient of the prestigious Kilby Award for scientific research.... 'This practical approach, known as Invincible Defense Technology, applies
cutting-edge discoveries in quantum mechanics, neuroscience, and human consciousness to
diffuse stress, effectively disarming aggressors,' he said. 'It targets the root cause of violence acute stress resulting from religious
and ethnic tensions. Just as anger can spread through a
population, so can calm. Humanity is connected at the deepest level of human interaction an abstract,
quiet communication so that collective consciousness can be influenced in a tangible and
measurable way. There is a proven correlation between meditation and reduced social
stress,' he claimed, pointing to 19
published research studies."
Transcendental Meditation: The solution to terrorism?
Jerusalem Post, 1 July 2002
More Israeli Media Coverage On This Approach
Jerusalem Post, 16 February 2006
HOT - Israel National Radio Interview with Dr. David Leffler, 28 December 2005 - HOT
Jerusalem Post, 16 August 2002
Tikkun Magazine, May/June 2000
Click HereWhat Is 'Invincible Defense' Technology? - Click Here
'Invincible Defense' Strategy Welcomed on Capitol Hill - Click Here
The Only Proven Way To Lower The Temperature In The Middle East
Figure 2. Estimated mean daily level of a composite Peace/War Index for the Lebanon War for each of the
seven experimental periods between June 1983 and August 1985. Time series intervention analysis indicates significant
progress towards peace during each experimental period, and for all seven combined (p < 10-19)
(Journal of Social Behavior and Personality
17(1): 285338, 2005)
"The foundation of the film director David Lynch and the US Peace Government organization are planning to open a Peace University in Moscow.... The US Peace Government was established on July 4, 2003 to bring prevention-oriented, problem-free administration to the U.S. Its mission is to prevent social violence, terrorism and war, and to promote peace and harmony throughout the world, its website says. 'Moscow is a very interesting, open city but it is prone to negative tendencies,' Lynch was quoted by the agency as saying. 'A Peace University is necessary for it. It is important to try all means in the fight against crimes, terrorism or wars. We propose to do it with the help of group meditation.' Lynch said he will be among the professors to give lectures in the university..."
Film Director Lynch, US Peace Government to Establish University in Moscow
The Moscow News, 24 November 2004
NO SOLUTION IN SIGHT? |
||||||||||
"I think the claim can be plausibly made that the potential impact of this
research exceeds that of any other on-going social or psychological research programme. The research has survived a broader array of statistical tests than most research in the field of conflict resolution; I think
this work and the theory that informs it deserve the most serious consideration by
academics and policy makers alike." |
||||||||||
'DefenceTalk' Web Site Examines The
Approach To Peace, Security And Freedom Advocated By 'The US Peace Government'
"These studies have been scrutinized and published in respected peer-reviewed
journals such as Social Indicators Research, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Journal
of Mind and Behavior and Journal of Crime and Justice. This coherence-creating effect has
also been documented on a global scale in a study published in the Journal of Offender
Rehabilitation. ... during [large experimental testing in] the years 1983-1985,
international conflict decreased 33%, terrorist casualties decreased 72% and violence was
reduced in other nations without intrusion by other governments.... Invincible Defense
Technology is the only scientifically validated means to prevent terrorism. There are no
peer-reviewed studies that that show that strategies and tactics such as military bombing
prevent terrorism."
Security & Political Risk Analysis (SAPRA)
"In the studies that I have examined on [this approach], I can find no
methodological flaws, and the findings have been consistent across a large number of
replications. As unlikely as the premise may sound, I think we have to take these studies
seriously. |
I would like to inform you that the
Ministry for the Defense of Mozambique has a new direction now and that the formation of
the new Armed Forces achieved its goal. In a few days we hope to take again the formation
of the unit of prevention in the army of Mozambique and to enjoy again the benefits of the
Maharishi Effect
which it brings....This phenomenon was called by the scientists the Maharishi Effect,
in honor of Maharishi who had predicted it since 1957. Since then, more than 40 scientific
research were completed and confirmed the Maharishi Effect...
Scientific research carried out on the Maharishi Effect was published in the following
international scientific reviews: The Journal of
Conflict Resolution, The Journal of Crime and Justice, The Journal of Mind
and Behavior and Social Indicators Research....Data
presented by the Ministry of Defense of Mozambique at the time of an international
congress on Defense at the Maharishi Vedic University, Holland, on November 14, 1994
[stated] 'In 1993, it was possible to confirm the existence of the Maharishi Effect
in Mozambique.....From February 1993, when more than 15,000 people in the country
[participated in this programme], the predicted results appeared. On another hand, because
of the demobilization of the troops in 1994, [which caused the number of programme
participants to fall], consequently, the predicted positive effects decreased and in
several cases ceased.'.... Sometimes it takes a long time before great discoveries are
accepted and put into practice. Despite everything, these examples drawn from human
history must be a lesson so that one avoids making the same errors. Let us remember that
it is those who think deeper than their contemporaries who make history."
Lt-Gl Tobias Dai, Minister Of Defence Mozambique
Speech
In Maputo, 26 December 1994 (based on Google Translation from French)
"Reuven Zelinkovsky was a colonel in
the Israeli army, but now he has renounced military might to join a squadron of yogic
flyers at the Sea of Galilee to throw a 'shield of invincibility' around the Jewish state.
As Hezbollah rockets fired from nearby Lebanon boomed in the background, he explained that
the solution to the latest conflict to engulf the Middle East was 'not to kill the enemy but to kill enmity.'... Here in Israel, according to
a formula that says the square root of one percent of a country's population is the number
needed to tap into a collective consciousness robust enough to create a 'shield of
invincibility,' 265 people are needed [Note: the
UNIFIL force in Lebanon numbers 257 with an annual budget
$99.23m. It has proved completely ineffective due to its rigid adherence to conventional
'peace keeping' methods since 1978]. But Zelinkovsky's
squadron, which includes architects, health workers and pensioners, many of whom are also
teachers of TM, now numbers only about 20 after falling from a peak of 65 last week.... 'I
went to my commander and presented this solution. It was like talking to the wall so I
left. In my mind I continue to be an army man. But now I use
a new technology to serve the nation.' Alex Kutai, the leader of the yogic flying
movement in Israel who titles himself the Prime Minister of the Peace Government of Israel, was leading the
squadron at the lakeside Nof Ginnosar Hotel from where all other guests have fled for fear
of being hit by rockets.... He has called on the elected Israeli government to recruit the
required number of yogic flyers instead of wasting millions of dollars on military
equipment. As Zelinkovsky put it, 'if you take the cost of the just the tail of an F-16
fighter jet you could have peace in the Middle East for a year. We can do what no army can
do.' Across the border in Lebanon, another yogic flying group is believed to be at work
but the group here in the Galilee is not currently in contact with them, said
Zelinkovsky..."
Yogic flyers build 'shield of invincibility' around Israel
Agence
France Presse, 26 July 2006
The
Alternative Is More Death And Destruction
With Bush And Blair's Failed 'War On Terror'
".... why has the War on Terror been
such a failure?"
Ice-cool under terror attack
London Times, 13 July
2006
"The [British] Prime Minister has lost
his grip on world events. The most disturbing aspect
of the international crisis is that the global initiative has largely passed to the
terrorists. There are now four wars in the Middle
East. In Iraq, the Sunni insurgents and militant Shia frustrated the reconstruction of the
country. In Afghanistan, the Taleban can choose when and where to attack British
forces.... The terrorists threaten world peace and the global economy, which is fuelled by
Middle Eastern oil... The backdrop is the crisis of the Middle East war, but the front of
the stage is crowded with characters, such as John Prescott, the two retired Home
Secretaries, David Blunkett and Charles Clarke, Lord Levy and others. There is a justified
sense of world crisis and an equally justified anxiety that the Government is falling
apart."
It's now or never, Gordon
London Times, 17 July
2006
"Washington is failing to make
progress in the global war on terror and the next 9/11-style attack is not a question of
if, but when. That is the scathing conclusion of a
survey of 100 leading American foreign-policy analysts. In its first 'Terrorism Index,' released yesterday, the influential
journal Foreign Affairs found surprising consensus among the bipartisan experts. Some 86
per cent of them said the world has grown more, not less, dangerous, despite President
George W. Bush's claims that the U.S. is winning the war on terror. The main reasons for
the decline in security, they said, were the war in Iraq, the detention of terror suspects
in Guantanamo Bay, U.S. policy towards Iran and U.S. energy policy. The survey's
participants included an ex-secretary of state and former heads of the Central
Intelligence Agency and National Security Agency, along with prominent members of the U.S.
foreign-policy establishment. The majority served in previous administrations or in senior
military ranks.... In
the survey's accompanying report, Leslie Gelb, president emeritus of the Council on
Foreign Relations, said policy analysts have never been in such agreement. 'The reason is that it's clear to nearly
all that Bush and his team have had a totally unrealistic view of what they can accomplish
with military force and threats of force.' Some 82 per cent of participants said a
pressing priority for the U.S. is to end its dependence on foreign oil..... "
War on Terror Called Failure
Toronto Star, 15 June 2006
"Tony
Blair's Middle East policy was in tatters last night after British targets were attacked
in the Palestinian territories and London was accused of triggering one of the worst
crises in the region for months. In spite of years of
intense diplomacy and tens of millions of pounds in aid to the Palestinians,
Britains standing hit its lowest point since Mr Blair came to power nine years ago. British Council offices in Gaza City and the West Bank town of Ramallah
were set alight by angry mobs, while the Foreign and Commonwealth Office warned all
British citizens to leave the area.... Last year Britain spent
£60 million in support of the Palestinian Authority
and projects in the Palestinian territories. But there is little to show for the effort
and Gaza remains isolated, poor and unstable. 'Tony Blair has had a history of promising
the Earth and delivering zero to the Palestinians,' said Chris Doyle, the director of the
Council for the Advancement of Arab-British Understanding."
Britain's diplomacy counts for little now
London Times, 15
March 2006
"The ferocity of Israel's onslaught in
southern Lebanon and Hizbullah's stubborn battles against Israeli ground forces may be
working in the militant group's favor..... The stakes are high for Hizbullah, but it seems
it can count on an unprecedented swell of public support that cuts across sectarian
lines.According to a poll released by the Beirut Center for Research and Information, 87
percent of Lebanese support Hizbullah's fight with Israel, a
rise of 29 percent on a similar poll conducted in February. More striking, however, is the level of support for Hizbullah's
resistance from non-Shiite communities. Eighty percent of Christians polled supported
Hizbullah along with 80 percent of Druze and 89 percent of Sunnis. Lebanese no longer
blame Hizbullah for sparking the war by kidnapping the Israeli soldiers, but Israel and
the US instead."
Israeli strikes may boost Hizbullah base
Christian Science Monitor,
28 July 2006
"....as a new
generation of our leaders, and fools, gathers in Rome to chart out on what terms another
outside force can be sent to intervene in the Lebanon, its worth remembering
Qassirs contribution to the history of the Middle East, indeed the history of the
world. But it is not Qassir Ahmeds life but the manner of his death that is so
notable. Qassir was the worlds first suicide car bomber. On a wet November morning
in 1982 Qassir drove a car, packed with 500kg of explosives, into the Israeli military
headquarters in Tyre. He brought the building down, killing 76 Israeli troops.... In 1983
Hezbollah followed up Qassirs work with the the most powerful acts of terrorism
before 9/11 the April 1983 bombing of the US Embassy in Beirut and the October 1983
bombing of the US Marines barracks.... A few months later the US President, Ronald Reagan,
pulled the Marines out from their supposed peace-keeping mission in the Lebanon. The
withdrawal was an ignominious end to another flawed peace keeping mission where the US
superpower, aided by its European allies, naively believed it could assert its will in the
Lebanon and suffer no consequences. In Rome today we hear similar misguided rhetoric....
this coming story of folly, hubris and blindness will end the same way with another Ahmed,
a car packed with explosives, a blown-up barracks and a pile of dead foreign troops."
When in Rome, don't forget the bombs of 1983
London Times, 27 July
2006
"At the onset of the Lebanese crisis,
Arab governments, starting with Saudi Arabia, slammed Hezbollah for recklessly provoking a
war, providing what the United States and Israel took as a wink and a nod to continue the
fight. Now, with hundreds of Lebanese dead and Hezbollah holding out against the
vaunted Israeli military for 15 days, the tide of public opinion across the Arab world is
surging behind the organization, transforming the Shiite group's leader, Sheik Hassan
Nasrallah, into a folk hero and forcing a change in official statements. The Saudi royal
family and King Abdullah II of Jordan, who were initially more worried about the rising
power of Shiite Iran, Hezbollah's main sponsor, are scrambling to distance themselves from
Washington.An outpouring of newspaper columns, cartoons, blogs and public poetry readings
have showered praise on Hezbollah while attacking the United States and Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice for trumpeting.... The Saudi royal court has issued a dire warning that
its 2002 peace plan - offering Israel full recognition by all Arab states in exchange for
returning to the borders that predated the 1967 Arab-Israeli war - could well perish....
There are evident concerns among Arab governments that a victory for Hezbollah - and it
has already achieved something of a victory by holding out this long - would further
nourish the Islamist tide engulfing the region and challenge their authority. Hence their first priority is to cool simmering public opinion."
Tide of Arab Opinion Turns to Support for Hezbollah
New York Times, 28 July 2006
Making America More Vulnerable To Terrorist Attack
Washington's Support For Disproportionate Military Action In Lebanon
"..... Robert
Baer, a former CIA covert officer who tracked Hizballah, says that by the late 1990s, the
CIA was watching the group to see if it might resume violence against the U.S., but it
never did.... encouraging
Israel's continued onslaught puts the U.S. in the position of being blamed for mounting
Lebanese civilian deaths.....The President would be
better off leveling with the American people. The
U.S. has interests in the Middle East...."
Why the Middle East Crisis Isn't Really About Terrorism
TIME, 31 July
2006
And What Are Those Interests?
"
Robert Baer, a former CIA spy who presents a television documentary on the history of suicide bombing, says he knew the practice would come to the UK. And its not the Wests values, but its foreign policies, that are to blame..... As someone who prefers his terrorism confined to Sunday nights and episodes of 24, I had been clinging to the hope that Londons recent Thursdays were an aberration. My optimism is severely dimmed by meeting Robert Baer, a former CIA spy who has returned to his old beat in the Middle East to make a grimly fascinating two-part history of suicide bombing for Channel 4. What he delivers is not good news. It provides, however, an unusually clear view of the landscape...He does not disown the words he uses at the end of this Thursdays documentary, that suicide bombing, 'like a pathological virus', has become unstoppable. He does add, perhaps for my sake, the proviso 'until you take the causes away', but by this stage even I can see they are not going to be..... 'The other one thing is, they hate us, which is just total bullshit.' [he says] Is it? 'Yes,' he says, 'it is.' In a school run by Hezbollah, he asked a class dominated by the daughters of [suicide bomber] 'martyrs' if they watched US television. 'Everybody raised their hand. And what did they watch? Oprah. I said, How can you watch this crap? And they said, No, shes great. We love Oprah...... 'So, it wasnt our values. It wasnt Western values. Its Western presence. They want us to get out.'..... There is, however, a three-letter reason why the US will not impose a peace plan on Israel and leave the region. Baer, the author of Sleeping With The Devil: How Washington Sold Our Soul for Saudi Crude, well knows what it is. 'I dont think any American politician, however at fault we are in Iraq or anywhere else, can say, All right, let the crazies have the oil fields, because oil at $200 a barrel would put us into a depression.' So because the American economy is at stake, we cant get out even to save our skins? 'That, I believe, is your classic paradox.'"Blair Knows The Whole War
On Terror Is Proving A Complete Disaster
Which Cannot Be Won Through A Conventional Approach
"My point is that this war can't be
won in a conventional way."
British Prime Minister
World Affairs Council, Los
Angeles, 1 August 2006
But Despite Endeavouring To Project An Image Of Boldness
And Radicalism
Blair Has A Long History Of Following 'Received Wisdom' Of A Type Popular Within
Britain's Tory Party
Both Blair And His Tory Predecessors Have Persistently Rejected The Only
Evidence-Based Approach
Which Has A Proven Track Record Of Neutralising The Dangers That His Failed 'War On
Terror' Is Supposed To Address
So Is Blair Really Ready To Be Unconventional In His Approach?
If Not His Principal Political Legacy Will Be The Growing Global Mayhem
That The Primitive Violence-Based Approach Of The Current British And American
Governments Has Succeeded In Fuelling
"In the studies that I have examined on [this unconventional approach], I can find no methodological flaws, and the findings have been consistent across a large number of replications. As unlikely as the premise may sound, I think we have to take these studies seriously.
Ted Robert Gurr, PhD, Emeritus Professor of Government and Politics,
University of Maryland, USA
The Only Proven Way To Lower The Temperature In The Middle East |
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Figure 2. Estimated
mean daily level of a composite Peace/War Index for the Lebanon War for
each of the |
"I think the claim can be plausibly made that the potential impact of this research exceeds that of any other on-going social or psychological research programme. The research has survived a broader array of statistical tests than most research in the field of conflict resolution; I think this work and the theory that informs it deserve the most serious consideration by academics and policy makers alike."
David Edwards, Ph.D, Professor of Government
University of Texas, Austin, USA
In The Current Middle East
Crisis
The Powerlessness Of The UN Is Being Exposed From All Sides
"The day after Israeli jets bombed a
UN outpost in Lebanon, killing four UN observers from Canada, China, Austria and Finland,
a 'diplomatic firestorm' has erupted over the incident."
UN deaths prompt 'diplomatic firestorm'
Christian Science Monitor,
26 July 2006
"Brandishing Hezbollah flags and
portraits of its leader, Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah, thousands of enraged protesters smashed
their way into the United Nations building in Beirut yesterday, where they ransacked
offices and started fires.... Last night Kofi Annan, the UN Secretary-General, thanked
Lebanons forces for rescuing his staff and handing the headquarters back to his
shaken envoys. All those who had witnessed the mayhem realised that Hezbollah alone had
prevented further destruction. Fouad Siniora, Lebanons Prime Minister, saluted the
outlawed Hezbollah organisation last night for 'its sacrifices' as he summoned
international diplomats to explain why he had told Condoleezza Rice, the US Secretary of
State, that there was no point in her travelling to Beirut yesterday unless it was to
agree an immediate and unconditional surrender, as demanded by his country. Mr Siniora
accused Israel of war crimes and almost broke down as he told the diplomatic corps that
one of the Qana victims was a one-day-old baby. Amin Khoudouri, a 23-year-old US educated
computer analyst, expressed the view of many when he shouted during a demonstration: 'I
was never Hezbollah before, but now I swear I will join them.'
Hezbollah shows its authority as mob raids UN
London Times, 31
July 2006
"Take the Israeli killing of four UN
soldiers last week, condemned by Kofi Annan as 'deliberate'. On July 18 one of the doomed
officers e-mailed home to say that Israeli ordnance was landing nearby and that, 'this has
not been deliberate targeting, but has rather been due to tactical necessity'. A retired
Canadian general interpreted this for Canadian television. 'What he was telling us was
Hezbollah soldiers were all over his position and the IDF were targeting them. And
thats a favourite trick by people who dont have representation in the UN. They
use the UN as shields, knowing that they cant be punished for it.'... Getting in
among the UN positions and the civilians, firing at 'settlers' while seeing the other side
condemned for its inhumanity, is part of the new asymmetry. And while Hezbollah might
bring out the Lebanese flags for the press in Beirut, in their southern fastnesses the
only banners are theirs. And what do we say, knowing this? That Bad Blair should lean on
Worse Bush who should put the squeeze on Murdering Olmert and itd all be over.
Thats the new orthodoxy. God alone knows, the Israelis have, in their history,
committed crimes and terrible errors. Sabra and Chatilla, the refusal to recognise for
many years that Palestinians actually existed, the brutalities of the occupation, the
settling on the West Bank and in Gaza and so on. The Palestinian organisations have their
own track record of deceit and murder. Consequently, each slow step towards a peace has
been agonising, and now the new asymmetry makes
progress almost impossible. As of today, I have no
answer."
We can't bear pictures of the dead. Hezbollah want to see nothing else -
London Times, 1 August
2006
"Ehud Olmerts declaration that
there would be no immediate ceasefire needs no explaining in terms of Israeli public
opinion. His earlier commitment to a 48-hour pause in the bombing to allow Lebanese
civilians to escape lasted just hours in the face of uproar at home. But it will bring
Israel even more isolation abroad than it has yet faced, coming only a day after the
deaths of 37 children in an Israeli airstrike....Israels
move makes a nonsense of the main plan on which Blair, in particular, had based his
position: a UN peace-keeping force in southern Lebanon. Blair had spent the hours before Olmerts comments in telephone
diplomacy, trying to ensure that Turkey and other key countries would take part in that
force. Britain had hoped that France would emerge as leader of that force, while Sweden
and Norway said that they would consider taking part, and Egypt might have played a role,
possibly patrolling the Syrian border to prevent Hezbollah rearming. Blair, and many other
leaders, were in danger of resting too many hopes on that force, which remained fanciful
while key questions remained unanswered. Who would supply the troops, given that the US
and Britain would not? And would it have a mandate to take on Hezbollah, risking violent
counter-attack, like the 1983 barracks bombing that led to the exit of one international
force? Or would it risk impotence and derision, of the kind suffered by the current Unifil
force, because of a mandate to keep the peace and not pick a fight? To judge from
preparations for a European Union meeting, which had been due today, that seemed the more
likely option. The most threatening unanswered question was whether the force could move
in if Hezbollah rejected its presence. Surely not, many thought."
Will Israel's gamble put Blair in the firing line?
London Times, 1
August 2006
"If Israel can't bring Hizballah down,
could foreign forces help squeeze it into better behavior? Potential donors to a multinational force will
be trying to hash out a plan this week. But its composition, mission and rules of
engagement are acutely tricky. Rice declared that no U.S. troops would join; they're
already overstretched in Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere. French President Jacques Chirac
said he might be willing to commit French forces, but not through NATO. Soldiers from
Muslim countries like Turkey and Egypt would be a plus, but so far none have materialized.
The harder question is what the force would do after deployment.... If no outside force
can pacify Hizballah, what's the chance it will choose to restrain itself?"
Why Hizballah Can't Be Disarmed
TIME, 31 July
2006
One Penny Drops
But Fundamental Downing St Delusions Still Persist
"Five years into the War on Terror,
Tony Blair called yesterday for a 'complete renaissance of our strategy' to defeat
militant Islam.... The West had to address issues such as poverty, climate change, trade,
but above all to 'bend every sinew of our will to making peace between Palestine and
Israel'. Unless that happened 'we will not win, and it is a battle we must win.... We need
. . . to put a viable Palestinian government on its feet, to offer a vision of how the
roadmap to final-status negotiation can happen and then pursue it week in, week out until
its done. Nothing else is more important to the success of our foreign
policy.'"
We must rethink the War on Terror - Blair
London Times, 2 August
2006
If That's What Blair Really Thinks Then He Is Heading For
Even More Failure
Islamic War Against Israel
Or Islamic War Against America?
"Many in the West see the mini-war
between Israel and Hezbollah, now in its fourth week, as another episode in a tedious saga
of an Arab-Jewish conflict that began with the creation of the state of Israel in 1948, a
political version of the 'original sin'. The
conventional wisdom in the West is that the whole tale would end if Israel were to return
the occupied territories to the Palestinians, allowing them to create a state of their
own. But that analysis does not reflect the Middle Easts new realities.....The broader aspects of the Lebanon crisis are better understood in
the Middle East than in the West. For the first time, Israel is under attack from Islamist
and Arab secular radicals as 'an American proxy'. Writing
in Asharq Alawsat, a pan-Arab daily, a Syrian Cabinet minister, makes it clear that
the war in Lebanon today is between 'the forces of Islam and America, with Israel acting
as an American proxy'. Irans 'supreme guide',
Ali Khamenei, expressed a similar view this week during an audience he granted in Tehran
to Hugo Chavez, the Venezuelan President. 'What we see in Lebanon today represents the
revolt of Muslim nations against America,' he said. 'Hezbollah is backed (by Iran and
others) because it is fighting America.' President Chávez endorsed that analysis by
calling on Muslims and non-Muslim revolutionaries to unite to 'save the human race by
finishing the US Empire'. Irans state-controlled media has said that Lebanon would
become 'the graveyard of the Bush plan for a new Middle East'.... All that is good news
for President Ahmadinejad, who claims that Sunni radicalism has reached the limits of its
capabilities in the fight against the global system led by the US and that it is now the
turn of the Shia, led by Iran, to be in the driving seat. 'Hezbollah has fought Israel
longer than all the major Arab armies combined ever did,' President Ahmadinejad told a
crowd in Tehran this week. He also promised that Muslims would soon hear 'very good news'
about the jihad against the United States. The idea of Shia leadership for the jihad was
further boosted this year when Iran took Hamas under its wings. As a branch of the global
Muslim Brotherhood movement, a Sunni outfit, Hamas has exerted its influence to win wider
support for Iranian leadership at least as a tactical choice. Many
in the Middle East are alarmed by these shifts of power and dread the prospect of the
region entering a new dark age under radical Islamist regimes."
This is just the start of a showdown between the West and The Rest
London Times, 2 August
2006
"... to say that Israel overshadows U.S. foreign policy is incorrect.
Because I think that Israel is an instrument of U.S. foreign policy. And it is being used in this particular context in the pursuit of U.S. hegemony.... I dont share the viewpoint that somehow Israel is now hijacking U.S. foreign policy and manipulating it. That position is simply incorrect.""Although Downing Street publicly
insists that Bush and Blair remain 'closely in touch' on the Iranian threat, some British
officials are privately concerned that Dick Cheney, the hardline American vice-president, is driving the
administrations policy on Iran.... One well known US weapons specialist last week
described the Iranian nuclear issue as 'the Cuban missile crisis in slow motion'....
[there are] reports in Israel that Washington
is secretly encouraging Tel Aviv to strike....
an Israeli attack would demolish the Middle Eastern peace process and provide Arab
terrorist groups with a potentially lethal recruiting tool.... what
British officials believe is a persuasive argument against a military attack: far from
encouraging Iranian reformers to rise up against their theocratic government, any form of
US intervention might unite the country behind Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the countrys
supreme leader."
Blairs loyalty tested as Bush menaces Iran
Sunday
Times, 23 January 2005
".... And the vice president today in a kind of a strange parallel statement to this declaration of freedom hinted that the Israelis may do it [attack Iran] and
in fact used language which sounds like a justification or even an encouragement for the Israelis to do it. And I happen to think that this would be very destabilizing in the region. We would be viewed as complicit. It would intensify the problems that we are already facing in manifold fashion...."In the last few days, I learned from
a credible and informed source that a former senior Labour government Minister, who
continues to be well-connected to British military and security officials, confirms that
Britain and the United States '... will go to war with Iran before the end of the year.' As we now know from similar reporting prior
to the invasion of Iraq, it's quite possible that the war planning may indeed change
repeatedly, and the war may again be postponed. In any case, it's worth noting that the
information from a former Labour Minister corroborates expert analyses suggesting that Israel, with US and British support, is deliberately escalating the cycle of retaliation to legitimize the
imminent targeting of Iran before year's end.
UK Govt Sources Confirm War With Iran Is On
OpEdNews,
23 July 2006
So What Is The Bush
Administration Really Up To? NBC's 'Meet The Press' Interview With General Clark About This (16 November 2003) - Click Here "I told the officer, when [he]
started to tell me that, I said, 'Stop, I don't want to get into anything that's
classified. Just don't tell me that information.' But I do know this, that in the gossip
circles in Washington, among the neo-conservative press, and in some of the statements
that Secretary Rumsfeld and Secretary Wolfowitz have made, there is an inclination to
extend this into Syria and maybe Lebanon. So you never know where this is headed. The administration's never
disavowed this intent." |
Economic Desperation
Why America Wants The Middle East
".... Such action could itself trigger
responses from other major powers with fundamental interests in maintaining their own
access to regional energy supplies, such as Russia and particularly China, which has huge
interests in Iran. Simultaneously, the dollar-economy would be seriously undermined, most
likely facing imminent collapse in the context of such crises. Which raises pertinent
questions about why Britain, the US and Israel are contemplating such a scenario as a
viable way of securing their interests. A glimpse of an answer lies in the fact that the
post-9/11 military geostrategy of the War on Terror does not spring from a
position of power, but rather from entirely the opposite. The global system has been
crumbling under the weight of its own unsustainability for many years now, and we are fast
approaching the convergence of multiple crises that are already interacting fatally as I
write. The peak of world oil production, of which the Bush
administration is well aware, either has already just happened, or is very close to
happening. It is a pivotal event that signals the end
of the Oil Age, for all intents and purposes, with
escalating demand placing increasing pressure on dwindling supplies. Half the world's oil
reserves are, more or less, depleted, which means that it will be technologically,
geophysically, increasingly difficult to extract conventional oil.
UK Govt Sources Confirm War With Iran Is On
OpEdNews,
23 July 2006
"Middle Eastern oil was as essential, in 1956 as now, to the economy and security of the United States, Europe and world trade....The world community had an essential interest in the free flow of oil through the [Suez] canal. That could have been secured only by joint Anglo-American action. Eisenhower decided against such action; Dulless conduct convinced Eden that he personally was hostile and untrustworthy. The Suez Crisis was indeed the end of the [British] Empire, but it was a blunder of American policy, for which the United States is still paying a very high price."
Lord William Rees-Mogg
Suez: why I blame it on Ike
London Times, 24 July 2006
Bypassing Suez
Why America Wants Control Of Iraq, Iran, Syria, And Lebanon
Transporting Gulf Oil Directly By Pipeline To The Mediterranean
"At the beginning of the 20th Century King Edward VII ruled over a vast empire with interests in every part of the world. India became increasingly important because it was the second pillar of British power in the world. Moving the Indian army about was extremely important in extending British interests and British influence across the globe and the Suez canal was of course the quick way to do that. It's very important for the British geopolicital position to ensure the Suez canal remains safe and secure. With this aim in mind Britain had become the only European power to establish a major foothold in the Middle East, in the principalities around the Persian Gulf, in Aden, and in Egypt.... Pouring over a map of the Levant, Sykes and Picot personally drew in the areas they wished to see under their control. Their secret deal amounted to the virtual carve up of the Middle East.... [France was to have Greater Syria and] ...
the area... known as Iraq with its strategic ports, railways, and oil... was to be under British rule. ... Palestine.... was envisaged as an international zone, except for Haiffa. What the British wanted was the oil of Iraq and they concentrated on getting Iraq and getting a way from Iraq to the Meditteranian in order to transport this oil. So they got Haiffa on the Palestinian coast and they got most of Iraq. ... Unaware of these secret dealings behind their backs Hussein and Feisal proclaimed independence and in June 1916 attacked the Turkish troops... The Turkish garrason at Mecca was soon overun and the sea port at Jiddha seized... In a pincer movement Britain had launched a campaign from the south west to ensure control of the Suez canal and the Levant, and from the South East it was fighting to secure the oil wells of Iraq... In the east the Ottoman area of Messoptamia, which included the oil fields of Mossul, was given to Britain as the mandate for Iraq. ... this was basically the importance of the Sykes-Picot agreement, to divide what was called the fertile crescent between Iraq and Syria, and let Britain get access to the oil of the area and be able to exploit it in the future...."
<<<---- To USA and Europe Blue = Pre-War Iraqi Oil Transit Route To Meditteranian Via Arabian Peninsula And Suez Canal (Suez Cannot Take Largest Tankers)
Red = Post-War Potential Alternative Route Via Syria/Lebanon/Israel
Yes, Folks, It's 'Opportunity Knocks'
Capitalising On The Hot Political Temperature In The Levant
White House Promotes Escalation of Violence As It Places An Avaricious Eye On
The Middle East's Mediterranean Coast
"Rice will not leave Washington until later today, and it was clear
from her pronounced lack of urgency that President George W Bush had torn up previous
manuals for Middle East crisis intervention. The White House played down the seriousness
of the Lebanon crisis, characterising the death and destruction as the 'birth pangs of a new Middle East'. Officials argued that it was pointless to negotiate with Hezbollah and
that only its eradication could create the necessary conditions for a durable political
settlement. The crisis was 'an opportunity, not a setback', insisted one senior US official."
Hell in the Holy Lands
Sunday Times, 23
July 2006
In the last few days, I learned from
a credible and informed source that a former senior Labour government Minister, who
continues to be well-connected to British military and security officials, confirms that
Britain and the United States '... will go to war with Iran before the end of the year.' As we now know from similar reporting prior
to the invasion of Iraq, it's quite possible that the war planning may indeed change
repeatedly, and the war may again be postponed. In any case, it's worth noting that the
information from a former Labour Minister corroborates expert analyses suggesting that
Israel, with US and British support, is deliberately
escalating the cycle of retaliation to legitimize
the imminent targeting of Iran before year's end.
UK Govt Sources Confirm War With Iran Is On
OpEdNews,
23 July 2006
'Remaking The Middle East'
US Exploits Israel's Deep Sense Of Insecurity And Shared Need For Oil
In Its Undeclared Energy War Against China
"Israel stands to benefit greatly from the US led war on Iraq, primarily by getting rid of an implacable foe in President Saddam Hussein and the threat from the weapons of mass destruction he was alleged to possess.
But it seems the Israelis have other things in mind. An intriguing pointer to one potentially significant benefit was a report by Haaretz on 31 March that minister for national infrastructures Joseph Paritzky was considering the possibility of reopening the long-defunct oil pipeline from Mosul to the Mediterranean port of Haifa. With Israel lacking energy resources of its own and depending on highly expensive oil from Russia, reopening the pipeline would transform its economy.... All of this lends weight to the theory that Bush's war is part of a masterplan to reshape the Middle East to serve Israel's interests. Haaretz quoted Paritzky as saying that the pipeline project is economically justifiable because it would dramatically reduce Israel's energy bill. US efforts to get Iraqi oil to Israel are not surprising. Under a 1975 Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), the US guaranteed all Israel's oil needs in the event of a crisis. The MoU, which has been quietly renewed every five years, also committed the USA to construct and stock a supplementary strategic reserve for Israel, equivalent to some US$3bn in 2002. Special legislation was enacted to exempt Israel from restrictions on oil exports from the USA. Moreover, the USA agreed to divert oil from its home market, even if that entailed domestic shortages, and guaranteed delivery of the promised oil in its own tankers if commercial shippers were unwilling or not available to carry the crude to Israel. All of this adds up to a potentially massive financial commitment. The USA has another reason for supporting Paritzky's project: a land route for Iraqi oil direct to the Mediterranean would lessen US dependence on Gulf oil supplies. Direct access to the world's second-largest oil reserves (with the possibility of expansion through so-far untapped deposits) is an important strategic objective.""[Former Reagan Administration Assistant
Secretary of Defense for International Security Policy Frank] Gaffney cited the
growing scarcity of resources in a world with burgeoning economies and populations, such
as China as having the potential to create a 'perfect storm.' Faced with a scenario of
increasingly insatiable and expensive demands for energy, countries like the U.S. and
China could find themselves at the brink of war."
Report On The Annual Policy Forum Of The American
Council On Renewable Energy (ACORE)
Washington, 6-7 December 2004
RenewableEnergyAccess.com,
14 December 2004
"The world faces the
real threat of a new conflict over oil as China competes with existing world powers for
scarce resources to feed its growing economy, according to a report published today. The State of the
World 2006, released by the Worldwatch Institute, says that last year China became the
second- largest importer of oil, after the US... While environmentalists
are concerned about the impact on the world's climate and the drain on its resources,
strategists fear that the competition for energy, particularly oil, could destabilise the
planet. According to the report, China was
nearly self-sufficient in oil in the mid-1990s. But over the past decade its consumption
has doubled and it has now overtaken Japan as the second-largest importer of oil, with 3.2
million barrels a day in 2004. It predicts that if the economies of China and India
continue to grow at their current rate, the world will not be able to produce enough oil
to meet demand by 2050, when consumption will have grown from the current 85 million
barrels a day to 200 million barrels. 'Few geologists believe that output will reach even
half those levels before beginning to decline,' the report says. As a result China
is already looking for new oil suppliers from Siberia to Sudan, often dealing with
notorious regimes, such as the junta in Burma. Of
even greater concern is the possibility that open conflict could break out between nations
competing for resources or trying to protect their supply lines, such as key trade routes,
currently patrolled by the US Navy."
'Find a couple of spare planets or face global oil war'
London Times, 12
January 2006
"A major new alliance is emerging between Iran and China
that threatens to undermine U.S. ability to pressure Tehran on its nuclear program, support for extremist groups and refusal to back Arab-Israeli
peace efforts. The relationship has grown out of China's soaring energy needs -- crude oil
imports surged nearly 40 percent in the first eight months of this year, according to
state media -- and Iran's growing appetite for consumer goods for a population that has
doubled since the 1979 revolution, Iranian officials and analysts say... Beijing has also provided Iran with advanced military
technology, including missile technology, U.S. officials say."
Iran's New Alliance With China Could Cost U.S. Leverage
Washington Post, 17 November 2005
"PNAC's [Project For The New American
Century] recommendations about how to wage the war on terrorism post-September 11, 2001,
had been taken to heart by administration hawks, particularly in Cheney's and Rumsfeld's offices. This began with an open letter produced by
the group on September 20, 2001, which
called for extending the anti-terrorism campaign to Iraq, whether or not Baghdad had any
role in the September 11 attacks, and siding unequivocally with Israel in its own 'war on terrorism' against
the Palestinian Authority and Lebanon's Hezbollah. Indeed, PNAC - or, more
specifically, Kristol, Kagan and Schmitt - have often acted as mouthpieces for their
friends in the administration, not only with respect to the 'war on terrorism', but also on China. During the Hainan spy-plane incident in the spring of 2001, Kristol and
Kagan, apparently reflecting the views of their friends in Cheney's and Rumsfeld's offices, repeatedly attacked Secretary of State Colin Powell for his diplomatic
efforts to resolve the crisis with China quietly and the final settlement that freed the
US crew a 'national humiliation'. The three are also closely associated with other prominent
neo-conservatives, such as former Defense Policy Board chairman Richard Perle, whose
offices are just five floors above PNAC at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), and
former Central Intelligence Agency chief James Woolsey, as well as Cheney's powerful chief
of staff, I Lewis Libby, who was general counsel for the Cox Commission that investigated alleged
Chinese theft of US military technology. They have
long argued that China represents Washington's greatest long-term threat and have
supported Taiwan's independence."
Neo-cons cry 'appeasement' over Taiwan
Asia Times, 11 December 2003
"Through
cultivation of Saddam Hussein's government, China
sought to develop some of Iraq's more promising [oil] reserves. Beijing advocated lifting the United Nations sanctions that prevented
investment in Iraq's oil patch and limited sales of its production. Then the United States went to war in Iraq in 2003, wiping out
China's stakes... In little more than a decade,
China has changed from a net exporter of oil into the world's second-largest importer,
trailing only the United States. Concern is mounting about future prospects for China's
domestic oil production, which supplies about two-thirds of the country's crude oil needs.
China's government estimates that it will need 600 million tons of crude oil a year by
2020, more than triple its expected output... 'Many people argue that oil interests are the driving force behind the Iraq war,' said Zhu Feng, a security expert at Beijing University. 'For China, it
has been a reminder and a warning about how geopolitical changes can affect its own energy
interests. So China has decided to focus much more
intently to address its security.'... 'If the world
oil stocks were exceeded by growth, who would provide energy to China?' said Shen Dingli,
an international relations expert at Fudan University, who advises the government on
security policy. 'America would protect its own energy supply. The U.S. is China's major
competitor.' Such fears involve Taiwan, the self-governing island claimed by China. The
United States has pledged to help Taiwan should China attack. Officials in Beijing
envision being cut off from energy supplies by the U.S. Navy in the event of war... The Iraq war substantially intensified the foreign push. Most
immediately, it destroyed China's hopes of developing large assets in Iraq... With so much competition for assets, China has pursued deals with
international pariah states that are off-limits to Western oil companies because of
sanctions, security concerns or the threat of bad publicity.... Last year, China signed a $70 billion oil and gas purchase
agreement with Iran, undercutting efforts by the United States and Europe to isolate
Teheran and force it to give up plans for nuclear weapons."
Big Shift in China's Oil Policy
Washington
Post, 13 July 2005
"The PNAC group came into the Bush
administration quite strong, but not clearly dominant. Then when 9/11 happened, they
already had these plans on the shelf, and they could immediately take them down and say,
this is how we're going to deal with the war on terror. And Bush liked that. So from that
point on the PNAC coalition became dominant. First they had to go through Afghanistan and
oust the Taliban, because of their implication in 9/11. But their
key near-term goal was ousting Saddam Hussein. You
can see that very clearly from a letter they already published on 20 September 2001. There
are different currents within the PNAC coalition which had different reasons to want to
get rid of Saddam Hussein. The classically hard-line neo-conservative current was very
regionally focussed: they believed that by ousting Hussein, you could transform the balance of power throughout the Middle East in
favour of the US, and of a so- called 'alliance', headed by Israel, but which
also included Turkey and Jordan. But there was also a current within PNAC which had a more
global vision. For them, the reason to go into Iraq was to
assert our ability to control vital resources that might be needed by any possible future
rival of the United States anywhere within Eurasia.
That might mean China, that might mean Russia, it might even mean the European Union. So for
them, going into Iraq, the country with the second largest oil reserves in the world, and
saying, 'We can come here whenever we want and no one can stop us', was a way to preemptively intimidate China, which badly needs access
to Persian Gulf oil to fuel its own development, as
well as other potential rivals. Both these currents could very easily come together over
Iraq.... [now] there's an election coming up, and in order to regain some of its fast
falling popularity, the administration has to show greater moderation. So the result is a
relative moderation of US foreign policy. The question is, is that moderation just
tactical? And then, if Bush wins in November, the PNAC crowd will reemerge, revived and
reunited, and ready to take on Iran, Syria, Saudi
Arabia and China?"
Jim Lobe, Inter Press correspondent Washington DC
Al-Ahram Weekly, 15 April 2004
The US-China Oil Syndrome
Local Conflicts Escalating Into 'Something Bigger'
"The U.S. and
China, the world's top two oil consuming nations, must work together to avoid a
competition for foreign supplies that might lead to military conflict, U.S. Senator Joseph
Lieberman said.... China's demand for oil is forecast to grow 2.9 percent a year between
now and 2025, and U.S. demand will grow 1.5 percent a year. Efforts by each nation to use
imports to meet growing demand may escalate competition for oil to something 'as hot and
dangerous' as the nuclear arms race between the U.S. and Soviet Union, Lieberman, 63, said
in a speech today in Washington.... 'There is a problem because China, like the United
States, is tying its energy deals to military assistance,' said Michael Klare, author of
'Blood and Oil: The Dangers and Consequences of America's Growing Dependency on
Imported Petroleum.' 'In the short term, it's more a case of stirring up local conflicts, where the U.S. and China are competing
for the loyalty of oil producing countries [Note:
and access to transit routes to open seas such as the Mediterranean], but that does have a tendency over time to escalate
into something bigger,' said Klare, a professor at Hampshire College in Amherst, Massachusetts."
U.S., China Must Cooperate or Risk Oil Conflict, Lieberman Says
Bloomberg,
30 November 2005
Israel As Cheney Pawn In The Real Struggle Against China For Control Of The Middle East And Central Asia - Click Here |
The Israeli People Need To Wake Up
To The Fact That They Are Being Used By Cheney And Rumsfeld
"White House officials said President Bush remains opposed to an immediate cease-fire to stop violence
in the Middle East, despite personal pleas from ally
Saudi Arabia that he help stop the bloodshed. Saudi King Abdullah beseeched Bush to
intervene in Israels military campaign against Hezbollah in Lebanon, where the death
toll is approaching 400 after less than two weeks of bombing. Abdullahs request was
hand-delivered to Bush by Saudi officials who requested a meeting Sunday at the White
House.... The Bush administration has refused to
press for an immediate cease-fire in the conflict.
'Our position on an immediate cease-fire is well known and has not changed, said
White House national security spokesman Frederick Jones..... In recent weeks, the
Bush administration has blamed Syria, along with Iran, for stoking the recent violence by encouraging Hezbollah to attack
northern Israel."
Bush opposed to cease-fire in Lebanon
Associated Press,
24 July 2006
"According to a well-worn script that Israel has grown accustomed to over the years, the arrival of the US secretary of state during wartime means an end to Israeli military advances. But this time the script is different. Condoleezza Rice, who arrived here Monday evening for a 24-hour visit, is not expected to dictate a cease-fire to Israel. She said as much over the weekend... there is more than just pro-Israel sentiment to Washington's giving Jerusalem a longer military grace period than ever before. Bush is keen on providing Israel more time to pound Hizbullah because while this serves Israel's interests,
it also serves America's goals."And Just What Are Those Goals?
From The Oil Fields Of Iraq And Iran To The Mediterranean Coast
They Are Little Different To Great Britain's In The Previous Century
"At the beginning of the 20th Century
King Edward VII ruled over a vast empire with interests in every part of the world. India
became increasingly important because it was the second pillar of British power in the
world. Moving the Indian army about was extremely important in extending British interests
and British influence across the globe and the Suez canal was of course the quick way to
do that. It's very important for the British geopolicital position to ensure
the Suez canal remains safe and secure. With this aim in mind Britain had become the only
European power to establish a major foothold in the Middle East, in the principalities
around the Persian Gulf, in Aden, and in Egypt.... Pouring over a map of the Levant, Sykes and Picot personally drew in
the areas they wished to see under their control. Their secret deal amounted to the
virtual carve up of the Middle East.... [France was to have Greater Syria and] ... the area... known as Iraq with its strategic ports, railways, and
oil... was to be under British rule. ... Palestine.... was envisaged as an
international zone, except for Haiffa. What the British wanted was the oil of Iraq and
they concentrated on getting Iraq and getting a way from Iraq
to the Meditteranian in order to transport this oil. So they got Haiffa on the Palestinian
coast and they got most of Iraq. ... Unaware of these secret dealings behind their backs Hussein and Feisal
proclaimed independence and in June 1916 attacked the Turkish troops... The Turkish
garrason at Mecca was soon overun and the sea port at Jiddha seized... In a pincer
movement Britain had launched a campaign from the south west to
ensure control of the Suez canal and the Levant,
and from the South East it was fighting to secure the oil wells of Iraq... In the east the Ottoman area
of Messoptamia, which included the oil fields of Mossul, was given to Britain as the
mandate for Iraq. ... this was basically the importance of the Sykes-Picot
agreement, to divide what was called the fertile crescent between Iraq and Syria, and let
Britain get access to the oil of the area and be able to exploit it in the future...."
Promises & Betrayals
The History Channel & Gulf Research Center
Content Productions 2002
Broadcast Monday 14th March 2005 on History
Channel - 53 Minutes
"As I went back through the Pentagon
in November 2001, one of the senior military staff officers had time for a chat. Yes, we
were still on track for going against Iraq, he said. But there was more. This was being discussed as part of a five-year campaign plan, he said, and there were a total of
seven countries, beginning with Iraq, then Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Iran, Somalia and Sudan [Note: all of which border existing
or potential oil shipping routes for Persian Gulf oil]....
He said it with reproach--with disbelief, almost--at the breadth of the vision. I moved
the conversation away, for this was not something I wanted to hear. And it was not
something I wanted to see moving forward, either....I left the Pentagon that afternoon
deeply concerned."
General Wesley Clark
'Winning Modern Wars', p 130
In the last few days, I learned from
a credible and informed source that a former senior Labour government Minister, who
continues to be well-connected to British military and security officials, confirms that
Britain and the United States '... will go to war with Iran before the end of the year.' As we now know from similar reporting prior
to the invasion of Iraq, it's quite possible that the war planning may indeed change
repeatedly, and the war may again be postponed. In any case, it's worth noting that the
information from a former Labour Minister corroborates expert analyses suggesting that
Israel, with US and British support, is deliberately escalating the cycle of retaliation
to legitimize the imminent targeting of Iran before year's end. Let us remind ourselves, for instance, of US Vice
President Cheney's assertions recorded on MSNBC over a year ago. He described Iran as being right at the top
of the list of rogue states. He continued: One of the concerns
people have is that Israel might do it without being asked... Given the fact that Iran has a stated policy that their
objective is the destruction of Israel, the Israelis might well decide to act first, and
let the rest of the world worry about cleaning up the diplomatic mess afterwards.
But the emphasis on Israel's pre-eminent role in a prospective assault on Iran is not accurate. Israel
would rather play the role of a regional proxy force in a US-led campaign. Despite
the deteriorating security situation in Iraq, the Bush Administration has not reconsidered
its basic long-range policy goal in the Middle East... reports Seymour Hersh
..
Such action could itself trigger responses from other major powers with fundamental
interests in maintaining their own access to regional energy supplies, such as Russia and
particularly China, which has huge interests in Iran. Simultaneously, the dollar-economy would be seriously undermined, most
likely facing imminent collapse in the context of such crises. Which raises pertinent
questions about why Britain, the US and Israel are contemplating such a scenario as a
viable way of securing their interests. A glimpse of an answer lies in the fact that the
post-9/11 military geostrategy of the War on Terror does not spring from a
position of power, but rather from entirely the opposite. The global system has been
crumbling under the weight of its own unsustainability for many years now, and we are fast
approaching the convergence of multiple crises that are already interacting fatally as I
write. The peak of world oil production, of which the Bush administration is well aware,
either has already just happened, or is very close to happening. It is a pivotal event that signals the end of the Oil Age, for all intents and purposes, with escalating demand placing increasing
pressure on dwindling supplies. Half the world's oil reserves are, more or less, depleted,
which means that it will be technologically, geophysically, increasingly difficult to
extract conventional oil.
UK Govt Sources Confirm War With Iran Is On
OpEdNews,
23 July 2006
"The former chief of ISI, Maj. Gen (R)
Hameed Gul has 'predicted' that America would definitely attack Iran and Syria
simultaneously in October. He was talking after attending the Hamdard Majlis Shoora,
Tuesday evening. He also condemned the lackluster and weak reaction of Pakistan and
Islamic bloc about Israels attack of Lebanon. Analyzing the current war scenario he
observed that war has both political and strategic factors and despite 'using' Israel,
America has lost the war in Lebanon, where masses have united against the recent Israeli
onslaught, and would have been more formidable if the generals of Saddam had not sold out
to American dollars. He analyzed that Israel would soon be 'forced' to stop its land
strikes but would continue its horrific and heinous air strikes against Lebanon,
converting it to ruins. He also 'predicted' that after Iran and Syria, Saudi Arabia
would also meet the same fate, followed by Pakistan."
America will attack Iran, Syria in October: Gul
Pakistan News Service, 2
August 2006
Pulling The Strings Behind The
Scenes As Balkans Formula Comes Into Play
Turning Lebanon And Syria Into A Foreign Power 'Protectorate' For Oil Transit
Just Like Former Yugoslavia
"If an international force enters southern Lebanon to enforce a cease-fire between Israel and Hezbollah, the U.S. military is more likely to be a behind-the-scenes helper than a front-line leader.
That means U.S. troops might ferry supplies and equipment by sea and air, assist with communications, share intelligence and perhaps deliver medicines and other humanitarian aid for Lebanese affected by the conflict. President Bush has made clear he does not intend to contribute U.S. ground troops to an international force, telling Miami television station WPLG, 'Most people understand that we're committed elsewhere.'... What Bush did not mention is that the U.S. options in Lebanon are limited also by the political impact of the Iraq war. Anthony H. Cordesman, a national security expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said the Iraq experience has made it harder for the United States to be viewed as a neutral actor in Lebanon. 'It would be seen as Israel's ally rather than as neutral, and the end result would be to make the United States into a target and make the international force far more divisive than it would otherwise be,' he said.... Some officials have said the overall force might be in the 15,000 to 20,000 range.""French diplomats said that
Mondays troop contributor meeting at UN headquarters was called off after Paris
decided to boycott it because it was being organised
by the US, which does not intend to send ground
troops."
France vies with US in mission to secure an early peace
London Times, 2 August
2006
"Today, the circumstances which we
have created here have changed. Today, it is absolutely necessary to guarantee the
stability of Macedonia and its entry into NATO.
But we will certainly remain here a long time so that we can also guarantee the security
of the energy corridors which traverse this country."
General Michael Jackson, commander of KFOR in Macedonia
Italian daily, Sole 24 Ore, 13
April 1999
Oil and US Geopolitical Objectives in the Balkans - Click Here
Using UN Forces To Secure Western Oil Supplies Is Unthinkable - Isn't It?
"I think, you know, this sounds,
sounds like a hawk now, but you know, we have to be prepared. We, the West, have to take
over those oil fields if there's a serious Islamic revolution in the Gulf that affects all
these countries. I mean it's just as we cannot allow, you know, someone to burn the
rainforests. It's a world commodity, oil, and it has to be protected for our survival. So
I think we should, you know, everybody should be looking long-term in some sort of security arrangement in the Gulf. Now whether, you know, whether it's seizing the oil fields or putting them under the United Nations' control or accommodating Saudi Arabian public opinion."
Robert Baer
Former CIA analyst comments on US/ Saudi relations
ABC
(Australia), 30 April 2003
Yes, It's The Oil Stupid!
Escalation Is The Chosen Route To Intervention
In The Absence Of Any 'Plan B' For Energy Security
"For the world as a whole, oil companies are expected to keep finding and developing enough oil to offset our seventy one million plus barrel a day of oil depletion, but also to meet new demand. By some estimates there will be an average of two per cent annual growth in global oil demand over the years ahead along with conservatively a three per cent natural decline in production from existing reserves. That means by 2010 we will need on the order of an additional fifty million barrels a day. So where is the oil going to come from? Governments and the national oil companies are obviously in control of about ninety per cent of the assets. Oil remains fundamentally a government business.
While many regions of the world offer great oil opportunities, the Middle East with two thirds of the world's oil and the lowest cost, is still where the prize ultimately lies, even though companies are anxious for greater access there, progress continues to be slow.""I fear we're going to be at war for decades, not years .....
one major component of that war is oil.""Iraq can be seen as the first
battle of the fourth world war. After two hot world wars and one cold one that all began
and were centered in Europe, the fourth
world war is going to be for the Middle East."
Former Director of the CIA, James
Woolsey
NATO
conference, Prague, November 2002
"... the mideast will increasingly
become the source of the world's oil, and this is a strategic problem for us and for many
other countries."
James Woolsey, Former Director of the CIA
Interview with the Council on Foreign Relations and the
Washington Post: June 7, 2000
"Optimists about world oil reserves,
such as the Department of Energy, are getting increasingly lonely. The International
Energy Agency now says that world production outside the Middle Eastern Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries (opec) will peak in 1999 and world production overall will
peak between 2010 and 2020. This projection is supported by influential recent articles in
Science and Scientific American. Some knowledgeable academic and industry voices put the
date that world production will peak even soonerwithin the next five or six years.
The optimists who project large reserve quantities of over one trillion barrels tend to
base their numbers on one of three things: inclusion of heavy oil and tar sands, the
exploitation of which will entail huge economic and environmental costs; puffery by opec
nations lobbying for higher production quotas within the cartel; or assumptions about new
drilling technologies that may accelerate production but are unlikely to expand reserves.
Once production peaks, even though exhaustion of world reserves will still be many years
away, prices will begin to rise sharply. This trend will be exacerbated by increased
demand in the developing world..... The
recent report by the President's Committee of Advisers on Science and Technology... concluded 'A
plausible argument can be made that the security of the United States is at least
as likely to be imperiled in the first half of the next century by the consequences of
inadequacies in the energy options available to the world as by inadequacies in the
capabilities of U.S. weapons systems. It is striking that the Federal government
spends about 20 times more R&D money on the latter problem than on the former.'... The
nearly $70 billion spent annually for imported oil represents about 40 percent of the
current U.S. trade deficit.... Research is essential to produce the innovations and
technical improvements that will lower the production costs of ethanol and other renewable
fuels and let them compete directly with gasoline. At present, the United States is not
funding a vigorous program in renewable technologies.... The United States cannot afford
to wait for the next energy crisis to marshal its intellectual and industrial
resources....Our growing dependence on increasingly scarce Middle Eastern oil is a fool's
gamethere is no way for the rest of the world to win. Our losses may come suddenly
through war, steadily through price increases, agonizingly through developing-nation
poverty, relentlessly through climate changeor through all of the above."
Richard G. Lugar and R. James Woolsey (Former Director of the CIA)
The New Petroleum - Foreign Affairs
January/February 1999
"The signs are mounting that a physical scarcity of mineral oil must be expected much sooner than anticipated....
In all probability a battle will break out over shares in the globally diminishing [oil and gas] reserves, particularly of oil..... the really interesting date is not the time at which the use of reserves comes to an end, but the time of maximum production. When output starts to decline from this peak, with demand remaining constant or even continuing to rise, strong reactions in prices and economic upheaval are possible..... The end-of-fossil-hydrocarbons scenario is not therefore a doom-and-gloom picture painted by pessimistic end-of-the-world prophets, but a view of scarcity in the coming years and decades that must be taken seriously. Forward-looking politicians, company chiefs and economists should prepare for this in good time, to effect the necessary transitions as smoothly as possible.... Going forward, the supply situation will become increasingly critical in the markets for mineral oil and, later, natural gas. At the latest when demand outstrips reserves, energy prices will climb significantly.""Output
at Mexico's most important oil field has fallen steeply this year, raising fears that
wells there that generate 60% of the country's petroleum are in the throes of a major
decline. Production at Cantarell, the world's second-largest oil complex, in the shallow
gulf waters off the shore of Mexico's southern Campeche state, averaged just over 1.8
million barrels a day in May, according to the most recent government figures. That's a 7%
drop from the first of the year and the lowest monthly output since July 2005, when
Hurricane Emily forced the evacuation of thousands of oil workers from the region.... It
would also be bad news for the United States, for which Mexico is the No. 2 petroleum supplier, behind Canada. And it
could exacerbate tight global supplies that have kept oil at record prices."
Will Mexico Soon Be Tapped Out?
Los
Angeles Times, 24 July 2006
It's The Oil Stupid - Iraq As Permanent US 'Protectorate' Click Here "Ultimately
it comes down to the free flow of goods and resources on which the prosperity of our own
nation and everybody else in the world depend." |
"We now know that a blueprint for the creation of a global Pax Americana was drawn up for Dick Cheney (now vice-president), Donald Rumsfeld (defence secretary), Paul Wolfowitz (Rumsfeld's deputy), Jeb Bush (George Bush's younger brother) and Lewis Libby (Cheney's chief of staff). The document, entitled Rebuilding America's Defences, was written in September 2000 by the neoconservative think tank, Project for the New American Century (PNAC). The plan shows Bush's cabinet intended to take military control of the Gulf region whether or not Saddam Hussein was in power. It says 'while the unresolved conflict with Iraq provides the immediate justification, the need for a substantial American force presence in the Gulf transcends the issue of the regime of Saddam Hussein.'... the so-called 'war on terrorism' is being used largely as bogus cover for achieving wider US strategic geopolitical objectives..... The overriding motivation for this political smokescreen is that the US and the UK are beginning to run out of secure hydrocarbon energy supplies. By 2010 the Muslim world will control as much as 60% of the world's oil production and, even more importantly, 95% of remaining global oil export capacity. As demand is increasing, so supply is decreasing, continually since the 1960s. This is leading to increasing dependence on foreign oil supplies for both the US and the UK. The US, which in 1990 produced domestically 57% of its total energy demand, is predicted to produce only 39% of its needs by 2010. A DTI minister has admitted that the UK could be facing 'severe gas shortages by 2005. The UK government has confirmed that 70% of our electricity will come from gas by 2020, and 90% of that will be imported. In that context it should be noted that Iraq has 110 trillion cubic feet of gas reserves in addition to its oil. ..... when a British foreign minister met Gadaffi in his desert tent in August 2002, it was said that 'the UK does not want to lose out to other European nations already jostling for advantage when it comes to potentially lucrative oil contracts' with Libya (BBC Online, August 10 2002). The conclusion of all this analysis must surely be that the 'global war on terrorism' has the hallmarks of a political myth propagated to pave the way for a wholly different agenda - the US goal of world hegemony, built around securing by force command over the oil supplies required to drive the whole project."
American Military Strategy For The Middle East Is Born
Out Of Economic Desperation
And It Is One Doomed To Total Failure
"On paper Israel has total
superiority. It has one of the worlds most efficient military well trained,
motivated and equipped with state-of-the-art weaponry. It has hundreds of aircraft and the
most modern artillery systems, and thousands of armoured vehicles and missiles.
Hezbollahs arsenal consists mostly of rifles, machineguns, grenades, mortars and
mines plus improvised explosive devices. Its fighters real advantage is their
knowledge of the terrain, long experience of operations against the Israeli Defence
Forces, local leadership and a burning sense of grievance. Hezbollah fighters rarely stand
and fight. If they do, they are usually destroyed. Their main tactic is attrition, causing
whatever casualties they can, usually through ambushes or mines, and then melting away.
Artillery and air attacks are seldom successful against such tactics. Indeed, the great
military question of our time is how do you defeat an asymmetric warfare grouping such as
Hezbollah? The reality is that you are unlikely to defeat it on the battlefield, simply
because its fighters will refuse to fight on the battlefield of your choosing. If they
did, they would be destroyed by a military machine such as Israels. Your
counter-guerrilla doctrine has to be much smarter. For a start, think of a 20-year time
frame because there are no quick fixes. Be prepared to spend an ocean of money.....
In the short term the Israeli Defence Forces will win its campaign in southern Lebanon. It
will chip away at Hezbollahs infrastructure until something that passes for control
is imposed. There will be incessant patrolling by Israeli troops on the ground and drones
in the sky, supported by good Israeli intelligence. After about a month, southern Lebanon
is unlikely to be an area where Hezbollah can operate at will and, apart from the
occasional ambush, the IDF will have the upper hand. But the long-term winners will almost
certainly be Hezbollah. The Israelis will withdraw from southern Lebanon at some stage,
because they cannot afford to keep large numbers of reservists on a war footing
indefinitely. Hezbollah will move back, and any UN force that tries to disarm it will
become part of the problem. Hezbollah will resist and, after extensive casualties, the UN
will likely be forced to withdraw. Hezbollah will also survive in the long term because
the traumatised children fleeing todays onslaught will become the fighters of
tomorrow."
Major Charles Heyman, former editor of Janes World Armies and
editor of The Armed Forces of the United Kingdom
Might in the air will not defeat guerillas in this bitter conflict
London Times, 2 August
2006
"Have we learnt nothing from history?
Bombing has never changed peoples minds: rather, it fortifies the zealots, destroys
the moderates and entrenches the tyrants....The Israeli assault is not simply wrong; it is
stupid. It may, in the short term, push Hezbollah back from the border, kill their
commanders and protect Israels frontier with an international force. But the
long-term consequences are disastrous. Most Lebanese hated Hezbollahs arrogance; now
all are obliged to salute the new resistance heroes.... Israels attacks have given
Hezbollah and their backers more clout and glory than they could ever have won in their
local fiefdoms or in Lebanese coalition governments.... Hezbollah is a hydra; destroy it,
and its ideology springs up elsewhere. We, the West, may want to change Islam; but we, the
West, have been failing since the Crusades. Will Israeli pilots do any better?"
Bombs are never smart
London Times, 2 August
2006
'The United States Of Amnesia'
No Coherent Government Means No Coherent 'Plan B' For 21st Century Energy Crisis
The Generation That Didn't Plan For Tomorrow
"The fuel crises of 1973 and 1979 woke
up consumers, car manufacturers and elected officials. Consumers explored car pooling,
bicycles and public transportation. Car manufacturers touted their great-gas-mileage cars.
The speed limit was lowered, resulting in fuel efficiency and fewer highway deaths. And
the U.S. became better educated about the dangers of foreign oil dependence, especially
dependence on oil from the chaotic Middle East. And alternative fuel sources were
researched. Remember the hype around ethanol? Then, the 1980s happened. The Middle East
calmed down a bit; Saudi Arabia, which possesses 25 percent of the world's oil reserves,
became a tight United States ally. The lines at the gas pumps grew short again. Many
consumers, car manufacturers and elected officials then came down with fuel-crisis
amnesia. Cars grew bigger and bigger and bigger until, by the beginning of the 21st
century, grown men and women were driving modified tanks down the streets. What a
hummer."
Assinging Blame Can't Fix Fuel Crisis
Spokesman
Review, 6 October 2005
"'The US seems to have forgotten the
lessons it learned 25 years ago when the OPEC strangled the US economy with an oil
embargo,' notes Alliance to Save Energy President David M. Nemtzow, who points out ominous
similarities between the current conditions and those that surrounded the oil embargo 25
years ago.... 'Americans are acting like an energy crisis could never happen again,'
Nemtzow says. 'We are backsliding in our attitude toward energy at the same time utility
companies have decimated efficiency programs and education, which could lead to the rug
being pulled out from under our feet once again."
Could an oil-embargo happen again?
Alexander's Oil And Gas,
Volume 3, issue #27 - 10-12-1998
"Optimists about world oil reserves,
such as the Department of Energy, are getting increasingly lonely. The International
Energy Agency now says that world production outside the Middle Eastern Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries (opec) will peak in 1999 and world production overall will
peak between 2010 and 2020. This projection is supported by influential recent articles in
Science and Scientific American. Some knowledgeable academic and industry voices put the
date that world production will peak even soonerwithin the next five or six
years..... The United States cannot afford to wait for the next energy crisis to marshal
its intellectual and industrial resources....Our growing dependence on increasingly scarce
Middle Eastern oil is a fool's gamethere is no way for the rest of the world to win.
Our losses may come suddenly through war, steadily through price increases, agonizingly
through developing-nation poverty, relentlessly through climate changeor through all
of the above."
Richard G. Lugar and R. James Woolsey (Former Director of the CIA)
The New Petroleum - Foreign Affairs
January/February 1999
"....For the most part, U.S. oil policy has relied on
maintenance of free
access to Middle East Gulf oil and free access for Gulf exports to world markets, relying
heavily on military preparedness. The U.S. has forged a special relationship with certain key Middle
East exporters that had an expressed interest in stable oil prices and, we assumed, would
adjust their oil output to keep prices at levels that would neither discourage global
economic growth nor fuel inflation. Taking this dependence a step further, the U.S.
government has operated under the assumption that the national oil companies of these
countries would make the investments needed to maintain enough surplus capacity to form a
cushion against disruptions. But recently, things have changed. These Gulf allies are finding
their domestic and foreign policy interests increasingly at odds with Americas
strategic considerations. They have become less inclined to lower oil prices in exchange for
security of markets, and evidence suggests that adequate investment is not being made in a
timely enough manner to increase production capacity in line with growing global
needs....... The resulting tight markets have increased U.S. and global vulnerability to
disruption and provided adversaries undue potential influence over the price of oil. Iraq has become a key 'swing' producer, posing a difficult
situation for the U.S. government."
STRATEGIC ENERGY POLICY:
CHALLENGES FOR THE 21ST CENTURY
JAMES A. BAKER III INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY AND THE
COUNCIL FOR FOREIGN RELATIONS, APRIL 2001
"When President George W. Bush took office last January.... Members of the Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) were producing at capacity and a supply interruption
of significant international dimensions loomed on the horizon, whether because of internal conflict in an oil-producing country, political manipulation by Iraq or another oil-producing government, or surging energy
demand.... "
STRATEGIC ENERGY POLICY UPDATE
JAMES
A. BAKER III INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY AND THE COUNCIL FOR FOREIGN RELATIONS, SEPTEMBER
2001
"The
super-giant fields of southeastern Iraq are the largest concentration of super-giants to
be found anywhere in the world.... large parts of Iraq are still virgin - its large
hydrocarbon reserves are still waiting to be developed to their full potential, while most other Middle East countries
are fully exploiting their reserves. ....International oil companies are looking forward with great
anticipation to the opening of Iraq... ."
Assessing Iraqs Oil
Potential
Geotimes, October 2003
"The global market will need increasing volumes of oil from members of the
Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries after non-OPEC production reaches a maximum
of about 50 million b/d between 2007 and 2011... A question crucial to future oil supply,
therefore is: Can OPEC's old fields deliver.... The oil
fields of Iraq are the least depleted and least developed of any of the Persian Gulf
oil producing countries, and Iraq has the potential to rapidly increase oil
output.... Only
Iraq has undeveloped supergiant oil fields (West Qurna, Majnoon, and East Baghdad) and the
potential to rapidly increase production to 8-10 million b/d......."
Oil Supply Challenges - 2: What Can OPEC
Deliver?
Oil and
Gas Journal, 7 March 2005
".... a series of crises in oil supply is likely over the
coming decades. The first, related to the
peak and decline of non-OPEC production, is practically upon us and underpins the
currently high oil prices...... The
imminent inability of non-OPEC production to meet incremental demand and its decline after
2010 precipitates the second crisis as OPECs diminishing spare capacity (even with
Iraqs production back to preinvasion levels) becomes less and less able to
accommodate short-term fluctuations.....The third crisis, due to OPECs incremental
supply being unable to meet incremental demand, follows in the first half of the next
decade. This assumes that OPECs reserves are as published. .....These crises will have global economic and geopolitical
significance: The oil price will be
high and volatile, and demand growth will have to be curtailed..."
Oil Supply Challenges - 2: What Can OPEC
Deliver?
Oil and Gas Journal, 7 March 2005
".... it is pretty much a betting
certainty that the White House is fully conversant with the arguments of 'the peak-oil
people'. It's just that they have no 'Plan B' to deal with the issue. So for those who
prefer not to see the lifespan of their sons and daughters shortened by more wars
precipitated by the destructive policies of the myopic 'no Plan B' crowd, the looming energy
crisis message needs to be got out loud, clear, and immediately.
This is an absolute imperative if there is to be any
hope of avoiding the escalation in international chaos that has already begun to emerge
from this situation. Otherwise there are going to be
an awful lot more dead people out there as the Deutsche Bank report implicitly warns......
at least until someone shows some constructive leadership and comes up with that elusive
'Plan B'. But until the real scale of the issue registers with a
higher proportion of Joe Public that's unlikely to happen. So you'd better get on and
spread the word."
Peak Oil To Arrive As Early As 2014
'Peak Oil'
Update, 4 January 2005
| http://observer.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,,1833485,00.html
We desperately need peacemakers, not
peacekeepers I remember reporting from Cyprus as its incipient civil war got out of hand and United Nations peacekeepers rushed to the rescue. Hail to assorted Finns, Canadians and Irish, under an Indian general. Heaven bless the men in the blue berets. But the trouble, 42 years later, is that they're still there, that there is still an insecure peace to be kept. The berets come in, but they don't go away. Lebanon, of course, looks next on the list as Bush and Blair try to get their act together. International communities need to do something more than talk. But then, as that disastrous Israeli strike on the UN post showed, they have long since done something. Unifil (the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon - manpower 257; annual budget $99.23m; officer commanding, French) has been toiling away since 1978 on a mission 'to help the Lebanon government restore its effective authority'. One step forward, five steps back... This isn't the only UN presence in the area. Untso (United Nations Truce Supervision Organisation - manpower 273; budget circa $29m; officer commanding, New Zealander) was the first such mission after the United Nations was born, initiated in 1948 'to prevent isolated incidents from escalating'. Not a stupendous success, you might say, before taking a short drive north from Jerusalem to find Undof (United Nations Disengagement Observer Force), 1974's continuing mission to keep Israel and Syria apart on the Golan Heights - manpower 2,027, including Japanese and Slovaks; budget $43.71m; officer commanding, Nepalese). It's an unhappy story. Some 2,577 soldiers, observers, administrators and diplomats, costing around $172m a year, are on deployment now to keep this perilous region peaceful. But it isn't remotely peaceful. It's in flames. And when the 'international community' (a phrase that didn't exist in May 1948 as the Untso berets arrived) looks round for an answer, all it seems able to think of is much more of the same. More like Unmogip (United Nations Military Observer Group in India and Pakistan - founded January 1949; manpower 106; cost $3.87m; officer commanding, Croatian), designed to keep India and Pakistan calm and constructive in Kashmir. They're still there. More like my original UNFICYP (United Nations Peacekeeping Force in Cyprus) on Aphrodite's island (manpower 176; cost $46.5m; officer commanding, Argentinian). Not to mention Minurso (United Nations Mission for the Referendum in Western Sahara) in the western Sahara since 1991 (manpower 458; cost $47.95m; officer commanding, Danish) or Unomig (United Nations Observer Mission in Georgia), keeping the Georgians and the Abkhaz authorities apart since August 1993 (manpower 348; cost $36.38m; officer commanding, Pakistani). Naturally, there are some bigger, more recent postings in Africa, other UN forces striving to keep the peace in Eritrea and Ethiopia, attempting to stop 600 children a day dying in the 'Democratic' Republic of Congo, trying to heal Burundi's wounds and restore a modicum of order to the Ivory Coast. Naturally, too, it would be stupid to claim that the 67,132 men and women from 103 countries currently engaged in UN peacekeeping at an annual cost of $4.47bn don't do a great deal of good. But they don't often move on from peacekeeping to peacemaking. They tend, time and again, to freeze a bad situation in glum immobility. Their appearance stops everything, including the will to find a solution. Has Unmogip banished fear from the Vale of Kashmir? Has UNFICYP accomplished anything but a kind of vaguely comfortable stasis that makes Nicosia and Ankara less, rather than more, likely to compromise? Worst of all, is there any remote sign that three missions in and around Israel for decade after decade have had the slightest enduring impact in the region? On the contrary, the governments that matter simply disregard them. The cruel truth is that yet another force and yet another mission, blocking out a 15-mile strip of southern Lebanon, offers nothing but the most feeble respite. It won't put Lebanon together again. It won't stop the killing if Hizbollah or the Israeli army want to resume operations. It will merely cost a lot of money and absorb a lot of international community firepower to no long-term or even medium-term purpose. It will represent another profoundly unpleasant, perilous task (261 men and women have died in action for Unifil since it began). But it will not do the job - just pop it in the freezer until the next hot spot boils. There won't be peace here until the parties on the front line want it. There won't be peace until the big regional powers, including Tehran and Damascus, will it. There won't be peace until Israel decides that going it alone means going nowhere. So a force of blue, green or red berets to enforce a ceasefire? Preferably not. It just disguises the problem for a while, ploughs more good intentions after bad, sanctifies a de facto annexation of territory without digging deeper. Call, I think, for a carrot and a stick. America, on best estimates, feeds Israel $3bn a year in aid, some $500 for every Israeli (even before more billions of arms subsidies and tax breaks feed in). So if there's going to be a new force in Lebanon, let Israel pay its share of the cost from that same pot: a diversion of funds, an incentive to concentration. In just the same way, make the Palestinian Authority and the Lebanese government feel a similar motivation. The long tail of leftover missions using current dollars around the globe is too long. The price of inertia is too high. Give peace the direct financial reward it deserves: make money, not war. At least, then, there'd be some sanction in play. At least, then, the keepers of dodgy, unstable peace might one day hope to go home - even from Cyprus. |
The Kosovo Scandal No One Wants To Discuss
How NATO Created A Modern Haven For Terrorism And Organised Crime
Which The UN Was Powerless To Stop
Click Here
"Serbia's Prime Minister Vojislav
Kostunica has insisted that Kosovo will remain part of Serbia - even if that means
delaying EU membership..... Some parts of the international community had linked the two
issues, he said. Kosovo has been UN-administered since Nato's 1999 air raids on Serbia. Mr
Kostunica's comments come a week after ethnic Albanian and Serbian leaders held their
first face-to-face meeting since 1999 on the long-term future of the breakaway Serbian
province. No breakthrough was achieved. The United Nations special envoy for Kosovo,
Martti Ahtisaari, said Serbia was willing to give everything but independence, while the
majority ethnic Albanians in Kosovo wanted nothing but independence."
Serbia rejects Kosovo trade-off
BBC Online, 31 July 2006
"A guerrilla group on Wednesday warned
the UN mission in Kosovo (UNMIK) to leave the province, saying it was ready to fight for a
'Greater Albania'. The group calling itself the Albanian National Army (ANA), which is
active in Kosovo, southern Serbia and Macedonia, 'demands from the UN, if they are really
a peace organisation, to leave Kosovo gradually,' it said in a statement received by
AFP..... Kosovo has been administered by the United
Nations and NATO since mid-1999, when the alliance's
bombing campaign ended a crackdown by Serbian forces against separatist Albanian
rebels."
Ethnic Albanian guerrillas warn UN to leave Kosovo
Agence France
Presse, 1 March 2006
"The Balkans´ uncharacteristically
silent exit from the world stage as the most prominent international hot spot of the last
decade belies its status as a major recruiting and training center of Osama bin Laden´s
al Qaeda network. By feeding off the region´s impoverished republics and taking root in
the unsettled diplomatic aftermath of the Bosnia and Kosovo conflicts, al Qaeda, along
with Iranian Revolutionary Guard-sponsored terrorists, have burrowed their way into
Europe´s backyard. For the past 10 years, the most senior leaders of al Qaeda have
visited the Balkans, including bin Laden himself on three occasions between 1994 and 1996.
The Egyptian surgeon turned terrorist leader Ayman Al-Zawahiri has operated terrorist
training camps, weapons of mass destruction factories and money-laundering
and drug-trading networks throughout Albania, Kosovo, Macedonia, Bulgaria, Turkey and
Bosnia. This has gone on for a decade. Many recruits
to the Balkan wars came originally from Chechnya, a jihad in which Al Qaeda has also
played a part. These activities have been exhaustively researched by Yossef Bodansky, the
former director of the U.S. House of Representatives´ Task Force on Terrorism and
Unconventional Warfare.... The overnight rise of
heroin trafficking through Kosovo -- now the most
important Balkan route between Southeast Asia and Europe after Turkey -- helped also to
fund terrorist activity directly associated with al Qaeda and the Iranian Revolutionary
Guard. Opium poppies, which barely existed in the Balkans before 1995, have become the No.
1 drug cultivated in the Balkans after marijuana. Operatives of two al Qaeda-sponsored
Islamist cells who were arrested in Bosnia on Oct. 23 were linked to the heroin trade,
underscoring the narco-jihad culture of today´s post-war Balkans.... By early 1998 the U.S. had already entered into its controversial
relationship with the KLA to help fight off Serbian
oppression of that province. While in February the U.S. gave into KLA demands to remove it
from the State Department´s terrorism list, the gesture amounted to little. That summer
the CIA and CIA-modernized Albanian intelligence (SHIK) were engaged in one of the largest
seizures of Islamic Jihad cells operating in Kosovo. Fearing terrorist reprisal from al
Qaeda, the U.S. temporarily closed its embassy in Tirana and a trip to Albania by then
Defense Secretary William Cohen was canceled out of fear of an assassination attempt.
Meanwhile, Albanian separatism in Kosovo and Metohija was formally characterized as a
'jihad' in October 1998 at an annual international Islamic conference in Pakistan. Nonetheless, the 25,000 strong KLA continued to receive official
NATO/U.S. arms and training support and, at the talks in Rambouillet, France, then
Secretary of State Madeleine Albright shook hands with 'freedom fighter' Hashim Thaci, a
KLA leader. As this was taking place, Europol (the European Police Organization based in
The Hague) was preparing a scathing report on the connection between the KLA and
international drug gangs. Even Robert Gelbard,
America´s special envoy to Bosnia, officially described the KLA as Islamic terrorists.
With the future status of Kosovo still in question, the only real development that may be
said to be taking place there is the rise of Wahhabi Islam -- the puritanical Saudi
variety favored by bin Laden -- and the fastest growing variety of Islam in the
Balkans."
Al Qaeda´s Balkan Links
Wall St
Journal, 11 January 2001
"... the Albanian
security situation reflects the volatility of the clan-based rivalries and the related narco-trafficking and criminal activities which are linked with
global terrorism. But by admitting this as the basis
for the need to move [US] facilities out of Albania, the US would then have to admit that
this terrorism-related criminal activity, and particularly narco-trafficking, is
intrinsically linked into the al-Qaida and Iranian-backed terrorist infrastructure of the
region, and into the Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA), which now, under new names, controls
the Serbian province of Kosovo.... no-one in the
State Department or Defense Department is willing to admit that US support for this
terrorist and narco-trafficking base of Albanians in 1999 -- when the US led NATO into
attacks on Serbia in order to assist the KLA -- was wrong. This is part of the distortion of US foreign and strategic policy: no-one
will admit that they made a mistake. There are many Congressmen on Capitol Hill who
understand that this distortion exists with regard to Balkan policy. But equally,
there are politicians in both major parties who supported the KLA during the 1990s, so
that today it is impossible for a Republican-controlled Bush White House and Congress to
attack the logic and merit of the 1999 war, waged against Serbia by the then-Democratic
Party-controlled Clinton White House. It is difficult for the White House, for example, to
criticize the 1990s support by the Clinton
Administration for the al-Qaida -linked KLA without
also opening up to criticism some senior members of the Republican Party..... The fact
that the US has been forced to remove its assets from Albania, despite the quiet manner in
which this has been undertaken, is just one indication of the
ongoing degradation of the situation there. And yet
the US still refuses to acknowledge that this is integrally linked with the Albanian-based
terrorism underway in the former Yugoslav republic of Macedonia, or that it is at the very
heart of the creation of what is already a criminal
sub-state in Kosovo, which is directly under the control of the KLA...."
Special Report; US Policy in the Balkans and the Eastern Mediterranean: Time to Stop
Choosing Sides, and to Start Choosing Strategic Interests
Defense & Foreign
Affairs Special Analysis, 13 April 2005
Heroin Production Facilities Flourish in Kosovo Area Under US Military Protection - Click Here
"As President Clinton prepares to
visit to Kosovo, it is common to see and hear things
here that don't fit with the tidy fictions proffered by NATO and White House officials....'The whole thing is a very bad joke,' explains a candid intelligence
officer with the UN Mission in Kosovo (UNMIK). ..Although NATO and UNMIK have been careful
to avoid any public insinuation that the KLA may be prevaricating and holding back a
significant stockpile of weapons, a spokesman for NATO estimates that peacekeepers
confiscate about 100 illegal weapons, explosives and magazines of ammunition each
day...Yet 'anyone who thinks that the violence will end once the last Serb has been driven
out of Kosovo is living an illusion,' recently warned Veton Surroi, publisher of the main
Albanian-language newspaper in Kosovo, Koha Ditore. 'The violence will simply be
redirected against other Albanians.' Already, the senior officials of the KLA, who signed
the disarmament agreement with NATO, have carried out assassinations,
arrests and purges within their own ranks and of
potential rivals. One campaign, in which as many as six KLA commanders were murdered, was
reportedly directed by the KLA's top man, Hashim Thaci, and two of his lieutenants, Azem
Syla and Xhavit Haliti....It still lurks everywhere in Kosovo. Ethnic Albanians complain
that KLA henchmen regularly demand that shopkeepers pay 'liberation taxes' to finance the
KLA's continued, and often illicit, activities. Even more worrisome, according to a
soon-to-be-released report by the International Crisis Group, there
are as many killings right now in Kosovo as there were before NATO intervened, when Yugoslav authorities were trying to smash the KLA....[the] goal of
creating a multi-ethnic society in Kosovo is being undermined by the KLA in a multitude of
ways, especially with the ethnic cleansing of not
only Serbs but Gorans, Romas, Jews, Croats and even Albanians who are not strenuous enough
in their intolerance of non-Albanians..."
The Real Kosovo
The Washington Times, 23 November 1999
"Jiri Dienstbier, UN
Special Rapporteur on Human Rights for former Yugoslavia,
has officially accused the disbanded Kosovo Liberation Army of ethnically cleansing Kosovo
and working for the creation of Greater Albania, reported Zëri on page six. 'What the KLA
is doing in Kosovo has nothing to do with retaliation for what Serb authorities did. It is
about the realization of a plan of ethnic cleansing, for destabilization of the entire
region and creation of a Great Albania,' said Dienstbier in a press briefing in Geneva....
In the report that he delivered to the UN Commission for Human Rights Wednesday, Dienstbier said that KFOR and UNMIK had reached none of their
objectives in Kosovo. 'The only existing
administration is the KLA which leads in different ways. One of those is the transfer of
KLA fighters to the Kosovo Protection Corps under the auspices of UNMIK, and the other is to turn Kosovo into a European base for heroin,' said Dienstbier, adding that five
tons of heroin per month go through Kosovo heading for Western Europe. He also said that there were no functioning courts and an insufficient
number of international police officers, but that all KLA members who applied for the KPC
were given uniforms automatically. According to
Dienstbier, NATO SACEUR General Wesley Clark blames the UN for the situation in Kosovo,
while the UN is saying that there would be a completely different situation in Kosovo if
NATO hadn't officially recognized the KLA. The UN
Special Rapporteur also said that it would be a big mistake if Kosovo would become
independent, adding that already it is ethnically cleansed. Dienstbier warned the West not
to support Hashim Thaçi and his associates, saying that in Kosovo there were enough
normal and clever people who are against extremist solutions. According to Dienstbier, the
only way to solve the Kosovo problem is to respect the UN Security Council resolution
1244. He also accused NATO of bombing innocent people and destroying industry, which was
not producing weapons."
United Nations Interim Administration in Kosovo
Division of Public
Information, Local Media Monitoring, 31 March 2000
"Kosovo
continued its plunge into chaos yesterday as organised gangs of armed ethnic Albanians
attacked Serb houses and churches across the province. Nato scrambled to deploy up to
1,000 additional troops to boost the 17,000-strong Nato-led Kfor peacekeeping force in an
attempt to clamp down on renewed ethnic violence. Serbian Orthodox churches were burnt
down in Kosovska Mitrovica and Vucitrn, while the UN police headquarters in the town of
Prizren was also attacked. Smoke billowed from Serb houses set ablaze in the mixed town of
Kosovo Polje, and burnt-out cars littered the streets of Pristina. UN troops and police
came under sustained gunfire as they attempted to rescue beseiged Serbs. At least 22
people have been killed, and more than 500 injured in the worst outbreak of fighting since
the Nato air-strikes in spring and summer 1999. All the deaths came in gunbattles, riots
and street fighting on Wednesday.... Speaking from Pristina, Derek Chappell, a UN police
spokesman, said: 'We have seen many acts of violence in the last four years. We have not
seen a co-ordinated action, with this level of violence, when thousands of people from all
regions of Kosovo attack Serbs, Serb property and Serb symbols such as churches, all on
the same day. The targets are very specific.' Mr Chappell said: 'It is difficult to think
that all this is spontaneous, although there is no evidence to link these events to any
organisation.' The violence triggered fears that Kosovo could once again descend into war,
possibly dragging in Serbia and destabilising the whole of the southern Balkans."
Ethnic killings send Kosovo towards war
London
Times, 19 March 2004
"Four
years after it was 'liberated' by a NATO bombing campaign, Kosovo has deteriorated into a
hotbed of organized crime, anti-Serb violence and al-Qaeda sympathizers, say security
officials and Balkan experts. Though nominally still under UN control, the southern
province of Serbia is today dominated by a triumvirate of Albanian paramilitaries, mafiosi
and terrorists. They control a host of smuggling
operations and are implementing what many observers call their own brutal ethnic cleansing
of minority groups, such as Serbs, Roma and Jews. In
recent weeks, UN officials ordered the construction of a fortified concrete barrier around
the UN compound on the outskirts of the provincial capital Pristina. This is to protect
against terrorist strikes by Muslim extremists who have set up bases of operation in what
has become a largely outlaw province. Minority
Serbs, who were supposed to have been guaranteed protection by the international community
after the 78-day NATO bombing campaign ended in the spring of 1999, have abandoned the
province en masse. The last straw for many was the recent round of attacks by ethnic
Albanian paramilitaries bent on gaining independence through violence. Attacks on Serbs in
Kosovo, a province of two million people, have risen sharply. According to statistics
collected by the UN criminal tribunal for the former Yugoslavia at The Hague, 1,192 Serbs
have been killed, 1,303 kidnapped and 1,305 wounded in Kosovo this year. In June, 1999,
just after the NATO bombing, 547 Serbs were killed and 932 were kidnapped.... Serbs, who
now make up 5% of the population of Kosovo, down from 10% before the NATO campaign, are
the main targets of the paramilitary groups. Last week, Harri Holkeri, the province's UN
leader, suspended two generals and 10 other officers, all members of an ethnic Albanian
offshoot of the Kosovo Liberation Army, an insurgent group that emerged in the late 1980s
to fight Serb security forces. Mr. Holkeri made his decision -- the strongest UN response
to violence in the province so far -- after a UN inquiry into the Kosovo Protection Corps
(KPC). Although the civilian defence organization is supposed to help local residents,
over the past four years, its mostly ethnic Albanian military officials have been involved
in violent confrontations with Serbs.The inquiry found last April's bomb attack on a
Kosovo railway was the work of the KPC... Moreover, Kosovo
has turned into one of Europe's biggest hubs for drug trafficking and terrorism. Al-Qaeda
has set up bases in the province, which has become an important centre for heroin,
cigarette, gasoline and people smuggling. The Albanian mafia and paramilitary groups, which security
officials say are closely tied to al-Qaeda militants in the region, also oversee
smuggling. More than 80% of Western Europe's heroin comes through Kosovo, where several
drug laboratories have been set up, Interpol officials say."
Crime, terror flourish in 'liberated' Kosovo
National
Post (Canada), 10 December 2003
"Sources within the NATO force command
in the Serbian province of Kosovo have indicated that there is concern with the
organization that the murder of four Serbs in Kosovo at the beginning of September 2005
was part of a greater plan by KLA (Kosovo Liberation Army) Albanians to begin to
exacerbate disorder as part of the agitation for the interdependence of the area from
Serbia. The riots in March and June 2004 resulted in 19 Serbian deaths, 900 injured and
more than 4,000 people displaced from their homes. Many Serbian villages were destroyed.
NATO fears have been strengthened by intelligence derived by Western countries on the
existence of a strong Islamist network in Kosovo and Bosnia. Specifically, the German
Federal Intelligence Service (BND) confirmed that the terrorist attacks in Madrid and
London were organized by Islamic cells in Bosnia and Kosovo. The
German press agency DDP (Das Deutschland-Portal) reported that the BND forewarned about
the new terrorist attacks in London, which were carefully organized in Kosovo. The secret service of a Balkan country, which works actively in the
area, reported to GIS that one of the most dangerous Islamist terrorists in the world, who
was involved in the bombing attack against US and German soldiers in the beginning of 1990
in Germany, has returned to the area from Pakistan in early September 2005."
Jihadist Terrorist Leader Returns to the Balkans as Actions Intensify to Promote Kosovo
Independence
Defense &
Foreign Affairs Daily, 25 October 2005
"The
War on Terror suffered a major blow three years before it was ever announced. It happened
when the people of this democracy [in America] were misled into attacking the sovereign,
emerging post-Communist democracy of Yugoslavia - over rumors of genocide and ethnic
cleansing that proved false. In so doing, we put the final touch on delivering the
Balkans to al Qaeda. Today we are being asked to seal that historical blunder, whose
repercussions seven years later are only escalating as those we 'rescued' turn their
weapons against UN and NATO forces.
While NATO spends most of its time rooting
out terror cells in Kosovo and Bosniawhich served as the logistics bases for
the London and Madrid
bombings--the 2006 deadline to complete our eagerly forgotten debacle and determine
the provinces final status is fast approaching.... [Deputy commander of the
Kosovo Liberation Army Niam Behljulji, known as Hulji],
according to the December issue of the Defense & Foreign
Affairs Strategic Policy journal, is the man who supplied the Semtex-like
explosives used in the London and Madrid attacks. But to perpetuate the version of events we were sold from the
beginning, all these connections have gone purposefully unmade by our nations
'journalists,' who were gung-ho supporters of our 1999 offensive against a historical ally and
the culmination of our pro-terror policies in 1990s Yugoslavia.... Only
Britain's Sky News has caught on, in December airing a segment
entitled 'The Hidden Army of Radical Islam,' about Bosnia, where there
is 'growing radicalization' and a base for Al Qaeda: 'In the
heart of Europe, thousands of Arab fighters. Zenica [Bosnia], 1995. They come to wage holy
war in support of the Bosnian Army. [Bosnian President Alija Izetbegovic shown
welcoming the mujahadeen.] ...They committed many atrocities; the tapes Sky News has
obtained include beheadings and signs of torture.
This isnt just about
history; it's about now. Western intelligence agencies are now pressing the Bosnians
to look into exactly where these people are and what they are doing, and
asking have any of these men been in contact with the three young Bosnian
Muslims arrested last month on terrorism charges... In Sarajevo now the
influence of Saudi ideas can be found all over the city. ... Radical
Islam is attempting to plant deep roots in the community.
The seeds for change
were planted back in 1995.'... The narration continues: 'There
were some serious players sent to Bosnia, among them the man who planned 9/11, Khalid
Sheikh Mohamed...' A similar picture began to
emerge in Kosovo, where the late Wall St. Journal reporter Daniel
Pearl was uncovering that
'Ethnic-Albanian militants, humanitarian organizations, NATO and the news media fed off
each other to give genocide rumors credibility.' The anti-Serb propaganda which misled
Americans throughout the 90s and which Daniel Pearl was debunking continues to guide
our perceptions and foreign policy in the Balkans today. But
despite the medias blackout on the subject of Balkans terror--including by Pearl's
own Wall St. Journal--more and more Americans have been scratching their heads, wondering
why we forcibly precluded the Serbs from doing in their own backyard what weve gone
halfway around the globe to do.... For the
past four years, the Hague's International Criminal Tribunal for the Former
Yugoslavia has been finding what multiple international forensic teams have
found--that claims of Serb 'atrocities' were exaggerated and
often invented. It turns out we confused an attempt to create an Islamic 'Greater Albania' with one to create a 'Greater
Serbia.' Surely if the latter were Slobodan Milosevics goal,
he would have started by ethnically cleansing the nearly 300,000 Muslims of
Serbia. Though he built his career in whatever dirty ways Tito's Yugoslavia allowed,
he was the least of the Balkans' villains. For most Serbs, he was not a
hero until he was called upon to defend an entire nation at the Hague. Now that Milosevic is dead, we are spared the worldwide
riots that would have ensued had the tribunal mustered the courage to issue a verdict
based on the evidence. And we can all sleep comfortably as the disproved charges
are accepted as history.... In early 2001, German TV broadcast a report titled 'It Began
with a Lie,' which publicized the findings of the observer force Organization for Security
and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) that no genocide had taken place in Kosovo. The revelations set off a huge public debate in Germany, a
member of the NATO coalition, after the
public realized their country had been party to a hoax, and they held the responsible politicians feet to the
fire. Its long past time that we also set the record straight on what
we 'achieved' in the Balkans -- and change course. As the world closes in on
the Serbs again this year, we must stop bin Laden from establishing a terror
state in Europe. We know from Madrid and London that well pay for it with our
own blood. In fact, we already have."
A Balkan Base For Al Qaeda?
FrontPageMagazine,
20 March 2006
Press Reports On False Claims Of Genocide By Serbs In Kosovo - Click Here
"While
the U.S. fights Muslim terrorists in Afghanistan and Iraq, the U.S. and the United Nations
are helping allies of Muslim terrorists come to power in Kosovo, a province of Serbia.
This is a foreign policy disaster in the making that you should hope and pray gets some
immediate attention from the media. To illustrate
the dimensions of the problem, Father Keith Roderick of Christian
Solidarity International has testified that Albanian Muslims in Kosovo have been
systematically destroying Christian churches and other sites in Kosovo and the Serbian
Christian population in the province is being 'squeezed down to oblivion.' The evidence is
on display in a new DVD, 'Days
Made Of Fear,' directed, produced and distributed by Ninoslav Randjelovic. At the same
time, Father Roderick also says that hundreds of new Mosques have been built in Kosovo
over the last several years, financed mostly by Gulf Arab money. The excellent DVD
consists of 8 different films, but the most explosive is 'Notes About the Rock,' on the
destroyed and vandalized churches and monasteries in Kosovo. Many of the scenes captured
on film are considered the only video documentation on this subject available. There is no
question about the reason for the destruction. The churches were targeted by the Kosovo
Liberation Army (KLA), also known by the acronym UCK. These initials are visible on the
ruins, like a calling card. They openly advertise
their anti-Christian Jihad, but our media pay no
attention. Writing for the Byzantine Cultural Project and reviewing the DVD, Theodoros
Georgiou Karakostas comments, 'The footage of ravaged and destroyed Serbian Churches and
Monasteries is appalling. The DVD is a shocking affirmation that the American television
Networks such as CNN, FOX, ABC, CBS, NBC, and the others are all lined up with the foreign
policy establishment and are active practitioners of official censorship. I cannot recall
seeing any of the horrifying footage on this DVD on American television.' He adds, 'The
same U.S. media which continues to attack the Bush administration for lying about the Iraq
war, continues to give Bill Clinton, Madeleine Albright, Richard Holbrooke, Wesley Clark,
and Samuel Berger a pass for their destructive war on Yugoslavia. We should remember also
that at the last Democratic National Convention in Boston two years ago, one of the top
KLA men was an honored guest of John Kerry. 'The same U.S. media which was appalled by the
Taliban's destruction of the 2,000-year-old Buddhist statues has nothing to say about the
remarkable Serbian Orthodox churches and monasteries which have stood since the period
preceding the Ottoman conquests, and which are being systematically destroyed.' Why are the media ignoring what is happening in Kosovo? One reason, as explained in the book, Media Cleansing: Dirty Reporting,
is that the media reported the war wrong and now refuse to report who has really been
victimized by it. Another factor is that the much-vilified neoconservatives got Kosovo
wrong, too. As I noted in a Media Monitor, 'In 1999 the neocons supported the NATO war on
Yugoslavia launched by President Clinton. That benefited a Muslim terrorist group, the
Kosovo Liberation Army (KLA), with links to Osama bin
Laden.' The neocons thought they were supporting a
tougher and a new NATO. To compound this tragedy, the Bush Administration has continued
the misguided Clinton policy on Kosovo. Let's remember that Clinton ordered U.S. military
intervention in the Balkans against the Christian Serbs on the grounds that 'ethnic
cleansing' and even 'genocide' were being waged against Serbia's neighbors. Most of that
was hokum. Serbia, a U.S. ally in World War II, was being ruled by the communist Slobodan
Milosevic, who was desperate to hold on to power in the former Yugoslavia, which included
Serbia. While Milosevic was a problem, the Clinton 'solution' made the problem worse. Clinton gave the green light to military aggression against the Serbs and
even ordered the CIA to provide support to the Kosovo Liberation Army, which was allied with Osama bin Laden and
radical Islamists. The U.S. bombed Serbia and forced
Milosevic, who was later turned over to a U.N. court, to capitulate. Milosevic recently
died in a U.N. prison."
Christians Under Siege in Kosovo
Media Monitor, 1 June 2006
The Kosovo Scandal No One Wants To Discuss
How NATO Created A Modern Haven For Terrorism And Organised Crime
Which The UN Was Powerless To Stop
Click Here
"The attractions of this to Mr Chissano [President of Mozambique] and his generals seemed clear....
According to the current defence minister, Tobias Dai, the effect was overwhelming."
Meditation is path to peace, Mozambique leader says
Guardian, 22 September 2001
Mail And Guardian, South Africa [Excerpts] Johannesburg, South Africa. January 13 2000 Preventing war with Preventing war in the world is as easy as a shift in perspective, and adopting transcendental meditation, argue DR DAVID LEFFLER and LEE LEFFLER No enemy, no war. The key to peace is preventing an enemy from arising. Mozambique's government recognised this in 1992 while attempting to end civil war. They prevented enemies from arising within their borders using a new "secret weapon" -- consciousness-based defence. This technology helped Mozambique, and could offer hope to all nations struggling with enemies inside and outside their borders. Warfare is more dangerous than ever. Weapons of mass destruction are easily available on the world arms market. Building up arms and powerful weapons incites fear in friends as well as foes. A novel solution is needed. The root cause of war is the build-up of stress and tensions in collective consciousness in a nation. Collective consciousness is the sum of the influences created by its individual members. This collective consciousness affects the thoughts and feelings of those same individuals. If a nation's collective consciousness is full of tension and fear, then disorder erupts. Social injustice and unfavourable economic conditions thrive in such chaotic environments. Unresolved religious, territorial, political and cultural differences add to the unrest. This creates a frustrated and dissatisfied population, further destabilising society. Therefore, raising collective consciousness by reducing stress in society prevents the conditions that lead to enemies, conflict, and war. An ancient system of defence, revived by Maharishi Mahesh Yogi, raises collective consciousness by reducing stress. Using a simple, non-religious mental technique called the Transcendental Meditation (TM) programme, collective consciousness is raised starting on the level of the individual. Individuals practice the TM technique daily in large groups. Extensive scientific research indicates that practitioners of the TM programme experience increased coherence and higher states of consciousness. The consciousness of the individual affects the group, and the group creates a super-radiance effect. Super-radiance means the coherence of the individuals and the group radiates into the surrounding population. Tensions in the population of Mozambique were running high in 1992 after decades of war. The damage to human life and property was high. After the General Peace Agreement was signed, the country remained in a precarious situation. Although a United Nations mission would soon be coming into the country, fighting could have easily broken out again at any time. President Alberto Joachim Chissano and other representatives of the Mozambique government were contacted by Maharishi Vedic University. Maharishi Vedic University, based in Vlodrop, Holland, felt that Mozambique was a good candidate to implement Maharishi's system of defence. The University gave a detailed presentation on the TM programme and cited research published in leading scientific journals. These journals included The Journal of Conflict Resolution, Social Indicators Research, International Journal of Neuroscience, Journal of Crime and Justice, and Journal of Mind and Behaviour. After serious and critical study of the programme by the Mozambique Armed Forces Joint Chiefs of Staff, these leaders implemented the programme. The goal was to create the Maharishi Effect in the country. The Maharishi Effect happens when the number of people practicing the programme reaches a critical mass, creating coherence, peace and harmony throughout the nation. The TM technique was taught to different police and military units including the Ground, Naval and Air Forces. More than 16 000 people learned the TM programme, and many practiced it daily in large groups. Additionally, more than 3 000 went on to learn the advanced TM-Sidhi programme and Yogic Flying, which is even more powerful. Learning TM takes a few hours over several days. Then, the meditation is practiced for about twenty minutes, twice a day. The military merely added two more duties to the members' daily routines. Since the military by its nature is disciplined, it was an ideal choice for participating in the meditation project. The military's job is to protect society. By practicing the TM programme, the military fulfills its duty without violence. After the programme was under way in 1993, positive trends were noticed. Peace was maintained. Crime, which is normally expected to increase at the end of a war, actually decreased, as predicted by Maharishi Effect scientists. The next year, the military began to be demobilised. The Commander of the Armed Forces, Lieutenant-General Tobias Dai, who is now the General Secretary of the Ministry of Defence, noticed a sudden change. "What is very clear is that once the positive effect is created, if group practice is stopped, the previous tendencies of higher collective stress, as determined from the crime indices and the tense situations in the country, began to rise again. In 1994, there was a remarkable decrease in coherence in the country as a result of decreased participation in the group practice of the Transcendental Meditation and TM-Sidhi Programme ..." Dai attributed the dip in coherence to the demobilisation of the troops and anticipated ending of TM courses for future police officers.... |
Creating The Right Environment For UN Missions To Succeed
Why Did The United Nations Have A Rare Success In Mozambique?
" ... the country once rated as one of
the poorest in the world is beginning to look like an African success story... the U.N
monitoring of the end of the civil war and ensuing general election was a rare African success for the organisation. International assistance was once the only growth industry in
Mozambique, but today there are many more new private cars in Maputo than aid agency
vehicles."
Back From The Brink
TIME, 18 August 1997
The Risks Associated With Not Fully Implementing Such Programmes On A Permanent Basis
"Prevention is the easiest way to
avoid the perils of war and terrorism. Defence experts predict that the nature of future
warfare and terrorism will change due to the easy availability of weapons of mass
destruction. These weapons are nearly impossible to defend against. The source of war and
terrorism is collective social stress. To permanently sustain peace, war must be addressed
at this level. India could prevent war and end conflict by reducing social stress through
the Transcendental Meditation (TM) programme. Perhaps India could learn from Mozambique's example. Mozambique is an African success story....
Mozambique's fledgling democracy prospers beyond almost anyone's expectations, except
those of President Alberto Joachim Chissano and his governmental leaders. Chissano
predicted in 1993 that these positive changes were coming. He was confident about the
war's demise because Mozambique utilized a new 'secret weapon:' the TM programme.
Mozambique's leaders are convinced that these changes occurred largely because members of
the Mozambique Armed Forces and police school students practiced the TM programme.
Positive trends were obvious once the programme was underway in 1993. The country remained
peaceful. Contrary to the typical tendency after a war, crime decreased. As stipulated in
the General Peace Agreement, the military started to demobilize in 1994. Lt. General
Tobias Dai, then Commander of the Armed Forces, and now the General Secretary of the
Ministry of Defence, noticed a negative shift. 'What is very clear is that once the
positive effect is created, if group practice is stopped, the previous tendencies of
higher collective stress, as determined from the crime indexes and the tense situations in
the country, began to rise again. In 1994, there was a remarkable decrease in coherence in
the country as a result of decreased participation in the group practice of the
Transcendental Meditation and TM-Sidhi Programme...' Dai is convinced that the decrease of
coherence was due to the demobilization of the troops and anticipated ending of TM courses
for future police officers."
Preventing War and Terrorism
Security
& Political Risk Analysis (SAPRA), 1 December 1999
I would like to inform you that the
Ministry for the Defense of Mozambique has a new direction now and that the formation of
the new Armed Forces achieved its goal. In a few days we hope to take again the formation
of the unit of prevention in the army of Mozambique and to enjoy again the benefits of the
Maharishi Effect
which it brings....This phenomenon was called by the scientists the Maharishi Effect,
in honor of Maharishi who had predicted it since 1957. Since then, more than 40 scientific
research were completed and confirmed the Maharishi Effect...
Scientific research carried out on the Maharishi Effect was published in the following
international scientific reviews: The Journal of
Conflict Resolution, The Journal of Crime and Justice, The Journal of Mind
and Behavior and Social Indicators Research....Data
presented by the Ministry of Defense of Mozambique at the time of an international
congress on Defense at the Maharishi Vedic University, Holland, on November 14, 1994
[stated] 'In 1993, it was possible to confirm the existence of the Maharishi Effect
in Mozambique.....From February 1993, when more than 15,000 people in the country
[participated in this programme], the predicted results appeared. On another hand, because
of the demobilization of the troops in 1994, [which caused the number of programme
participants to fall], consequently, the predicted positive effects decreased and in
several cases ceased.'.... Sometimes it takes a long time before great discoveries are
accepted and put into practice. Despite everything, these examples drawn from human
history must be a lesson so that one avoids making the same errors. Let us remember that
it is those who think further than their contemporaries who make history."
Lt-Gl Tobias Dai, Minister Of Defence Mozambique
Speech
In Maputo, 26 December 1994 (based on Google Translation from French)
More Than Just Preventing War
"Criminal justice systems in the
developing nations of Africa are challenged by a lack of resources for the provision of
rehabilitation programs. As a result, they generally experience poor correctional
outcomes. Between 1987 and 1989, more than 11,000 inmates and 900 correctional officers
and prison administrators in 31 of the 34 prisons in the West African nation of Senegal
were instructed in the Transcendental Meditation program. Rule infractions decreased,
medical expenses went down 70%, and recidivism dropped from 90% in the pre-meditation
period to less than 3% after the program was established. The Senegal project illustrates
the significant and positive impact that the use of the Transcendental Meditation program
can have on correctional outcomes. It also suggests that the program is a viable
rehabilitation approach for use in the criminal justice systems of resource-challenged
nations."
Transcendental Meditation in Criminal Rehabilitation and Crime Prevention
Journal
of Offender Rehabilitation, Volume 36 Numbers 1/2/3/4 2003
No Solution In Sight? |
NATURAL
LAW PARTY WESSEX
nlpwessex@btinternet.com
www.btinternet.com/~nlpwessex