| 'Fight Smart' Update - 28 November 2004 Don't Take the Bait - Fight Smart ANIMATED 911 SUMMARY - CLICK HERE Election Fraud 2004 "Western complaints about
[Ukrainian] ballot-rigging in favour of Viktor Yanukovych are based on the reports of more
than 500 international observers and on the wide gap between
exit poll results and the 'official' three-point victory for
Mr Yanukovych announced on Wednesday."
"The solution is expensive and
less glamorous than a revolution. It is to re-run the election." "It was a spectacular irony - a
Republican senator using the word 'fraud' about the presidential election. More
spectacular still, he was visiting his condemnation of apparent election manipulation on
the incumbent party. And beyond all that, he and others based their conclusions largely on
the incredible disparity between the last exit polls and the vote count itself. Of
course, Indianas Richard Lugar was talking about the presidential election in the
Ukraine. But in so doing, he underscored that once again, the exit polls
appear to have fulfilled the time-honored international tradition of the canary in the
mine shaft. If only we could have used them in that way here..... ." "Today the University of California's Berkeley Quantitative Methods Research Team released a statistical study - the sole method available to monitor the accuracy of e-voting - reporting irregularities associated with electronic voting machines may have awarded 130,000-260,000 or more excess votes to President George W. Bush in Florida in the 2004 presidential election. The study shows an unexplained discrepancy between votes for President Bush in counties where electronic voting machines were used versus counties using traditional voting methods - what the team says can be deemed a 'smoke alarm.' Discrepancies this large or larger rarely arise by chance - the probability is less than 0.1 percent. The research team formally disclosed results of the study at a press conference today at the UC Berkeley Survey Research Center, where they called on Florida voting officials to investigate.... The research team is comprised of doctoral students and faculty in the UC Berkeley sociology department, and led by Sociology Professor Michael Hout, a nationally-known expert on statistical methods and a member of the National Academy of Sciences and the UC Berkeley Survey Research Center.... 'No matter how many factors and variables we took into consideration, the significant correlation in the votes for President Bush and electronic voting cannot be explained,' said Hout. 'The study shows, that a county's use of electronic voting resulted in a disproportionate increase in votes for President Bush. There is just a trivial probability of evidence like this appearing in a population where the true difference is zero - less than once in a thousand chances." The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy
"Scoop.co.nz is
delighted to be able today to publish a full set of 4pm exit poll data for the first time
on the Internet since the US election.....The new data confirms what was already widely
known about the swing in favour of George Bush, but amplifies the extent of that
swing...... Last week in an analysis of a similar, but
incomplete set of data, Dr Stephen F. Freeman from the
University of Pennsylvania calculated that the odds of just three of the major swing
states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania all swinging as far as they did against their
respective exit polls were 250 million to 1. (See
"The
Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy" Dr Stephen F. Freeman - .pdf format) Dr Freeman's academic paper contains a thorough description of why and
how exit polls are conducted (in some countries they use them
to prevent against vote fraud), and considers a number of
hypotheses for why this year's polls could have been so dramatically wrong. He concludes
that the reasons are unknown. The data that is released today shows the 4pm data run from
the Edison-Mitofsky polling company. This run was based on 63% of the full 13660 sample in
the poll. However as we also have a set of data from around midnight with which to compare
this data, we can tell that the final exit poll results were not that far different than
these early results. This in itself tends to suggest that the polling system did not have
a systemic bias in its early data as suggested by some commentators in early reports on
this puzzle." "Dr Stephen F. Freeman from the
University of Pennsylvania calculated that the odds of just three of the major swing
states, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania all swinging as far as they did against their
respective exit polls were 250 million to 1. When presented in this way the data - both
the 4pm data and the 12pm data used in the Freeman analysis (see below) - shows a
remarkable conclusion, three of the four biggest vote 'red
shifts' occurred in the three battleground states of Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio..... Dr Freeman ends his report saying: 'Systematic fraud or mistabulation is
a premature conclusion, but the election's unexplained exit poll discrepancies make it an
unavoidable hypothesis, one that is the responsibility of the media, academia, polling
agencies, and the public to investigate.'... To date no major US mainstream media outlet (with the sole exception of Keith Olbermann's Countdown show on MSNBC)
has addressed the exit poll issue in spite of the fact that the data used in the exit
polls was commissioned by them."
Exit Polls and Voter Fraud: A User-Friendly Explanation - Click Here "It was a
spectacular irony - a Republican senator using the word 'fraud' about the presidential
election. More spectacular still, he was visiting his condemnation of apparent election
manipulation on the incumbent party. And beyond all that, he and others based their
conclusions largely on the incredible disparity between the last exit polls and the vote
count itself. Of course, Indianas Richard Lugar was talking about the presidential election in the Ukraine.
But in so doing, he underscored that once again, the exit polls appear to have fulfilled
the time-honored international tradition of the canary in the mine shaft. If only we
could have used them in that way here..... And [exit polls], along with the voting
irregularities so thoroughly chronicled on the net (and still just seeping into the
mainstream media), created an atmosphere that [national pollster John] Zogby thinks
requires broad remedy: 'I think it's in the interests of the nation that we study what
happened in this election and widen that, let's study what happened with the exit polls,
and let's come out with a definitive conclusions by a blue ribbon panel to restore the
legitimacy of this election.' Zogby thinks he knows the steps to take to do that. The
first is for those who are raising questions, to keep doing so. 'I can reassure them
theyre not crazy for asking. Its not just those who are far out, it is indeed
many respectable, responsible people.' The pollster says hes heard from thousands of
them, asking him to get involved in their various causes and investigations, so many he
cant answer them all. But he used Countdown as his mass e-mail reply. 'Ill
take this opportunity right now to say I think that its in the interest of healing
this country and restoring some unity to this country for us to have a thorough
investigation of what happened both to the election and with the exit polls.' Zogby called
for the proverbial blue-ribbon commission into the voting irregularities, and the full
release of the exit polling data.... Zogby says hes at peace with his own Election
Night forecast - made not with the Mitofsky or Edison exit polling, but with his own
polls. He saw Florida and Ohio both 'trending' towards Kerry, and producing a triple-digit
victory for the Democrat..... it was mildly encouraging to see some focus given to this
entire topic Tuesday night by my old CNN cohort Aaron Brown. A carefully-worded segment
included a laundry list of the problems weve been reporting on Countdown for the
last three weeks, and compared them to the kind of dumb mistake that ruined the
Hubbell telescope. Brown referenced the UC Berkeley study on the prospect of 130,000
phantom votes in Florida (though he didnt mention its conclusion that all of them
went to President Bush), and even had about fifteen seconds of Blackboxs Bev Harris
and her slog through the computer printout records in Florida. Such as they are." "National pollster John Zogby, with a
mixed record of predicting past elections, Tuesday afternoon went out on a limb and
projected that Sen. John Kerry would defeat President Bush in the 2004 election. Zogby
released his Election Day polling results shortly after 5 p.m. Tuesday showing Kerry with 311 electoral votes to
Bush's 213. Two-hundred seventy electoral votes are necessary to win the presidency. Zogby
said Nevada and Colorado were too close to call. Republican operatives at Bush's planned
victory party in Washington dismissed the numbers as inflated in Kerry's favor. Zogby had
Kerry winning nearly all of the battleground states, including Florida, Ohio and
Pennsylvania. The Massachusetts senator had big leads in Iowa and Wisconsin, according to
Zogby's polls. Earlier in the day, RealClearPolitics.com issued its average of various
polls and showed that Bush was leading Kerry in the Electoral College vote, 227 to 203,
with seven states too close to call. Those seven states were Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania,
Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa and New Mexico". "The conventional wisdom going into
the election was that three critical states would likely determine who would win the
Presidential election - Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida.... The odds against all three
[exit poll/tallied vote shifts] occurring are 250 million to one." "Congress' investigative agency, responding to complaints from around the country, has begun to look into the Nov. 2 vote count, including the handling of provisional ballots and malfunctions of voting machines. The presidential results won't change, but the studies could lead to changes. The Government Accountability Office usually begins investigations in response to specific requests from Congress, but the agency's head, Comptroller General David Walker, said the GAO acted on its own because of the many comments it received about ballot counting. GAO officials said the investigation was not triggered by a request from several House Democrats, who wrote the agency this month seeking an investigation. The effort, led by senior Judiciary Committee Democrat John Conyers of Michigan, was not joined by any Republicans. Walker said in a statement that some of the election work is under way. The probe will cover voter registration, voting machine problems and handling of provisional ballots, which were given to voters who said they were eligible to cast votes although their names were not on the rolls. He cautioned that the GAO cannot enforce the law if voting irregularities are found, noting that state officials regulate elections and the Justice Department prosecutes voting rights violations and election fraud. Conyers said in an interview Wednesday that several House Democrats 'want the widest, most impartial investigation that can be had. Whether they (GAO investigators) want to go as far as we want to go, we're not certain. We're at first base. Where do we go from here?'. The congressman said he plans to meet with Walker and key Republicans to see whether Congress should take action to improve election systems. He said he would like the investigation to include allegations that insufficient numbers of voting machines were sent to some Democratic areas..... Meanwhile, election officials in two Ohio counties have discovered possible cases of people voting twice in the presidential election, and a third county found about 2,600 ballots were double-counted. Groups checking election results have overwhelmed Ohio county boards of election with requests for information, and a statewide recount of the presidential vote appears inevitable after a pair of third-party candidates collected enough money to demand one. Other examples of problems cited by Conyers and other House Democrats:
"The Rev. Jesse Jackson will come to
Columbus Sunday for a rally and will seek an investigation of election irregularities in
Ohio. The rally will be at 3:30 p.m. at Mount Hermon Baptist Church, 2283 Sunbury Road.
Jackson, a former Democratic presidential candidate and founder of the
Rainbow/PUSH Coalition, pledged to join a lawsuit contesting the Nov. 2 election. He also
is calling for the recusal of Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell, a Jackson spokesman
said. Jackson believes blacks were disenfranchished by the shortage of election machines
in Franklin and other counties and doesn't trust Blackwell, who was associate Ohio
chairman of President Bush's campaign, to remain neutral. Carlo LoParo, a spokes man for
Blackwell, said Ohio's election results cannot be certified by December 6 if Blackwell
recuses himself. A lawsuit contesting the election is expected to be filed next week in
the Ohio Supreme Court by Citizens Alliance for Secure Elections (CASE) and the Alliance
for Democracy. Jackson said he hopes to attend a Columbus rally next Saturday planned by
CASE/Ohio. Jackson aims to draw attention to a formal recount requested in Ohio by
third-party presidential candidates and the more than 155,000 provisional ballots still
being counted. Bush leads Sen. John Kerry by an unofficial margin of 136,000 votes in
Ohio." "A floodtide
of evidence of questionable practices in the 2004 election is mounting fast against Ohio
Republican Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell and Republican Franklin County Board of
Elections (BOE) Director Matt Damschroder. New transcriptions of sworn voter testimony,
presented below for the first time, confirm growing suspicions of widespread use of rigged
machines. Voters experienced hostility from poll workers, refusal of Republican election
officials to follow the law, and discriminatory manipulation of voting machine placement,
driving significant numbers of Democrats away from the polls. The Columbus Dispatch,
central Ohio's dominant conservative daily newspaper, which endorsed Bush for the
presidency, says Damschroder 'has faced criticism locally and across the country from
groups that contend an already short supply of voting machines were shifted from
Democratic precincts in Columbus to Republican areas outside the city.' "Concern over electronic
voting technology was not assuaged Tuesday as glitches, confusion and human error raised a
welter of problems across the country, even while e-vote watchdogs prepared to file suits
challenging the results derived from the controversial machines.....Nearly one in three
voters, including about half of those in Florida, were expected to cast ballots using
ATM-style voting machines that computer scientists have criticized for their potential for
software glitches, hacking and malfunctioning.... Many of the problems with electronic
voting whether accidental or intentional may not be known until well after
Tuesday, if at all. Most of the ATM-style machines, including
all of Florida's, lack paper records that could be used to verify the electronic results
in a recount. The Electronic Frontier Foundation's
VerifiedVoting.org, which has been monitoring the implementation of e-voting machines in
the U.S., warned on Monday that over 20 percent of the machines tested by
observers around the country failed to record votes properly. The organization recommended
that voters choosing to use touchscreen voting methods be sure to double-check the summary
screen to confirm that their votes had been properly registered. BlackBoxVoting.org, the
site organized by e-voting activist Bev Harris, announced early Wednesday that it plans to
conduct what the site describes as the largest Freedom of Information Act request in
history, requesting internal computer logs and other documents from 3,000 individual
counties and townships using electronic voting machines". "So can we
really be sure that this year's result was an accurate reflection of the popular will? It
has emerged that the Diebold Gems software and optical scan voting machines used in
counting a high proportion of the votes may not be tamper-proof from hacking, particularly
via remote modems. Two US computer security experts, in their recently published book
Black Box Voting, argue that 'by entering a two-digit code in a hidden location, a second
set of votes is created; and this set of votes can be changed in a matter of seconds, so
that it no longer matches the correct votes'. After the Florida fiasco four years earlier,
the US Congress voted $3.9bn to improve the quality of voting systems. Perhaps the latest
revelations about what happened where electronic systems were used may become known as the
'November surprise'."
"Western complaints about
[Ukrainian] ballot-rigging in favour of Viktor Yanukovych are based on the reports of more
than 500 international observers and on the wide gap between
exit poll results and the 'official' three-point victory for
Mr Yanukovych announced on Wednesday." "The solution is expensive and
less glamorous than a revolution. It is to re-run the election." Ukraine's postmodern coup d'etat Guardian, 26 November 2004
"More recently two
members of the US House of Representatives Committee on Government Reform have written to
George W. Bush (6 November
2001) expressing their dismay at the President's sudden change to the Executive Order
governing the release of Presidential records. Bush's new order places fresh
restrictions on public access to such records. According to the letter's authors the
new Executive Order even goes so far as to allow 'the sitting President to withhold the
records of a former President, even if that President wants those records released'." "A senior CIA officer who has become
an outspoken critic of the fight on terrorism turned in his resignation this week, citing
a desire to speak more freely about problems in the hunt for Osama bin Laden.....
Scheuer's CIA assignments included running the bin Laden unit from January 1996 to June
1999..... Scheuer was highly critical Sunday of the Sept. 11 Commission's 'refusal' to
point fingers at senior government officials whose actions contributed to the attacks....." Hot 'Fight Smart' - The 911 Omar Sheikh Files - 2 Jan 2003 Hot
If Half Or More Of
The Population Think This (Below) "[According to a national ICM audit] A
majority of the British population now thinks the US government knew in advance about the
9/11 plot to attack the World Trade Centre yet did nothing to stop it, on the basis that
it would give America an excuse to wage war on Afghanistan and Iraq. Some 52 per cent believed there was 'a lot' or
'some' truth in this claim, while 39 per cent said there was none at all. In addition,
four in 10 believed the real reason for going to war in Iraq
was oil, while just over one in 10 accepted Tony Blair's explanation that the key
reason was weapons of mass destruction. In response to the question 'Do you think
political leaders in the UK lie to us?' 93 per cent said 'sometimes' or 'all the
time'." "'On May 26th
the Toronto Star reported a national poll showing that 63% of Canadians are also convinced U.S. leaders had 'prior knowledge' of the
attacks yet declined to act. 'There was no U.S. coverage of this startling poll or the
facts supporting the Canadians' conclusions, and there has been virtually no debate on the
victim families' scores of still unanswered questions." "A Zogby poll released
Monday said that 49 percent of New York City
residents believed that national leaders 'knew in advance that attacks were planned . . .
and that they consciously failed to act.'" Hot 'Fight Smart' - The 911 Omar Sheikh Files - 2 Jan 2003 Hot
Including Bin Laden and The Voting Machines -
Tipping The Election Balance? - 31 Oct 2004
NATURAL LAW PARTY WESSEX |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||