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Unreal, man

Political scientists have turned guerrillas in an attempt to shake off the stranglehold of the dogmatic, unworldly theory that dominates their discipline. Kurt Jacobsen reports

Tuesday April 3, 2001
The Guardian


Throughout history, revolutions have caught the ruling elite unawares - even, it seems, when they are professors of political science. No one expected an argument about the use of mathematical modelling and "rational choice theory" in politics and economics research journals to blow up into an academic uprising which has spread from France to the rest of continental Europe, Britain and north America.

In the process it has highlighted the self-perpetuating elite that runs the most influential academic body in the subject, the American Political Science Association. This counts among its luminaries Henry Kissinger and president George Bush's foreign affairs adviser, Condoleeza Rice. The revolt has spawned scores of email guerrillas, inspired by "Mr Perestroika", who protested against the stranglehold of the rational choice theorists on academic journals - and hence on hopes of tenure and promotion. But most operate anonymously for fear of jeopardising their hopes of promotion and tenure.

Rational choice theory - the hottest thing in the social sciences - derives from neoclassical economics, which political scientists cannot help but notice grabs lots of Nobel Prizes.

The theory deploys a set of simplifying assumptions about human behaviour that boils down our complicated lives and societies to prioritised "rational" choices that we presumably make in order to maximise our "utility" in any given situation.

Rational choice, and mathematical models that accompany it, undeniably have merits when used with a bit of humility, especially in studies of collective action. But its critics argue the results are often trivial or else fail to display even a nodding acquaintance with reality.

Last June, in France, a "post-autistic economics" movement erupted in protest against the excesses of formal economics discourses. Over 800 university economics students and 150 professors signed a petition demanding reform of the curriculum to incorporate a "plurality of approaches adapted to the complexity of the object studied". Mathematics had become an end in itself, resulting in an "autistic science with no relation to real life".

In fierce counter-attacks the leading figures in the discipline perceived, or tried to portray, this revolt as doltish opposition to statistical techniques. The French government appointed a commission to examine the issue.

The movement quickly spread to Spain and across much of continental Europe, and is making inroads in the UK. French insurrectionists Gilles Raveaud and Ioana Marinescu appeared at King's College, Cambridge University at a workshop chaired by Professor Tony Lawson, whose book Economics and Reality is a favourite among these dissidents.

"The mathmaticisation of economics is happening everywhere, and students are voting with their feet and going elsewhere," says Lawson. The movement's aim was "greater pluralism".

Rational choice practitioners quickly became notorious for forming potent coteries that expanded their influence within departments in Britain.

"The governing principle in most sensible political science departments is that rational choice theorists should be on tap but not on top," says the chair of a top UK politics department, who prefers diplomatic anonymity. "They should exist, be permitted to flourish, but never be permitted dominance. Once dominant they are incapable of appointing other than their own: the more vulgar they are the more this is true."

In the United States the movement ignited in political science, which has been eagerly aping economics in its fondness for mathematical modelling. The American Political Science Association had been taken over by rational choice exponents and its journal, which is often a vital publishing outlet for aspiring academics, reflected their views.

The top echelon of the association may write about democratic politics - but they don't practise it, according to the dissidents who are now linking the dominance of rational choice in political science to the absence of internal democracy in their association.

Under a cosy arrangement an annually chosen president appoints his (80 times "his" versus only twice "her") ruling council who pick the next president who picks the next ruling council, and so on in a self-perpetuating process.

"In an era that values transparency, this looks like a glaring instance of a closed process," observes Lloyd Rudolph, professor of politics at Chicago University.

Keep in mind, if national security advisers are anything to go by, that the APSA gave us Henry Kissinger, who remarked that the Chilean people had no right to elect a socialist leader, and Zbigniew Brzezinski, who cheered democracy so long as the unlettered masses obeyed their betters and now Condoleeza Rice, who is of much the same bent.

The membership stayed in line, although many alienated political scientists quietly dropped out, until a clarion call came last November in a mass email. "Mr Perestroika" - probably a junior faculty member - lashed out against "poor game-theorists who cannot for the life of me compete with a third-grade economics student" yet are allowed to crush "diversity of methodologies and areas of the world that APSA 'purports' to represent". Mr Perestroika became the scarlet pimpernel of the reform movement.

Within a month of the emailing, a movement of several hundred insurgent professors crystallised, led by a committee of eminent scholars whom the association dared not ignore. By January 222 tenured faculty mem bers had signed a milder perestroika petition for reform, crafted by Yale's Roger Smith. This included 24 with named chairs - ranging from Yale political ethnographer James C Scott to Chicago University security specialist John Mearsheimer to Penn's semiotician Anne Norton.

The revolt transcends familiar categories of conservative, liberal and leftist.

"It's a wicked coalition," says Susanne Hoeber Rudolph, distinguished service professor at Chicago University, with a wry smile. "It is about getting pluralism back into political science. Why does the Association of Political Science Review seem so intensely focused on technical methods at the expense of the great substantive political questions?"

In a written response to the perestroika manifesto, APSA representative Ada Finifter revealed her belief that only personal ambition was at stake. She could not imagine why signatory dissenters were griping since they are twice as successful as anyone else at publishing in the review. She appeared oblivious to the ominous ambiguity of claiming that all is well so long as scholars provide "high-quality work using methods appropriate to the research problem" - as if the definition of thoseappropriate methods were not a major issue.

A conciliatory APSA recently announced the selection of a Perestroika-backed candidate as president, Theda Skocpol of Harvard University. Even this move is viewed with some suspicion. Might the APSA leaders calculate that Skocpol, despite being renowned as no pushover, might be most easily co-opted into the business-as-usual "East coast Brahmin" network and preserve the old undemocratic mechanisms? (In a body where everyone has read their Machiavelli, it is harder to be successfully Machiavellian.)

Most dissidents are willing to wait and see if Skocpol will carry out reforms that, as Mr Perestroika put it, dismantle "the Orwellian system that we have in the APSA and that we will see a true perestroika in the discipline".

It speaks volumes that many junior scholars are worried about revealing their identities in a profession that purports to prize vigorous and open exchange. Yet APSA deputy director Robert Hauck expressed great surprise that they needed to shield themselves from reprisals.

Perestroikans certainly do not oppose formal methods or mathematical models, Susanne Rudolph stresses, but rather their consecration as holy devices, squeezing out and denigrating cultural, historical and psychological understanding. Like Finifter, she agrees that the objective is to support "high-quality work using methods appropriate to the research problem", but like fellow Perestroikan Margaret Keck, and the Cambridge realist workshop, she believes that the "problem should dictate the method", not the other way around.

The ultimate aim is to improve democracy at large as well as within the organisation.

EducationGuardian.co.uk ©